Why couldn't Bush win Long Island outright in 2004?
Suburbia:
Nassau and Suffolk was devastated by the September 11, 2001 (9/11) attacks, a lot of workers and firefighters and cops lived there and died on that day, and yet they voted for Kerry-Edwards.
Why?
Suburbia:
It is ironic, however.
2004:
Nassau: Kerry 52%, Bush 46%
Suffolk: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%
GregTheGreat657:
They were probably turned off by Bush’s culture war rhetoric
Smash255:
Quote from: Suburbia on August 15, 2021, 04:41:11 PM
Nassau and Suffolk was devastated by the September 11, 2001 (9/11) attacks, a lot of workers and firefighters and cops lived there and died on that day, and yet they voted for Kerry-Edwards.
Why?
Because we all weren't Iraq War cheerleaders? On a more serious note, Long Island did trend quite a bit to the GOP in 2004, it however wasn't enough to flip the region that became fairly Democratic on the national level during the 90's. The area has since become a bit more swingy with Nassau being a bit more Democratic, and Suffolk a bit more Republican.
Calthrina950:
I'd agree that the culture war (i.e. over the wars, gay marriage, abortion, and other issues) probably prevented Bush from winning Long Island outright in 2004. Nevertheless, he improved significantly on Long Island and in New York City itself over 2000, thanks to the 9/11 effect. Kerry won Suffolk County by less than a percentage point, whereas Gore had carried it by 11%. Nassau County went from a 20-pt. Gore victory to a 5.5 pt. margin for Kerry. Staten Island went from a 7-pt. Gore victory to a 13-pt. Bush victory.
Bush got 24% in Brooklyn (compared to 16% in 2000), 27% in Queens (compared to 22% in 2000), and 17% in the Bronx (compared to 12% in 2000). The only NYC borough to swing Democratic was Manhattan, which went for Kerry 82-17% after going for Gore 80-15%. Finally, Bush flipped Rockland County (winning by less than a percentage point while he had lost to Gore there by 17%) and slightly improved in Westchester County (which went from 59-38% Gore to 58-40% Kerry).
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