This is going to be close.
Sure seems like it.
I think the chance of the recall succeeding is still less than 50%, but it's a lot closer to 50% than 0.
Would be very ironic if Newsom loses and then McAuliffe wins comfortably given the CW about both races. Fairly plausible too, as this would send the VA/NJ Dems into panic/regroup mode.
At least the (tiresome) VA trend/partisanship deniers would then have a point about VA not being CA...
I won’t buy Newsom getting recalled and replaced with a Republican until I see it with my own eyes, though.
