FL- St Pete is not an accurate poll at all

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Donerail:
Polling is going to fluctuate. It’s August 2021. What we can tentatively conclude from this, despite its house effect, is that public opinion is shifting against DeSantis. This makes sense — it has been a very bad week for him. Taking away control from local school districts to set policy is never a popular move, covid hospitalizations are at an all-time high, hospital wait times are alarmingly long (upwards of three hours in some places).

People have generally been happy not to deal with the mask/lockdown stuff, but school starts next week, and — rightly or not (most of the data says it’s not a big risk to kids, but there’s still a few dozen kids hospitalized with it) — people are anxious and worried about their kids, maybe anxious and worried about their own health. And some of them are angry at the Governor, who has not managed the situation well at all; I’m not talking about masks but about simple stuff like releasing data, which he’s been refusing to do. We don’t even know the number of hospitalizations or deaths by county.

Again, it’s August 2021. Polling will shift a few dozen more times before Election Day. This poll isn’t a “prediction” of what’s going to happen in November 2022. What it can tell us: 1. it’s fairly competitive right now (as elections in Florida always are), and 2. recent events might have dented DeSantis’s image a bit.

And, as a final note: the fact that every MAGA loser here and on Twitter has spent the last few hours in a frothing rage about how bad the poll is is not the signal of confidence that you think it is.

Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers:
All we know is the poll that said DeSantis was up 60/40 lied to us, UWS, and 2016 said that DeSantis was gonna win a landslide and D's should hang it up it's a Red wave, they are nowhere to be found because they probably have more than one account

Xing:
Calm down, dude. Freaking out over a poll showing your boy down 1 isn’t good for your health.

Roll Roons:
Quote from: (Temporary) Florida Man Xing on August 04, 2021, 08:03:27 AM

Calm down, dude. Freaking out over a poll showing your boy down 1 isn’t good for your health.



In all seriousness, Florida polls have been pretty awful for the past couple cycles so there's good reason to be skeptical.

TodayJunior:
Just a friendly reminder that Florida is STILL A BATTLEGROUND!!!! This shouldn’t surprise anyone.

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