Reaction to this Trump 2024 victory map
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  Reaction to this Trump 2024 victory map
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Author Topic: Reaction to this Trump 2024 victory map  (Read 1420 times)
Woody
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« on: July 26, 2021, 11:31:47 AM »

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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2021, 11:32:13 AM »

no
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2021, 12:23:30 PM »

Not unbelievable (though highly unlikely) except for you making NM red for whatever reason. It voted for Biden by eleven points!! Much more likely NH or MN flip.
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EugeneDebs
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2021, 01:26:34 PM »

Very unlikely, to say the least; Nevada hasn't gone Republican in almost 20 years. If they're going to vote GOP again, it won't be for one of the least popular Presidents in modern American history.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2021, 01:37:21 PM »

We must've had a terrible recession and Joe Biden resigned prematurely, 'cause this is a "black woman running as incumbent during a horrible economic collapse" EC scenario.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2021, 02:37:50 PM »

Trump isn't winning another election he along with DeSantis are down seven and he got into office against Hillary based on Gary Johnson taking .5 of the vote just like Nadar took votes away from Gore
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THG
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2021, 02:46:35 PM »

I can see New Mexico flipping in 2032. I cannot visualize it flipping in 2024.
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THG
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2021, 02:52:35 PM »

I can see New Mexico flipping in 2032. I cannot visualize it flipping in 2024.

Apart from that, I can see that map- if the economy is poor or we get into a foreign policy calamity.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2021, 03:36:34 PM »

lmao New Mexico
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here2view
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« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2021, 03:55:57 PM »

Laughter
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UncleSam
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« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2021, 04:04:10 PM »

New Mexico is only flipping in an R landslide, and if it is then MN and NH are flipping before it. ME-AL too.

This is honestly not that incredibly unlikely vs Harris if Harris goes full Latinx identity politics and flubs a debate question or two. People are really underestimating how misogynistic this country is, especially among Latino and White men.
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Cory
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2021, 07:01:09 PM »

The New Mexico thing is just silly.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2021, 07:06:12 PM »

The map is as idiotic as I would expect from someone listing Trump as the incumbent.
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BigVic
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« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2021, 07:07:50 PM »

This is plain stupid. No way NM will turn (atlas blue) red
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Chips
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« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2021, 08:30:40 PM »

2016 but Trump has Bush 2004 levels of Hispanic appeal. New Mexico is heavily unlikely to go unless it's an amazing year for the GOP but the map looks decent enough for a sizable but not landslide Trump win in 2024 otherwise. 313-225.
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #15 on: July 29, 2021, 11:44:45 AM »

Epic
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #16 on: July 29, 2021, 12:50:49 PM »

Yikes. Did Martin Heinrich lose in this scenario?
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Real Texan Politics
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« Reply #17 on: July 29, 2021, 03:01:31 PM »

Not impossible but not very plausible either. Biden would have to be BADLY underwater with hispanics to lose New Mexico. At best it's like D+5.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #18 on: July 29, 2021, 03:46:17 PM »

LOL!  Cheesy
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Person Man
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« Reply #19 on: July 29, 2021, 04:04:41 PM »

I can see New Mexico flipping in 2032. I cannot visualize it flipping in 2024.

Apart from that, I can see that map- if the economy is poor or we get into a foreign policy calamity.

We would have to have a full blown recession between and then and now. That probably gets us to a 2016 map minus something. To get a 30 state landslide, there needs to be a loss of an ally or something like Iran.
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Chips
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« Reply #20 on: July 30, 2021, 01:53:38 AM »

Bottom line: New Mexico COULD flip in an amazing year for the GOP, but if the GOP is winning there, they're likely winning every state they could win.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #21 on: July 30, 2021, 06:31:43 AM »

Yikes. Did Martin Heinrich lose in this scenario?
Yes. Elisa Martinez defeats him narrowly, though she will be defeated by Melanie Stansbury in 2030.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: July 30, 2021, 07:02:14 AM »

It won't happen Woodbury, Biden has always been above 50% as long as he is above 50% the Blue wall is safe Rs aren't winning WI, PA and MI with Bob Casey JR and we will have D Govs in MI and PA, Cast is on the ballot in 2024/ so many Rs have D's loosing PA, NOT

Forget NM, that was so 2004 and Susana Martinez
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Gracile
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« Reply #23 on: July 30, 2021, 12:10:09 PM »

ME, NH, and MI would probably be significantly more Republican in this scenario given how the other states are voting.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: July 30, 2021, 12:24:20 PM »

Rs want to believe that Trump again is gonna win WI, MI and PA or DeSantis, but as I said before, once DeSANTIS gets tied to the R Congressional leadership like Romney did with Boehner and Trump did with McConnell their polls suffer

Part if the reason why Bush W won another term J Dennis Hassert wasn't polarizing and the Foley scandal and Katrina knocked Rs out of power

Also, what's in the R platform but more drilling for oil and tax cuts for the richest Americans, in a Pandemic the Congress doesn't even want to give us another Stimulus check, why would middle or lower class people want to give rich people more wealth than they have to buy more Capital Gaines
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