Texas House redistricting.

[jimrtex]

Nueces Layout



Corpus Christi ISD has enough for more than one district, but it does not make sense to try to maintain it as a whole. The city of Corpus Christi includes most if not all of Calallen,Tuloso-Midway, West Oso, Flour Bluff, and Aransas Pass ISD's.

So instead we will use the mainland districts as the starting point for a western district, and the seaward districts along with Aransas and Refugio counties as the starting point for eastern district.

[jimrtex]

Nueces Final



Division of Corpus Christi was straightforward. The Corpus Christi Bay district includes the area along the bay. Elsewhere the division was to produce population equality and clean lines.

[jimrtex]

Nueces Demographics



HD-35, including Aransas and Refugio counties.




One D and one R district.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
35	39.5%	58.7%	42.8%	White 48.1%, Hispanic 41.2%, Other 3.7%, Black 3.7%, Asian 3.4%,
36	53.1%	45.6%	31.8%	Hispanic 70.9%, White 22.8%, Black 3.6%, Other 1.8%, Asian 1.0%,

[jimrtex]

Galveston ISD's.



Galveston is entitled to 1.805 representatives. If it had two whole districts they would have -9.8% deviation. So Chambers is added to form the second district.

County	Population	Share
Galveston	350682	1.805
Chambers	46571	0.240
Total	397253	2.044
Per District	198627	1.022

A little over 3/4 of the cross-county district will be in Galveston county.

County	Population	Share
Galveston	152056	0.783
Chambers	46571	0.240
Total	198627	1.022

[jimrtex]

Galveston Layout



Population growth has increasingly concentrated on the mainland leaving the city of Galveston and industrial suburb of Texas City behind.

The three most northern ISD's of Friendswood, Clear Creek, and Dickinson have sufficient population for a district, but a large sector of Dickinson ISD is in the city of Texas City, which has had an aggressive annexation policy.

[jimrtex]

Galveston Final



To replace the population lost to Texas City, much of Santa Fe was added to the district, though the VTD's don't match well.

[jimrtex]

Galveston Demographics



HD-22 including Chambers County.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
22	40.7%	57.8%	41.5%	White 53.1%, Hispanic 24.4%, Black 16.8%, Other 3.7%, Asian 2.0%,
23	31.1%	67.2%	47.5%	White 65.0%, Hispanic 20.1%, Black 6.1%, Asian 4.8%, Other 4.0%,

At one time HD-22 would have been more competitive, but Chambers County is an increasing share of the district and suburban areas along the Gulf Freeway (I-45) are far out from Houston.

[jimrtex]

Dallas-Rockwall HD-7

I had not posted this before. About 55% of the district is in Rockwall, so it is not surprising that it is a Republican district.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
7	37.0%	61.5%	49.4%	White 60.6%, Hispanic 17.3%, Black 10.6%, Asian 7.1%, Other 4.4%,

[jimrtex]

HD-47 is 28% in Bexar County. That is the largest share, but it is not dominant over th eother counties.

County	Population	Share
Bexar	54991	0.283
Bandera	20851	0.107
Kendall	44279	0.228
Medina	50748	0.261
Uvalde	24564	0.126

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
47	30.9%	67.8%	51.4%	White 56.4%, Hispanic 36.4%, Other 3.3%, Black 2.3%, Asian 1.7%,

[jimrtex]

Lubbock ISD's.



Lubbock is entitled to 1.599 representatives. One district will be wholly within the county, with 3/5 of the second district also in the county. Because of this dominance, neighboring counties form the remainder of the district where they may form more of a bloc along with rural areas of Lubbock County.

County	Population	Share
Lubbock	310639	1.599
Crosby	5133	0.026
Floyd	5402	0.028
Hale	32522	0.167
Hockley	21537	0.111
Lamb	13045	0.067
	388278	1.998

The cross-county district.

County	Population	Share
Lubbock	116500	0.600
Crosby	5133	0.026
Floyd	5402	0.028
Hale	32522	0.167
Hockley	21537	0.111
Lamb	13045	0.067
	194139	0.999

[jimrtex]

Lubbock Layout



Lubbock ISD has almost enough for a district. We will get the extra by adding areas within the city of Lubbock (the city has more than enough for a district, so it must be split.

[jimrtex]

Lubbock Final



The big VTD towards the north includes the airport, but the residential population is in the southern part within Lubbock ISD. I took a few small VTD in Frenship ISD to balance the population. West is clearly the favored growth direction. The former Reese AFB provides jobs.

[jimrtex]

Lubbock Demographics



Lubbock, etc. HD-83

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
83	22.0%	76.7%	40.2%	White 55.9%, Hispanic 36.2%, Black 3.3%, Other 3.0%, Asian 1.6%,
84	41.2%	57.0%	35.5%	White 46.9%, Hispanic 34.5%, Black 11.2%, Asian 3.9%, Other 3.4%,

Somewhat surprising to see a 19% partisan gap when the "city" district is already +16% Trump.

