IN-SEN 2022: McDermott In as Indiana Dems' Sacrificial Lamb
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  IN-SEN 2022: McDermott In as Indiana Dems' Sacrificial Lamb
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Author Topic: IN-SEN 2022: McDermott In as Indiana Dems' Sacrificial Lamb  (Read 2145 times)
Bismarck
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« Reply #25 on: October 11, 2021, 03:17:49 PM »

Todd Young will likely win every county in the state except Marion, Lake, and Monroe.
This race is a pure formality. My coworker who's a mega liberal says she has no real complaints about Young.


Young is an empty suit, but that's to his advantage.

Nah I think he’s actually extremely intelligent. His ultra dumbed down 3 point campaign was annoying to wonks like us but brilliant as a strategy. I think he is actually interested in formulating good policy (see his work with Schumer and other democrats) and is willing to buck his own party (The Yemen issue earned him a direct rebuke from Trump).

I rate him above Braun.

Me too. Braun is just a less goofy Ron Johnson.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #26 on: October 11, 2021, 09:18:53 PM »

Todd Young will likely win every county in the state except Marion, Lake, and Monroe.

Wrong.

Young will win every county except Lake.

Young carries Marion, Black and business conservatives pull him to victory there. He gets 80% in Hamilton.
That is flat out absurd. He is not winning Marion.


He is winning Marion. Period. He gets back the Broad Ripple conservatives.
You are blatantly trolling. Period.

Young can win Marion because he is appealing to everyone.....
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #27 on: October 11, 2021, 09:51:57 PM »

Todd Young will likely win every county in the state except Marion, Lake, and Monroe.

Wrong.

Young will win every county except Lake.

Young carries Marion, Black and business conservatives pull him to victory there. He gets 80% in Hamilton.
That is flat out absurd. He is not winning Marion.


He is winning Marion. Period. He gets back the Broad Ripple conservatives.
You are blatantly trolling. Period.

Young can win Marion because he is appealing to everyone.....
No Republican in that seat has won Marion County since 1992. It has only shifted hard left since then. He is not going to flip the county. It is completely absurd to think otherwise. There is no evidence he can or will appeal to enough voters to flip it.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #28 on: October 12, 2021, 06:09:08 AM »
« Edited: October 12, 2021, 06:18:04 AM by StateBoiler »

Todd Young will likely win every county in the state except Marion, Lake, and Monroe.

Wrong.

Young will win every county except Lake.

Young carries Marion, Black and business conservatives pull him to victory there. He gets 80% in Hamilton.
That is flat out absurd. He is not winning Marion.


He is winning Marion. Period. He gets back the Broad Ripple conservatives.
You are blatantly trolling. Period.

Young can win Marion because he is appealing to everyone.....
No Republican in that seat has won Marion County since 1992. It has only shifted hard left since then. He is not going to flip the county. It is completely absurd to think otherwise. There is no evidence he can or will appeal to enough voters to flip it.

Dick Lugar 2006 won it. There was no Democrat in that race but he still won it...

Unless Democrats even further collapse in this state, Woody Myers' 2020 governor campaign where he got 32% statewide is going to be the Democrats' floor vote for a very long time. Myers won 3 counties: Marion (52.1%), Lake (51.7%), and Monroe (where Indiana University is, got 52.8%). That's your floor for an incompetent Democratic nominee, so Young is not winning Marion.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #29 on: October 12, 2021, 12:25:36 PM »

Todd Young will likely win every county in the state except Marion, Lake, and Monroe.

Wrong.

Young will win every county except Lake.

Young carries Marion, Black and business conservatives pull him to victory there. He gets 80% in Hamilton.
That is flat out absurd. He is not winning Marion.


He is winning Marion. Period. He gets back the Broad Ripple conservatives.
You are blatantly trolling. Period.

Young can win Marion because he is appealing to everyone.....
No Republican in that seat has won Marion County since 1992. It has only shifted hard left since then. He is not going to flip the county. It is completely absurd to think otherwise. There is no evidence he can or will appeal to enough voters to flip it.

Dick Lugar 2006 won it. There was no Democrat in that race but he still won it...


I know, but I was referring to the Class 3 seat, where Sen. Coats was the last Republican to carry Marion to the present day.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
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« Reply #30 on: November 08, 2022, 07:42:35 PM »

Typically in IN-1 will the Democrat win or keep counties outside of Lake (Gary) or does the margin in Gary usually win the Democrat the district?
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