2021 Gubernatorial Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2021 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 6320 times)
S019
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*****
Posts: 18,255
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« on: August 20, 2021, 03:07:55 PM »

Not going to bother to do the colors but here (subject to change)

CA: Lean Remain

VA: Lean Democratic

NJ: Safe Democratic
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,255
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2021, 05:39:44 PM »

I am moving my CA prediction to Likely No, with around 24% of all ballots mailed out returned, Democrats hold a sizable lead, and I don't think more than 70% of the voting population will vote, Newsom by 15 or so.
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,255
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2021, 05:13:04 PM »

Murphy+12, McAuliffe+3

#fundamentalsmatter
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,255
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2021, 11:06:17 PM »

Well I was clearly wrong, and underestimated the impact that Biden's unpopularity would have on these races. Anyways this is a clear warning sign for 2022, and the bloomers really need to come back to reality
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,255
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2021, 09:15:51 PM »


It'll be even more funny, when I bump all of your Ohio takes after the 2022 Senate election.
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