NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +16 among registered voters (user search)
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  NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +16 among registered voters (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +16 among registered voters  (Read 724 times)
Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,063


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

« on: August 18, 2021, 10:28:01 AM »

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_nj_081821.pdf/

Registered voters
Phil Murphy (D-inc) 52%
Jack Ciattarelli (R) 36%

Electorate model A
Phil Murphy (D-inc) 51%
Jack Ciattarelli (R) 40%

Electorate model B
Phil Murphy (D-inc) 55%
Jack Ciattarelli (R) 36%

They did more electorate models as well, but these numbers seem to represent the range of their results:

Quote
A range of potential electorate models* do not alter the current character of this race, with Murphy’s lead ranging from 11 points to 19 points depending on the scenario.
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