Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Biden 47% Trump 37%
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  Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Biden 47% Trump 37%
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Author Topic: Yahoo/YouGov national poll: Biden 47% Trump 37%  (Read 1388 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: August 14, 2021, 03:14:17 PM »

Yahoo/YouGov national poll, conducted July 30 - Aug. 2:

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/40k9knkv6y/20210803_yahoo_vaccine_tabs.pdf

Biden 47%
Trump 37%

Crosstabs…
male: Biden +1
female: Biden +18
age 18-29: Biden +19
age 30-44: Biden +17
age 45-64: Biden +4
age 65+: Biden +1
white: Trump +9
black: Biden +59
Hispanic: Biden +32
income under $50k: Biden +14
income $50k - 100k: tie
income over $100k: Biden +14
vaccinated: Biden +33
not vaccinated: Trump +22
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: August 14, 2021, 04:09:35 PM »

Closer than that, it's Biden 50/Trump/DeSantis 46
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #2 on: August 14, 2021, 07:25:19 PM »

I like vaccinated people and non vaccinated people are some political constituency now
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President Johnson
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2021, 04:16:35 AM »

I doubt Uncle Joe is leading among men... but he'd still be the heavy favorite in a rematch unless things get much worse by 2024.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2021, 07:13:07 AM »

If Afghanistan isn't fixed by the Election, 2022 will be 2014, D's had the Generic ballot lead in 2014 and lost, Joe is at the same Approvals as he was Election night, he isn't leading by 10 more like 4 500 days out from a midterm and 1500 days from and Prez Election
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2021, 12:45:19 PM »

If Afghanistan isn't fixed by the Election, 2022 will be 2014, D's had the Generic ballot lead in 2014 and lost, Joe is at the same Approvals as he was Election night, he isn't leading by 10 more like 4 500 days out from a midterm and 1500 days from and Prez Election

Afghanistan was "fixed" in 2020 with no culpability for (then) former VP Joseph R. Biden. People wanted an agreement with the Taliban for "peace" and got the agreement at a cost that might make war look better very soon.

The collapse of the Afghan republic has an obvious parallel in the fall of the Republic of Vietnam in 1975. There had been an agreement, and after some early wins for the eventual victor far from the capital, the ARVN simply disintegrated.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2021, 01:07:51 PM »

Biden isn't 10 pts ahead Nate Silver models pt to a 304 map and a red wave if Afghanistan goes much more wrong with mass casualties
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