OK that maybe fair enough but one could argue that the results of Pederson's internal poll are borne out by the Survey USA one.
Remember the Vorlon quote about internal polls. They are to be categorically disbelieved unless some extraordinary reason comes about to prove their accuracy. One Indy poll does not supply that extraordinary reason, in fact oppositely, the internal poll should cause us to naturally cast doubt on the Indy result. I would supply that the extraordinary reason would be maybe 5 or 6 polls in the span of a few weeks that mimic the internal result, or maybe an election interrupting, perhaps.
This is quite possible. The poll numbers indicate a possible narrowing (from say a range of 15% to 10%), though the result I'm basing this on is through Rasmussen's trend mainly. It is also possible that Rasmussen's results are within each other's MOE and there has been little movement.
Considering the quality of recent polls, I am leery of putting too much faith in too few data points. The ASU poll is historically one of the worst ones out there, period, and I have doubts on the SUSA result because of the discussion above.
With more reputable polls (here me, M-D), we can establish the soundness of the assumption I made above further.
