FL (Susquehanna): Rubio +11

[wbrocks67]

Marco Rubio (R) 50%
Val Demings (D) 39%

https://busr.ag/florida-gubernatorial-poll

[Sir Mohamed]

11 pt defeat may be too much, still Likely R though. As expected.

[SnowLabrador]

Likely R. As expected.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

11 pt defeat may be too much, still Likely R though. As expected.

Yeah right the St Pete's poll had it two pts

[THG]

Rubio wins by 8-12 points. This seems fairly accurate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This makes Cook and Sabsto, they are both predicting doom for Ds in the H and both have Conservative rankings for Senate especially Sabato whom still has WI Sen Lean R and Cook already changed it

Johnson is in the same position Collins

That's why Rs still believe WI is clean R, they believe the Sabato ranking when it's convient as opposed to Cook.

Johnson isn't Rob Portman or Grassley he won both times is rave by 3.5K votes that isn't a landslide

[Xing]

Probably on the upper end of the range of possibilities. I’m sticking with my prediction that Rubio will win by about his 2016 margin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Probably on the upper end of the range of possibilities. I’m sticking with my prediction that Rubio will win by about his 2016 margin.

You can't do that, Hillary was a 225 Prez, Biden is a 304 Prez

[DrScholl]

Susquehanna has a fairly poor track record and tends to lean heavily Republican.

[S019]

Susquehanna is a Republican leaning firm, so I expect the margin to be less than this, around Rubio+4-6 seems right, still Lean R, for now, though I wouldn't be surprised if this ends up being closer than expected and closer than races widely expected to be close (like WI and NH)

[AncestralDemocrat.]

It's Safe R.. beyond something drastic coming to light about him, Rubio isn't losing.

[MT Treasurer]

Will be closer than that (but also not "close" to Rubio +2), but both FL-SEN and FL-GOV are Likely R.

[Progressive Pessimist]

So Rubio+16, then? Yeah, seems to add up.

[Young Conservative]

Susquehanna has a fairly poor track record and tends to lean heavily Republican.

They underestimated Trump's margin in 2020. Why do people on this forum just make stuff up?

https://amgreatness.com/2020/11/01/trump-takes-small-lead-in-florida-per-new-poll/

[Donerail]

Susquehanna has a fairly poor track record and tends to lean heavily Republican.

They underestimated Trump's margin in 2020. Why do people on this forum just make stuff up?

https://amgreatness.com/2020/11/01/trump-takes-small-lead-in-florida-per-new-poll/

Susquehanna is a partisan, Republican-aligned pollster. One poll doesn't change that fact.

[Chips]

Likely R. As expected.

[Person Man]

If Florida keeps trending, I can see a very narrow overall result in both houses even if it is Rubio +11 if it was Rubio +8 in 2016. Anything bigger than this I think encourages him to run again ESPECIALLY if Afghanistan/demand for a more hawkish FP becomes popular in 2024. He could be a real sleeper candidate who could wrap up Florida, maybe Texas, Nevada, and Arizona, do better in Colorado and Virginia (but not enough in either), but he would probably struggle in PA,WI,MI... and I don't think he would have any unique strength in GA or NC. What do you think?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's would win OH or NC before FL, OH, NC and FL in that order are our 53/54(55 seat due to no incumbents in OH and NC