Would Labour have won 400+ seats in 2005 if Iraq went well
OSR stands with Israel:
Would Labour have won 400+ seats again if say WMD's were found and Iraq was going well
brucejoel99:
If Iraq had been an undisputable success for Blair, then another landslide would've been likely, given that he still managed to win a more-than-workable majority in real life's 2005 anyway, even after it'd transpired that there were no Iraqi WMDs. Maybe not 400+ seats, but I'd have to presume that they would've been able to manage a majority of at least 80 at ~363.
OSR stands with Israel:
Quote from: brucejoel99 on July 24, 2021, 10:46:37 PM
If Iraq had been an undisputable success for Blair, then another landslide would've been likely, given that he still managed to win a more-than-workable majority in real life's 2005 anyway, even after it'd transpired that there were no Iraqi WMDs. Maybe not 400+ seats, but I'd have to presume that they would've been able to manage a majority of at least 80 at ~363.
Would Blair be able to hold on to leadership of the Labour Party until 2010 or is he still removed sometime in that term
Pericles:
No, there were other factors weighing down Labour's appeal and voter fatigue would have inevitably set in. My guess is around 380-390 seats, the Tory vote might have gone down on 2001 slightly which would have been humiliating. From there, Labour could have been in a better position in the 2010 hung parliament (plus Iraq probably weighed Brown down slightly). That presumes a snap election isn't called when Brown takes over (13 years as PM is still a long time for Blair, I don't know the exact history but I guess he'd want to go at a time of his choosing), 2010 was terrible election timing for Labour.
Filuwaúrdjan:
No, as the Blair government's domestic policy agenda was already strikingly unpopular with those who did not benefit from it directly by 2005 and as the electoral backlash to Iraq (which was felt more in terms of votes than seats) was not linked to how the occupation was going, but to the fact of the invasion itself.
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