[jimrtex]

Travis-Burnet-Blanco HD-50

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
50	38.7%	59.6%	55.6%	White 74.3%, Hispanic 14.3%, Asian 5.5%, Other 4.4%, Black 1.6%,

HD-50 is 30 points to the right of the next closest Travis district, despite being 2/3 in Travis County.

[jimrtex]

Webb ISD's



Webb is entitled to 1.375 districts. To reach a second district, nine counties are added.

County	Population Share
Dimmit	8615	0.044
Edwards	1422	0.007
Frio	18385	0.095
Kinney	3129	0.016
La Salle	6664	0.034
Maverick	57887	0.298
Real	2758	0.014
Zapata	13889	0.071
Zavala	9670	0.050
Webb	267114	1.375
Total	389533	2.005

The cross-county district.

County	Population Share
Dimmit	8615	0.044
Edwards	1422	0.007
Frio	18385	0.095
Kinney	3129	0.016
La Salle	6664	0.034
Maverick	57887	0.298
Real	2758	0.014
Zapata	13889	0.071
Zavala	9670	0.050
Webb	72348	0.372
	194767	1.002

As Laredo has expanded it has grown into the "county" school district of United ISD which now has well over twice the population of the "city" school district of Laredo ISD. The only other district in the county is Webb Consolidated ISD. Its Bruni High School has 79 students (9-12), while United ISD has five high schools arrayed in a half circle around central Laredo (e.g. United South and United high schools are on opposite sides of Laredo.

The notch in Webb's northern boundary is because Encinal County which formed a rectangle south of La Salle County was eliminated in 1899 after never having been organized.

[jimrtex]

HD-8 Collin-Hunt.



The district population is almost equally divided between the two counties. The Collin portion is designed to be exurban and comes down to the McKinney and Wylie city limits.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
2	27.1%	71.3%	40.9%	White 66.6%, Hispanic 18.1%, Black 8.2%, Other 5.2%, Asian 1.8%,

[jimrtex]

Webb Layout



Laredo ISD has about the population needed for the cross-county district, but does not connect to the rest of the district  unless we wanted to use the Rio Grande or the median of I-35.

So we will shift areas into the city of Laredo to form the Webb-based whole district. Laredo has more than enough population for a house district.

[jimrtex]

Webb Final



I generally picked off VTD's that were small in nature. The population in VTD's with larger area are likely concentrated near Laredo with any voters in 95% of the precinct largely theoretical.

The odd shaped precinct on the northwest side contains the airport, but that is not the reason for the odd shape. The lower arm is Lake Casa Blanco, which appears to have been annexed into the city. The residential population of the precinct is west and north of the airport and could be served by a compact precinct.

The area between the two arms is residential. It may have been developed and annexed at a later date, or perhaps is a neighborhood that is large enough and cohesive enough to be a precinct on its own.

No matter where the lines are drawn, you are chopping the Laredo COI.

[jimrtex]

Webb Demographics




HD-45

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
45	51.7%	47.4%	30.4%	Hispanic 88.0%, White 9.3%, Other 1.0%, Black 1.0%, Asian 0.6%,
46	63.1%	35.7%	25.2%	Hispanic 95.2%, White 3.7%, Asian 0.5%, Other 0.4%, Black 0.3%,

It would be interesting to see if you could flip HD-45 by careful selection of precincts in Laredo - not necessarily Republican, but less Democratic.

[jimrtex]

Denton-Wise HD-61



65% of the district is in Denton, which takes in the area sound the more populous cities such as Denton, Flower Mound, and Lewsiville.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
61	23.3%	75.3%	49.0%	White 74.7%, Hispanic 15.3%, Other 5.0%, Black 2.8%, Asian 2.3%,

[jimrtex]

McLennan ISD's



McLennan is entitled to 1.341 representatives. It will have one district wholly in the county. It is joined with six other counties to form the second district.

County	Population	Share
McLennan	260579	1.341
Falls	16968	0.087
Freestone	19435	0.100
Hill	35874	0.185
Leon	15719	0.081
Limestone	22146	0.114
Robertson	16757	0.086
Total	387478	1.994

McLennan will be the largest county in the second district but not overwhelmingly so.

County	Population	Share
McLennan	66840	0.344
Falls	16968	0.087
Freestone	19435	0.100
Hill	35874	0.185
Leon	15719	0.081
Limestone	22146	0.114
Robertson	16757	0.086
Total	193739	0.997

[jimrtex]

McLennan layout.



The McLennan district will be based on Waco. The initial layout includes the ISD's serving the city of Waco: Waco, Bosqueville, Conally, La Vega, and Midway ISD's.

[jimrtex]

McLennan Final



The boundaries were adjusted to better conform to the city limits of Waco and its suburbs of Hewitt, Woodway, Robinson, Beverly Hills, Bellmead, and Lacy-Lakeview.

