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March 28, 2024, 06:31:46 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 15 Down, 35 To Go)
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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« on: September 23, 2006, 09:17:55 AM »
« edited: September 24, 2006, 08:31:03 AM by DownWithTheLeft »

Took some time and used 2000 numbers plus growth rates to figure out an approximate of electoral votes in 2050, here it is:

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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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E: 9.16, S: -3.13

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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2006, 09:19:09 AM »

R90= -5+
R50= -3 or 4
R30= -1 or 2
GRY= +0
B30= +1 or 2
B50= +3 or 4
B90= +5 or more
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bgwah
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E: -1.03, S: -6.96

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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2006, 03:22:33 PM »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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E: 9.16, S: -3.13

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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2006, 04:24:17 PM »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.

Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
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E: 3.61, S: -1.74

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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2006, 10:03:18 AM »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.

Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
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ATFFL
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2006, 12:23:57 PM »
« Edited: September 26, 2006, 02:09:14 PM by Tredrick »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2006, 01:48:43 PM »

I think that also Virginia will gain at least one seat in the coming 50 years.
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Colin
ColinW
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E: 3.87, S: -6.09

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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2006, 07:03:10 PM »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah

Well I don't know about you Tredrick but I'm certain that Idaho and Utah are thrusting leftward as we speak.
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TomC
TCash101
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2006, 10:23:31 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2006, 10:25:08 PM by VP TCash101 »

Interesting, but of course states will not grow at the same rates for 60 years (stating the obvious).

I've always thought that it was interesting that only Washington and Oregon (and sort of California) are the only fast-growing states that have been mostly Democratic during their growth.



Yes, but the 5 fastest growing all went for Bush in 04' (although NV should soon change)

The 5 fastest growing states are also becoming more democratic too.
What?

The top 5 in 2005 were (in order)
1. Nevada
2. Arizona
3. Idaho
4. Florida
5. Utah

Well I don't know about you Tredrick but I'm certain that Idaho and Utah are thrusting leftward as we speak.

Idaho and Utah have nowhere to go but left. Not that they'll go Democratic-, maybe from wingnut right to patrician right, but really, nowhere to go but left.
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Platypus
hughento
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2006, 09:02:46 AM »

your colours are wrong for Nebraska, Alabama and Maine.
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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Posts: 18,548
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E: 9.16, S: -3.13

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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2006, 05:07:56 PM »

your colours are wrong for Nebraska, Alabama and Maine.

I described my problem w/NE and ME, idk about AL, I think I messed up the map and the number should be like 7 or 8
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Colin
ColinW
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E: 3.87, S: -6.09

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« Reply #11 on: December 19, 2006, 06:28:53 PM »


The patrician right? I didn't know the Republican Party included Roman noblemen.
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KEmperor
Junior Chimp
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E: 8.00, S: -0.05

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« Reply #12 on: December 19, 2006, 06:33:14 PM »


The patrician right? I didn't know the Republican Party included Roman noblemen.

You mean you aren't one of us?

SPQR 4 life!
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nini2287
Junior Chimp
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E: 2.77, S: -3.39

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« Reply #13 on: December 21, 2006, 05:29:55 PM »

Let's up PA doesn't lose any more or else PA-13 won't exist!
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #14 on: December 22, 2006, 02:08:32 AM »

Let's up PA doesn't lose any more or else PA-13 won't exist!

I think the Southeast and Poconos will grow and we might actually see another CD in our area.  The rest of the state, you will see some very large CD's in area.  PA is taking a lot of NJ, NY, and even some MD/DC transplants so we won't be so bad.
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