FL-St. Pete: Crist +1

[Alben Barkley]

At this point part of me wants DeSantis to lose less because it's the best thing for my party and the state of Florida and more because it would be hilarious after all the predictions assuming he was the presumptive GOP nominee for 2024 if not Trump. Also all the talk about how Florida is Titanium R now would be in shambles.

[SWE]

DeSantis' strategy of encouraging all of his supporters to die of covid to own the libs may have been a less than optimum electoral strategy

[Donerail]

Bumping this thread to note that St. Pete Polls issued its final poll of the St. Petersburg mayoral election on Saturday.

Poll:
Welch 37%
Blackmon 27%
Rice 17%
Newton 6%
Boland 5%
Other 2%
(undecided 5%)

Final result, with ~90% of precincts reporting:
Welch 39% (+2)
Blackmon 28% (+1)
Rice 17% (±0)
Newton 7% (+1)
Boland 6% (+1)
Other/write-in 2% (±0)

For a poll of a low-turnout local election? That's pretty much dead-on.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I'm sure DeSantis is still somewhat favored here but his supporters are dying in the name of freedom every day. Perhaps by the time November rolls around, Crist can take him down.

[2016]

Crist is never going to win a Statewide Race in Florida again! That ship has sailed a long time ago!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is a wave insurance seat not a 304 seat but 2022 can be a big rebound, there are discrepancies in polls Biden 41/55 and 52/48 , D's can certainly win 304 blue wall but D's need VR to crack the Red wall that's why they keep passing VR reform by Sinema and Manchin wont stop R Filibuster

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'm sure DeSantis is still somewhat favored here but his supporters are dying in the name of freedom every day. Perhaps by the time November rolls around, Crist can take him down.

I think it's less likely since DeSantis' current high profile mishandling of the pandemic may be forgotten about more by then. Crist is only up by one (dubiously) and yet is sure to fall further in over a year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Crist will win and so will Demings, after Surfside, DeSantis and Rubio was up 60/40 by an R House effect poll by Chamber of Commerce

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I’m assuming DeSantis wins unless/until he actually loses the election, but it’s pretty clear that - and I can’t stress this next part enough - *as things stand right now*, he could definitely lose if Crist is the Democratic nominee.  At least for now, this is a competitive race. 

DeSantis could turn things around, but it’s just as likely that things keep getting worse for him until he’s in a Matt Bevin/Sam Brownback/Grey Davis type situation and doesn’t just lose, but even hurts the rest of the FL Republican ticket in parts of the state.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nikki Fried would be a better candidate than Crist and both are 3 pts behind