[jimrtex]

McLennan Demographics




HD-10

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
10	21.2%	77.7%	45.6%	White 70.2%, Hispanic 15.8%, Black 9.8%, Other 3.6%, Asian 0.6%,
57	45.9%	52.2%	33.7%	White 50.9%, Hispanic 26.3%, Black 16.5%, Other 3.8%, Asian 2.5%,

The Waco district is almost competitive. Once McLennan fell below two districts the practice has been to draw a district from the western edge of the county through most of Waco, putting more Democratic areas of Waco in a multi-county district. The last Democrat from the area claimed to live out in the country and would drive into the city every morning to pick the newspaper off the driveway and take his kids to school.

[jimrtex]

I messed up the district numbering somewhere - I'm not sure when. This is a corrected map. I will delete the original back in the thread.

This is the final map.



Voters is the 2020 popular vote divided by total population. It ranges from 19.1% to 53.2%.

District	Biden	Trump	Voters	VAP
127	66.5%	32.5%	23.5%	Hispanic 68.2%, Black 17.5%, White 11.3%, Other 1.6%, Asian 1.5%,
128	35.4%	63.2%	33.6%	White 44.9%, Hispanic 38.6%, Black 10.8%, Other 3.7%, Asian 2.0%,
129	46.4%	52.0%	43.0%	White 46.0%, Hispanic 28.6%, Asian 11.7%, Black 10.1%, Other 3.7%,
130	46.1%	52.5%	39.6%	White 44.5%, Hispanic 37.2%, Asian 9.3%, Black 6.1%, Other 2.9%,
131	72.7%	26.1%	25.5%	Hispanic 43.4%, Black 37.6%, White 12.3%, Asian 3.8%, Other 2.8%,
132	39.5%	59.1%	44.8%	White 51.9%, Hispanic 25.0%, Black 15.8%, Other 4.2%, Asian 3.2%,
133	49.0%	49.4%	37.6%	White 37.8%, Hispanic 35.9%, Black 12.7%, Asian 10.0%, Other 3.7%,
134	48.5%	50.2%	23.7%	Hispanic 71.9%, White 21.1%, Black 3.6%, Asian 1.7%, Other 1.7%,
135	34.8%	63.8%	46.1%	White 57.6%, Hispanic 21.3%, Asian 8.9%, Black 8.2%, Other 3.9%,
136	45.2%	53.4%	41.0%	White 42.2%, Hispanic 27.0%, Black 19.3%, Asian 7.6%, Other 3.9%,
137	63.4%	35.7%	21.2%	Hispanic 48.4%, Asian 22.0%, Black 21.7%, White 5.9%, Other 2.0%,
138	75.8%	23.1%	27.8%	Hispanic 51.6%, Black 32.2%, White 7.5%, Asian 6.9%, Other 1.9%,
139	39.1%	59.5%	46.4%	White 50.5%, Hispanic 22.7%, Black 13.0%, Asian 10.0%, Other 3.9%,
140	54.4%	44.1%	37.1%	Hispanic 38.2%, White 28.6%, Black 18.8%, Asian 11.1%, Other 3.3%,
141	52.8%	45.9%	35.5%	Hispanic 39.7%, White 27.4%, Black 16.3%, Asian 13.7%, Other 2.9%,
142	67.4%	31.5%	33.5%	Black 39.5%, Hispanic 36.1%, White 19.8%, Other 2.7%, Asian 2.0%,
143	70.2%	28.8%	19.1%	Hispanic 79.6%, Black 11.2%, White 7.3%, Other 1.1%, Asian 0.9%,
144	61.1%	37.5%	32.8%	White 30.3%, Black 27.2%, Hispanic 26.7%, Asian 12.1%, Other 3.7%,
145	68.3%	30.5%	25.1%	Hispanic 72.6%, Black 12.0%, White 9.1%, Asian 4.9%, Other 1.5%,
146	59.9%	38.7%	53.2%	White 61.3%, Hispanic 14.2%, Asian 13.8%, Black 6.7%, Other 4.0%,
147	80.3%	18.7%	35.6%	Black 40.5%, Hispanic 36.0%, White 15.4%, Asian 5.7%, Other 2.4%,
148	64.6%	33.6%	47.2%	White 46.6%, Hispanic 36.2%, Black 8.8%, Asian 5.1%, Other 3.3%,
149	66.8%	32.1%	21.8%	Hispanic 52.6%, Black 19.8%, White 15.8%, Asian 9.7%, Other 2.2%,
150	84.5%	14.0%	36.7%	Black 42.3%, White 25.5%, Hispanic 19.0%, Asian 10.1%, Other 3.1%,

HD-131, 138, 142, 147, and 150 will be represented by Black Democrats.

HD-127, 143, and 145 will be represented by Hispanic Democrats.

HD-146 will be represented by an Anglo Democrat.

HD-137, 140, 141, 144, 148, and 149 will be represented by a Democrat of unknown ethnicity determined in the primary.

HD-133 and HD-134 are competitive districts, with HD-134 likely represented by a Hispanic.

HD-128, 129, 130, 132, 135, 136, and 139 are Republican seats.