VA-Spry Strategies (R): McAuliffe +5
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  VA-Spry Strategies (R): McAuliffe +5
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: July 16, 2021, 04:03:30 PM »
« edited: July 16, 2021, 04:13:51 PM by Josh Shapiro for Governor »

McAuliffe (D): 46%
Youngkin (R): 41%

R internal poll that includes loaded questions about trans student athletes and CRT and they’re still behind lol.

https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/VA_Statewide_APP-Survey_Results-Smart_Charts_071621.pdf
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2021, 04:18:20 PM »

Hahah wow, time to move this to Likely D if that’s the best this far-right firm can throw together.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2021, 04:26:43 PM »

Hahah wow, time to move this to Likely D if that’s the best this far-right firm can throw together.

What’s even funnier is that they polled an “informed ballot test” after fear-mongering about CRT and McAuliffe still lead by 3.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2021, 04:35:57 PM »

Safe D, the closest Rs get is 2 pts
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2021, 07:30:28 PM »

That's more like it!
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2021, 07:32:08 PM »

Youngkin probably isn't going to win, but if he makes it closer than Gillespie in 2017, expect the GOP to massively increase their fundraising.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2021, 07:16:20 PM »

There's always the possibility that this is just part one of a two to three part poll where the primary objective is to actually do "momentum" messaging.

Usually, if these R firms come up with these numbers and don't have another motive in mind, they will simply not release them
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Jackson Lee
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2021, 02:53:24 PM »

4 Republican polls.

Trumpkin is not leading in any of them.

He can spend as much as he wants, he won’t win. 46-48% is his ceiling.
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Chips
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« Reply #8 on: July 18, 2021, 08:01:40 PM »

Yeah I feel like this might be a Likely D race after all. Time runs out daily for Youngkin to make something interesting happen.

I'll wait for an independent-minded poll to come out. If that shows the race close, I'll keep the race as Lean D. If it shows Youngkin up mid-high single digits/low double digits I'll move it to Likely D.
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