REMINDER: Ohio and Iowa are not battlegrounds in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH is much more likely to go D in 2024 than in a Midterm and Brown has survived, it is possible that OH can go D while GA goes R




This van be the map of 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol you can't count out OH just like D's can't count on GA being reliably blue, either, what's with Rs making it seem that OH will never vote D and it has predominantly black cities Cleveland, Dayton, Cincy and Columbus, the Election is 500 days, we haven seen any polls from OH, IA, NC

It's wave insurance and don't count out Brown 2024 he has survived every race

The Midterms are 500 days and Prez Election is 1500 days

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not saying D's are gonna win OH, but they need it in 2024 and MT Senate race in 2024 to keep the Senate, and if the House flips, which it probably is, D's can most definitely win the House back in 2024/2026

D's don't have to win OH and Iowa in 2022 to keep the Senate and in a D Midterm they are harder to turn but in a Prez Election where WVA is surely gone, they must hold OH and MT

Sherrod Brown has beaten the odds in every Senate race

Similarly, in IA, in 2026 as opposed to 2022 Ernst is more vulnerable than Grassley, ME, IA and NC are D pickups in 2026 and Collins definitely won't win another term after obstruction of VR, she won reelection due to fact she voted for Cares Act in 2020, but now she is on record opposing VR

Biden is sitting at the EXACT SAME APPROVALS HE HAD ON ELECTION NIGHT 50/45, NOW, 51/46% ON ELECTION NIGHT, WHICH MEANS A NEUTRAL 304 Cycle, which means with only 220 seats, not 230 they're gonna lose the H without VR reform but solidify the S and Maj of Govs

His Approvals only went to 60% due to UBI stimulus since we are in a job crunch no more checks are issued, meaning no more 60% Approval

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

REMINDER RS CANT WIN THE 291 BLUE WALL BECAUSE ANGUS KING, KLOBUCHAR, BALDWIN, STABENOW, CASEY, KAINE, JACKY ROSEN AND SINEMA WHOM WERE UNBEATABLE IN 2018 ARE ON THE BALLOT, NOT EVEN DESANTIS BECAUSE BIDEN IS AT EXACTLY AT THE SAME APPROVALS AS HE WAS IN 2020 50/45 AND HE WON IT BY 51/46%. ALSO, TRUMP AND DeSANTIS are seven pts down

THE RS WONT EVEN WON ME2 BECAUSE COLLINS WHOM WONT WIN IN 2026 IS AN OBSTRUCTIONIST TO VR REFORM AFTER VOTING DURING TRUMP  FOR CARES ACT, SHE FOOLED HER CONSTITUENTS


The Rs might even loose OH because Sherrod Brown and Tester are needed to secure the Senate in 2024 abd GA in 2022 looses it's Bellweather status, after Warnock conloosed

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH and IA are wave insurance as well as NC we don't know what 2022/2024 holds, there hasn't been any polls on the Senate race, it's not being a hack to insinuate that OH and IA and NC are D pickups

But, in a Covid Environment they're not polling these states, but Clyburn is heading towards OH to solidify Shontel Brown and plans on endorsing Ryan in the GE

How can you predict wave insurance 500 days or 1500 days from an Election, but OH Senate race will be competetive not the Gov race, JD VANCE AND MANDEL ARE UNTESTED BUT EVERYONE KNOWS RENACCI

DISCOUNTING Brown, Ryan or Manchin whom never lost a race before is inaccurate


If that's the case, we shouldn't run any candidate for Senate in IA, OH or NC ever again or Gov


FL s very far gone due to DeSantis and how popular he is


IF WE DONT COMPETE IN YOUR IA, AND NC WE WON'T WIN IT IN 2026 EITHER

WE DONT KNOW THE NPVI THE FINAL RESULT,  BUT THE COMMISSION IS GONNA MAKE IT TOUGH ON RS

All the Rs thought Beshear was DOA TO BEVIN AND HE WON SO CAN TIM.RYAN, Ryan and Beshear are too blue dogs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Agreed, but FL and TX are.

Brown in 2024 would win before Beto or Castro wins in TX in 2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's don't even need these states they need MI, WI and PA and due to D Govs are gonna be Reelected in 2022, Biden is on track for Reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's don't need OH and IA, NC and FL and TX to win Prez, this Pollster thinks he's a magician. If this the case Election Guy, Coolidge and Progressive Moderate whom have been naysayers on Election should not be on Atlas, they would be on Nate Silver as a Consultant

500/1500 days to Election, D's are pessimistic about the election, but those three pollsters take the cake

Lol the D's still lead 45/44 on Generic ballot the only Elections Rs really wonwas 2002/2010/2014 2000/2004 Bush W won on dimpled chads which should of been outlawed in OH and of course FL in dimpled chads every other Election they lost fair and square


Don't forget D's have large leads in Early voting

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Here we go again with OH safe R, Lol the only poll that was released on OH had Ryan tied with all R challengers, the Gov race is safe R and so is the Sen race FL Rubio will win

Split voting occured in OH 2018 and NC 2020


Lol and don't give me that 12 pt D victory, Obama and Biden won OH, FL, NC and IA in 2008/12 and PVI was 5

Who thought that Nikki Fried was gonna lead DeSantis by 53/47 lol if Gwen Graham would of been nominated, DeSANTIS would have lost



This pollster Coolidge thinks that Biden is gonna have a 40% Approval rating in 500 days lol if Biden really had 40% we would be losing Cali or VA or both


Rs thought that Biden had a 40% that's why they thought they could win VA and Cali, NOT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Strickland lost because he said Scalias death was good for America,

Why the polls showed Ryan tied with all R challengers, if you really think D's can't win Ohio again, that is inaccurate just because a massive wave and we lost seats in the Senate

Can we wait for polls in IA, NC and OH Senate before we assume the obvious, Trump won Mahoning County I'm 2016/2020 and OH have Afro Americans in it that's why Blks voted for Brown

Clinton in 1996 won OH and he didn't win 50% of the vote

Just wait until 2022/ when Ryan all we have to do is vote

Midterm jinx don't matter that much because since 2002, Voters have been voting Congresses in with their Prez, Eisenhower, Nixon, and Clinton had opposite party Congresses because D's and Rs worked together, the Rs are an OBSTRUCTIONIST party


They are using the Filibuster to obstruct not pass legislation

It's a 52/48 Senate but in a wave OH, NC and IA are our path to DC Statehood and 55 seats which is possible in 500 days, it's a long time til Election

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This pollster Coolidge thinks that Biden is gonna stay at 46 Approvals thru 2022, he was on pbower2A Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Vance and DeSantis and Rubio are only up within the Margin of error Vance or Mandel isn't Portman and Desantis is trying to get rid of mask wearing for kids and kids don't have masks

Biden will be 54 percent Approvals not at 46 next yr

JD Vance 39/37, Rubio and DeSantis are up 46/43 those aren't spam dunk races, I am R outing for Ken Lucas upset too he is a Marine

Let's not pretend 2008/12 with Biden on ballot did or didn't happen only 2018 matters


It's funny that S019 believes Insurrectionists Johnson is gonna win but DeSantis and Rubio won't, lol Johnson is DOA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Prez races and statewide races aren't the same and Vance only lead Ryan 39/37 and Rubio and DeSantis leads bye 2, well we thin range and it's 500 days before an Election