Next Nova Scotia general election

[DC Al Fine]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

Rankin lost the plot with bad stories in the first week and never recovered (firing a candidate for having an OnlyFans, and telling her to lie and say she was resigning due to mental health among others) and never recovered

Were there any issues with the platform? Did the PC focus on healthcare maybe help?

No on the first count, definitely yes on the second.

Maritime healthcare is generally awful and the Tories outflanked the Liberals on it, particularly on rural healthcare.

[jaichind]

Did rising inflation play a role? If so that might not be good news for LPC in the Federal election.

[DistingFlyer]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

Rankin lost the plot with bad stories in the first week and never recovered (firing a candidate for having an OnlyFans, and telling her to lie and say she was resigning due to mental health among others) and never recovered

Were there any issues with the platform? Did the PC focus on healthcare maybe help?

No on the first count, definitely yes on the second.

Maritime healthcare is generally awful and the Tories outflanked the Liberals on it, particularly on rural healthcare.

That strategy paid off for them in Cape Breton four years ago; now looks to have helped them on the mainland.

[Njall]

Smith-McCrossin appears to be running away with Cumberland North now. She's up 57%-27% with 11/38 polls reporting.

[jaichind]

Just noticed that all 3 candidates in Glace Bay-Dominion are called John.  One of them also has John as the middle name.

[Oryxslayer]

Didn't expect this, but am pleased. I would like it to be a harbinger of next month's vote, but am not that optimistic.

Still, the federal Grits must be at least a little concerned right now.

Yes, its a bad omen. Not because of the partisanship, PC's =/= National Conservatives, barely see eye to eye, and the Libs will win Nova Scotia in a month, but rather that the incumbents blew a lead infinitely larger than his present advantage. Not hard to imagine the federal Libs losing control of the narrative for different reasons, and that could be enough to flip polls.

[DC Al Fine]

Just noticed that all 3 candidates in Glace Bay-Dominion are called John.  One of them also has John as the middle name.

Beautiful. Very Nova Scotian

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Smith-McCrossin appears to be running away with Cumberland North now. She's up 57%-27% with 11/38 polls reporting.

Really strange to see PC gains all across the province, except in this riding where the PC incumbent (!) is currently in 4th place behind even the NDP!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Didn't expect this, but am pleased. I would like it to be a harbinger of next month's vote, but am not that optimistic.

Still, the federal Grits must be at least a little concerned right now.

Why would this vote have any real relevance to the federal result?

[MaxQue]

Smith-McCrossin appears to be running away with Cumberland North now. She's up 57%-27% with 11/38 polls reporting.

Really strange to see PC gains all across the province, except in this riding where the PC incumbent (!) is currently in 4th place behind even the NDP!

The incumbent is the Independent (elected as PC).

[Oryxslayer]

Currently a 3-way race in restored Preston seat BTW, with the Libs leading at the moment.

[jaichind]

Just noticed that all 3 candidates in Glace Bay-Dominion are called John.  One of them also has John as the middle name.

Beautiful. Very Nova Scotian

Right now it is a virtual 3 way tie in the Battle of the Johns

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Just noticed that all 3 candidates in Glace Bay-Dominion are called John.  One of them also has John as the middle name.

Beautiful. Very Nova Scotian

Right now it is a virtual 3 way tie in the Battle of the Johns

This being Nova Scotia, I’ll bet that none of them are saints.

[DC Al Fine]

Just noticed that all 3 candidates in Glace Bay-Dominion are called John.  One of them also has John as the middle name.

Beautiful. Very Nova Scotian

Right now it is a virtual 3 way tie in the Battle of the Johns

This being Nova Scotia, I’ll bet that none of them are saints.

And all of them enjoy their liquor (says the Nova Scotian)

[MaxQue]

Cole Harbour is also a 3-way race, with 14/28 counted, Liberals are leading NDP by 5, with PC 1 vote one behind NDP.

[DC Al Fine]

Once again my shoddy election prediction skills are on display again

[DistingFlyer]

First non-PC declaration: New Democrats hold Dartmouth South.

Glace Bay remains a close three-way race, with NDP leading Tories by ten votes.

Only three polls in from Chebucto, but Gary Burrill is actually trailing by seven; will be shocked if that actually holds, though.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

First non-PC declaration: New Democrats hold Dartmouth South.

Glace Bay remains a close three-way race, with NDP leading Tories by ten votes.

Only three polls in from Chebucto, but Gary Burrill is actually trailing by seven; will be shocked if that actually holds, though.

NDP also declared winners in Dartmouth North and Halifax Needham

[DistingFlyer]

First non-PC declaration: New Democrats hold Dartmouth South.

Glace Bay remains a close three-way race, with NDP leading Tories by ten votes.

Only three polls in from Chebucto, but Gary Burrill is actually trailing by seven; will be shocked if that actually holds, though.

NDP also declared winners in Dartmouth North and Halifax Needham

And now the Liberals have their first declaration: Iain Rankin holds Timberlea - Prospect.

[DistingFlyer]

Gary Burrill back in the lead in Chebucto for the NDP, but Labi Kousoulis now trailing in Citadel. Didn't expect this to happen, but it looks like I may get a new MLA.

Tories now hovering just below a majority, with Chester & Sackville going away from them.

[MaxQue]

Yet another tight 3-way race, this time in Dartmouth East.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Looking like the Liberals are doing better in Cape Breton? They might actually pick up Northside-Westmount from the PCs

[Estrella]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

Rankin lost the plot with bad stories in the first week and never recovered (firing a candidate for having an OnlyFans, and telling her to lie and say she was resigning due to mental health among others) and never recovered

...and Liberals lost that riding to NDP 57-22 lmao. Well deserved.

[DistingFlyer]

Looking like the Liberals are doing better in Cape Breton? They might actually pick up Northside-Westmount from the PCs

Boundary changes turned that into an NDP riding, but either way the Liberals are gaining it.


Edit: Whoops! Don't know what riding I was looking at there. You're quite right, and with an incumbent Tory running again too (albeit a by-election winner).

[Oryxslayer]

PC's back at 29 seats. Uncalled Chester-St. Margaret's flipped to marginal PC after the Libs leading there for most of the night.