Next Nova Scotia general election

[Oryxslayer]

NDP leading in the first two polls! Stop the count!

[Estrella]

Random small thing I noticed: at the PC HQ, there's a Mi'kmaq flag hanging behind the lectern, right next to the provincial one. Doesn't mean anything, but it is nice.

[Njall]

The first poll from Cumberland North has Bill Casey leading Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin by one vote, with the Tory candidate far behind. That's only 60 total votes though.

[Oryxslayer]

PC's Waaaaayyyy out ahead right now, but its mostly rural ridings reporting with only a handful from Halifax. And it's also very early. But the Liberals held a lot of these rural seats last time so...

[DC Al Fine]

Looking like there was a late break to the Tories, at least in the rural mainland.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Halifax area hasn't reported a lot yet but Liberals have gotta be nervous from these early numbers in the rest of the province.

[DistingFlyer]

Tories even leading in their Sackville by-election gain, albeit with only two polling stations in. Given their narrow win there two years ago, I wasn't sure they'd keep it, but it looks like they might.

Truro looks to be going Tory pretty handily, which isn't a surprise at all.

[VPH]

Tories even leading in their Sackville by-election gain, albeit with only two polling stations in. Given their narrow win there two years ago, I wasn't sure they'd keep it, but it looks like they might.

Truro looks to be going Tory pretty handily, which isn't a surprise at all.

How did the NDP ever win Truro?

[DistingFlyer]

First declaration - Kim Masland holds Queens for the Tories.

[Njall]

PCs also declared elected in Argyle

[DistingFlyer]

Tories even leading in their Sackville by-election gain, albeit with only two polling stations in. Given their narrow win there two years ago, I wasn't sure they'd keep it, but it looks like they might.

Truro looks to be going Tory pretty handily, which isn't a surprise at all.

How did the NDP ever win Truro?

In 2009 they grabbed a lot of mainland ridings, but in Truro the Tory incumbent didn't re-offer & the NDP had a fairly prominent candidate in Lenore Zann. Once she left for Ottawa it was pretty likely the Tories would win it back.

[DC Al Fine]

Smith-McCrossin takes the lead in Cumberland North

[DistingFlyer]

Smith-McCrossin takes the lead in Cumberland North

Tories also look to be winning Richmond, even with their old MLA running as an Independent (also a poor third) and boundary changes making it a nominal Liberal seat.

[Mexican Wolf]

Tories retain Cumberland South, according to CBC News.

[Njall]

Tories retain Pictou Centre too.

[mileslunn]

While not called, based on what I have seen, I think it will be a PC win.  PC majority if Tories do well in early vote, but PC minority if Liberals win most early votes.  I don't see how Liberals can pull this off, but maybe this will look silly, but right now, I am about 90% sure PCs will win most seats.

[Oryxslayer]

PCs now leading in all reporting rural Cape Breton seats, despite the Libs enjoying strong polling leads there...in every poll, including the last two.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

[DistingFlyer]

Last time the Liberals went in with a big lead and saw it cut to 'barely-sufficient' levels; here, they started out with a decent lead and it looks to have disappeared entirely. Even if the Grits did really well in early voting it'll be hard for them to recover from where they are right now.

[Njall]

Tories declared elected in Pictou West. That's 5 elected, versus zero for the other parties.

Also, the NDP appears to be over performing at the moment.

[Oryxslayer]

CBC calls PC govt, no knowledge if majority or minority. Liberals screwed up bigtime.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

First PC government in NS in 15 years

[DC Al Fine]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

Rankin lost the plot with bad stories in the first week and never recovered (firing a candidate for having an OnlyFans, and telling her to lie and say she was resigning due to mental health among others) and never recovered

[DistingFlyer]

Didn't expect this, but am pleased. I would like it to be a harbinger of next month's vote, but am not that optimistic.

Still, the federal Grits must be at least a little concerned right now.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

If the PC wins this after the Liberals started off so strong, what are the main reasons?

Rankin lost the plot with bad stories in the first week and never recovered (firing a candidate for having an OnlyFans, and telling her to lie and say she was resigning due to mental health among others) and never recovered

Were there any issues with the platform? Did the PC focus on healthcare maybe help?