How can the Florida Democratic Party start winning statewide elections again?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As long as Trump and DeSantis are down there they won't win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As with Georgia, North Carolina, and Texas: minority turnout, minority turnout, and minority turnout.

note: I know Cuban Americans (particularly older generations) tend to vote Republican. But, they have voted for Democrats in significant numbers in the recent past (Obama's Florida wins come to mind).

D's are gonna get the same map as in 2020, as Biden is at 51 not 60 percent Approvals

We have MI, WI and PA along with AZ and GA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The D's have a better chance in FL in 2024/ due to fact Scott is up for reelection, not Rubio and DeSantis, with this Cuban crisis, the D's won't beat Rubio

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's don't need FL to win the EC college

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There can be split voting in FL, SC, IA, OH in many of these Red states if Biden Approvals are in fact 58 or 60

We can get A Rubio, Crist split vote, we can get Renacci and Ryan split vote and we can get Grassley and Ras Smith split vote, States splits their votes all the time between Prez and Sen or Gov just like NC did in 2020 between Tillis and Cooper, and Trump keeps telling lies about the election

It's not totally out of the question

D's are gonna blast the airwaves against DeSantis to protect our H incumbents but Rubio being Cuban is running against an ultra liberal like Demings, where Crist is a moderate

The Election is 500 days as of today it's a 304 map but that can change again with Trump stolen Election theory

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It looks like DeSANTIS received a bump from the Surfside crisis, he has been at 60% Approvals along with Rubio ever since then.

Demings isn't flipping this race, Carville recruited Demings, he said after 2020 Election we are going after DeSantis, which includes Rubio and he mentioned Deming's

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ron DeSantis just said we're not going back to mask, he doesn't believe in Science no wonder he is trailing Biden in natl polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Florida was only so close during the 1990s and 2000s thanks to the influence of G.I./Silent Generation retirees from the Northeast and Midwest.  That demographic has now been replaced by a more conservative set of Boomer retirees.

There is no conceptual reason a state like Florida (i.e., old, Evangelical/Catholic, lots of Cubans, exurban, not particularly college-educated, mostly Southern, etc.) should  be anything other than a Lean R state.  Republicans' recent gains can be understood as a revision to a historical mean.

Charlie Crist can win and so can Tim in a 2018 Environment where Ds win the NPVI by 5/8 points, and the Election is 500 days it's called split voting like OH did in 2018 and AZ between Gov and Sen, Brown and Sinema won and so did DeWine and Ducey

NC split it's vote between Gov and Sen 2020 between Cooper, Trump and Tillis

A Rubio and Crist split vote or a Ryan and Renacci or a Warnock and Kemp or a Kelly and Yee split vote isn't out of the question in 2022

The Election is 500 days, it's called wave insurance for a reason

If we get a Filibuster proof Senate, we get PR and DC Statehood, PR helped give 15.00, minimum wage passed in 2020 in FL