FL-Governor Cristi +14 The Political Matrix/The Listener Group

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

https://twitter.com/stella2020woof/status/1429796210345447426
New poll just dropped, can't wait for Atlas to just ignore this and big brain over safe-r florida.

[KaiserDave]

It’s still safe R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news

[Donerail]

Smells like a garbage poll, BUT I was assured by many people on this site that it was actually a highly respected and very reliable pollster back when they were showing DeSantis +10, so I will consume it uncritically.

Link to full results — they also have Fried +8, continuing her trend of underperforming Crist in the general.

[Sir Mohamed]

Sure.jan

Instant garbage that will be funny to bump on Nov. 9, 2022.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This is also a Rubio +10 poll. Floridian pollster moment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sure.jan

Instant garbage that will be funny to bump on Nov. 9, 2022.

You are a DeSantis apologist why do you want him to win

[Sir Mohamed]

Sure.jan

Instant garbage that will be funny to bump on Nov. 9, 2022.

You are a DeSantis apologist why do you want him to win

Lol, I don't want DeathSantis to win, just haven't seen credible evidence he's going to lose next year. He won in 2018 without incumbency and a very D-friendly year. 2022 will be a neutral year at best and he'll have the advantage of incumbency. That said, Crist is undoubtedly a better candidate than Gillum, though he's still the underdog. And come on, nobody can seriously believe DeSantis loses by 14.

[Chips]

Do we really think the senate and gubernatorial races will vote 24 points apart from each other?

[Sir Mohamed]

Do we really think the senate and gubernatorial races will vote 24 points apart from each other?

Could be an even wider gap... in VT

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Safe R -> Safe D

Florida gonna Florida

[THG]

Didn’t Political Matrix literally get banned from 538?

Seems like this was for good reason.

[Donerail]

Do we really think the senate and gubernatorial races will vote 24 points apart from each other?

Poll has Demings taking 48% of Democrats (and 42% of Republicans), which I think is probably not very accurate

[Stuart98]

Florida is lean R, but this poll is absolute and total garbage of the highest order.

[THG]

Do we really think the senate and gubernatorial races will vote 24 points apart from each other?

Poll has Demings taking 48% of Democrats (and 42% of Republicans), which I think is probably not very accurate

You’re right. It’s even worse than you think:

https://www.twitter.com/MaxNordau/status/1429822067671711752

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Florida is lean R, but this poll is absolute and total garbage of the highest order.

No it's NOT OBAMA AND BIDEN WON IT IN 2008/2012

[wbrocks67]

It's truly insane just how bad Florida polling has become. It's literally the worst state in the entire country for polling at this point

[MT Treasurer]

I’ve long had a suspicion that "polling" will largely be (somehow) even worse in 2022 than it was in 2020. Ironically, the D bias seems to be increasingly observable even in states in which polls have traditionally understated Democratic strength (TX, NV, AZ). What an impact shifting party coalitions can have.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I’ve long had a suspicion that "polling" will largely be (somehow) even worse in 2022 than it was in 2020. Ironically, the D bias seems to be increasingly observable even in states in which polls have traditionally understated Democratic strength (TX, NV, AZ). What an impact shifting party coalitions can have.

You don't believe in blue waves, Crist is a Lawyer and better speaker than DeSantis being a Lawyer


Blks weren't repellant to Scott when he beat Crist like Blks don't like DeSantis due to TRUMP


Crist will win 53/47, don't forget we have Abby Fink and Ras Smith in IA that can beat Reynolds whom only won by 3 last time

[THG]

I’ve long had a suspicion that "polling" will largely be (somehow) even worse in 2022 than it was in 2020. Ironically, the D bias seems to be increasingly observable even in states in which polls have traditionally understated Democratic strength (TX, NV, AZ). What an impact shifting party coalitions can have.

You don't believe in blue waves, Crist is a Lawyer and better speaker than DeSantis being a Lawyer


Blks weren't repellant to Scott when he beat Crist like Blks don't like DeSantis due to TRUMP


Crist will win 53/47

Scott did awful with Blacks and Hispanics in 2014. DeSantis (and Scott) did pretty decently with them in 2018, a blue wave year (with Gillum, a black man, being on the ballot).

[SnowLabrador]

Is this even a real poll?

[Xing]

Not gonna happen, but wow would Atlas be a sight to behold if it did.

[Person Man]

No

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Do we really think the senate and gubernatorial races will vote 24 points apart from each other?

Poll has Demings taking 48% of Democrats (and 42% of Republicans), which I think is probably not very accurate

I believe this. I know a ton of Republicans for Crist and Democrats for Rubio. You can close your eyes to the truth but that doesn't change it. You aren't a real democrat unless you vote for Rubio

[Real Texan Politics]

I could see Rubio winning by 10, but why the hell would he be overperforming DeSantis by 24 POINTS??

Also notice there's no undecideds that were polled.