Why is North Dakota more Republican than South Dakota?
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  Why is North Dakota more Republican than South Dakota?
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Author Topic: Why is North Dakota more Republican than South Dakota?  (Read 1316 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« on: September 07, 2021, 11:37:57 AM »

Why does North Dakota vote more Republican than South Dakota?
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Seef
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« Reply #1 on: September 07, 2021, 12:12:10 PM »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bakken_Formation
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 07, 2021, 12:32:24 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.
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Senator Golden
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« Reply #3 on: September 07, 2021, 01:02:53 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.
I think that is exactly why ND is redder than SD. ND is also more reliant on oil and fracking which is definitely a Republican issue.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2021, 04:53:08 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.


Good point.

Just look at ND and SD's Native American counties. SD has more Native American counties, and these counties vote slightly more liberally than ND's such counties overall.

Rolette and Sioux Counties, ND's only blue ones, gave Biden 65% and 68%, respectively (average: 66.5%). In contrast, SD had six blue counties, five of them majority-Native-American, two that went Democratic with over 70% of the vote; the five majority-Native-American counties gave Biden 64%, 58%, 88% (Oglala Lakota was one of the bluest counties nationally), 77% and 53% (average: 68%).
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2021, 12:33:31 AM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.

More of them are also of German descent, and German-Americans are these days one of the most strongly Republican voting blocs. People act like Germans were all completely assimilated and thus there is no distinction between how they and other white Americans vote today, but that's not quite true. It may not be as noticeable as it was back in the day, but German-Americans still have a clear Republican lean and that alone handed Trump the presidency in 2016.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2021, 09:16:22 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.

More of them are also of German descent, and German-Americans are these days one of the most strongly Republican voting blocs. People act like Germans were all completely assimilated and thus there is no distinction between how they and other white Americans vote today, but that's not quite true. It may not be as noticeable as it was back in the day, but German-Americans still have a clear Republican lean and that alone handed Trump the presidency in 2016.

What do you suspect is the cause of this?
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TDAS04
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2021, 06:03:37 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.

More of them are also of German descent, and German-Americans are these days one of the most strongly Republican voting blocs. People act like Germans were all completely assimilated and thus there is no distinction between how they and other white Americans vote today, but that's not quite true. It may not be as noticeable as it was back in the day, but German-Americans still have a clear Republican lean and that alone handed Trump the presidency in 2016.

ND and SD are very close in the % of population having German ancestry.  ND is considerably more Norwegian than SD, but I doubt that's a reason why it's a bit more Republican.
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HAnnA MArin County
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2021, 12:52:33 PM »

I seem to recall seeing somewhere that North Dakota also has the highest percentage of churchgoers per capita. So there's that and plus the Bakken oil field and just its demographics that the state is heavily non-Hispanic white and very rural; all characteristics that line up favorably for the GQP.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2021, 03:10:42 PM »

Energy production.
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Tartarus Sauce
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2021, 09:09:46 PM »

It should be noted that South Dakota has usually voted several points to the left of North Dakota post-Roosevelt. The only exceptions were in 1960, when Kennedy actually performed better in ND, and 2008 and 2012, when Obama performed almost identically in both.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2021, 09:13:43 PM »

It should be noted that South Dakota has usually voted several points to the left of North Dakota post-Roosevelt. The only exceptions were in 1960, when Kennedy actually performed better in ND, and 2008 and 2012, when Obama performed almost identically in both.

Actually, 1964 was the last time ND voted more Democratic than SD.
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David Hume
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2021, 06:54:31 PM »

ND also has a greater share of whites and a smaller share of Native Americans compared to SD.

More of them are also of German descent, and German-Americans are these days one of the most strongly Republican voting blocs. People act like Germans were all completely assimilated and thus there is no distinction between how they and other white Americans vote today, but that's not quite true. It may not be as noticeable as it was back in the day, but German-Americans still have a clear Republican lean and that alone handed Trump the presidency in 2016.
IIRC German Americans in the midwest lean D in the past, since a lot of them are Catholics. Why do you think they are strong R than say average white?
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