Reaction to this 2024 GOP Victory Map

[THG]

Ignore the margins.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Happy of course and not surprised

[Biden his time]

Ignore the margins.

I'd imagine Nevada would be extremely close here, probably closer than Arizona, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, and that DeSantis worked very hard for a Nevada win.

This map is also a lot easier to see happening against Harris than it is against the incumbent Biden.

If the economy tanks maybe it could happen.

[Tekken_Guy]

The only thing really implausible about this is Vice President Sean Parnell.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is exactly at the same Approvals he was on Election night, 50/45 v 51/46% it's 278 MI, PA and WI and AZ and GA are Battlegrounds, just like Senate races this yr, I wouldn't underestimate Rs in AZ or GA

[Person Man]

This is probably how it's going to go down if it happens. That's a really messy map and probably shows that there's no "magic bullet" for Democrats to improve except to move to the center(1992), wait for something bad to happen(2008), or for people just to get tired of Republicans (1960)

[Pericles]

Reasonable map for if a Republican wins. The overall premise is of course very possible but not the most likely outcome imo.

[Padfoot]

Georgia and Nevada stand out to me as odd.

[THG]

Georgia and Nevada stand out to me as odd.

It is possible given the way those two states are trending (and the Perdue/Reid machines dying off, the GA GOP is honestly more broken than the AZ one, and just look at what the DSA did to the NV Dems machine recently lol).

But I do think that Georgia is more likely to go red in 2024 than Nevada. For now!

[7,052,770]

It means that Trump is dead because he's 100% running otherwise and 100% pulverizing any primary opposition like he did to Weld.

[Chips]

Reasonable map for if a Republican wins. The overall premise is of course very possible but not the most likely outcome imo.

[pbrower2a]

With the same word as General Anthony McAuliffe said when the German Army offered him and his troops the opportunity to surrender at bastogne:

NUTS!

Do you really think that Donald Trump isn't severely tainted after the hearings exposing the misdeeds of the Putschists in the Capitol on January 6?

Real conservatives like Adam Kinzinger and Liz Cheney despise lawlessness. There are plenty of those around. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said on a previous thread Rs haven't won a single Election cycle since 2016 and they are loosing on the Generic ballot by 7 points, lol this map is implausible

[MT Treasurer]

With the possible exception of MI (it would probably be the closest state like in 2016 in this scenario), this is as close to the most pausible GOP path to 270 as you can get at this early stage. I don’t buy into the "Titanium Lean D" Nevada theory (neither for 2022 nor 2024), and I don’t see GA flipping red before NV.

As a Republican I’d probably be even more excited about the Senate than the Presidency if this was the outcome.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Flip Nevada and then maybe I can buy it more.

[Builder Refused]

This is probably how it's going to go down if it happens. That's a really messy map and probably shows that there's no "magic bullet" for Democrats to improve except to move to the center(1992), wait for something bad to happen(2008), or for people just to get tired of Republicans (1960)

You’re comparing three totally different periods and party brands, social engagement, media portrayal, and international zeitgeist. I think the fact you think this is a good argument, which means it might be, shows that people have like 10 bullsh**t Reagan quotes shuffling around their head like bingo balls

[Nightcore Nationalist]

Pretty plausible GOP win map.  Although I still think MI will vote GOP before NV.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs aren't winning in 2024 if our D Govs win Reelection in 2022/ WI, MI and PA and most likely they will be Trump got Elected based on Hillary, Harris or Biden will beat the Rs in those three states, why would we want to go back to oil drilling that causes Brushfires and tax cuts for the rich

Not likely map

Unless Whitmer, Shapiro or Evers are upset and all are favs

Evers is just as old as Ron Johnson, if Johnson at the same age as Tony Evers can get a second term so can Tony Evers and MANDEL Barnes, Tim Scott, Herschel Walker and Cory Booker will be in Senate together


Furthermore, Everytime I talk to a Secularist,here in Cali, they say say since Covid, that Trump put something in the air, he did, toxic fumes from excessive oil drilling, since Reagan all Prez has not done anything to cap fracking and Biden has stopped Keystone and ANWR, and if Harris gets elected president she will cap FRACKING

Trump and Putin are friends for oil