After months of being ignored, Rhode Island has suddenly had an influx of polling. The results all show leads for Whitehouse: + 8, + 1 and + 5 I think. Rhode Islanders are clearly coming home in that they are showing traditional loyalty to the Democratic candidate. Whitehouse to win, I just can't say by how much. At worst 52%-47%, at best 54%-45% or somewhere around these numbers. I can't see Whitehouse going above 55% of the vote or Chafee going under 44% bar anything unexpected.
A pretty reasonable prediction (although I wouldn't count Chafee out completely yet).