Which of these four do you see as the most likely future POTUS?
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  Which of these four do you see as the most likely future POTUS?
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Poll
Question: Which of these four?
#1
Donald Trump, Jr.
 
#2
Dan Crenshaw
 
#3
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
 
#4
Kamala Harris
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Which of these four do you see as the most likely future POTUS?  (Read 1461 times)
Proud Family Values
progressive85
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« on: July 12, 2021, 04:34:07 PM »

In my opinion, these four people are the most likely to become POTUS in the 20s and 30s.
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CentristRepublican
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2021, 10:22:41 PM »

Harris, of course. Trump Jr is plausible though highly unlikely, and while Crenshaw and Ocasio-Cortez are possibilities, I don't know why there's so much noise about them as president - Crenshaw, perhaps, because he's a young veteran and rising star from a swing suburban district, but while AOC is well-known, she's basically a socialist, like Sanders (who lost twice) minus the gigantic popularity. I don't see her making it through the Democratic primary, and even if she (somehow) did, winning in the general would be tough since she'd likely put off white working-class voters (costing WI, MI and maybe PA) and moderate suburbanties (costing AZ, GA and potentially TX).

  Harris is by far the most likely, followed in a tie between Crenshaw and Trump Jr., and AOC least likely by far.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2021, 10:23:15 AM »

Harris is the most likely future POTUS period.

The other three have virtually no chance of ever being president.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2021, 10:35:39 AM »

Harris
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2021, 01:20:01 PM »

Harris
(huge gap)
Trump Jr.
(small gap)
Dan Crenshaw
(huge gap)
AOC
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2021, 10:44:34 PM »

Kamala Harris is well-positioned. In another thread, I figured her odds of becoming President were just over 40 percent.

As for the others...
Donald Trump Jr has a following in the Republican party that voted for George HW Bush's son and loved Trump a lot more than they liked Papa Bush. He needs some kind of office to run from, and there are some hints of potential scandals (a recent divorce.) It's possible.

AOC is a second-term congresswoman who has gotten a lot of attention. She leads the fringe of the party, and hasn't demonstrated an ability to win major office. She is politically skilled, but it doesn't seem a likely road.

Dan Krenshaw is a well-regarded second-term congressman. He gets along better with the rest of the party than AOC does with hers. His path would involve winning statewide office, or building his rep as a congressman. It's possible, but others are likelier.
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dw93
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« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2021, 10:56:03 PM »

Harris, with Crenshaw at a distant 2nd.
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Pink Panther
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« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2021, 11:08:35 PM »

I would actually say Crenshaw, although he is in a swing district, he'll probably get a better district, and although Harris is the current VP, she is a vastly overrated candidate and campaigner, and would lose in most scenarios, imo. Trump Jr. is seen as the 99¢ dollar store version of Trump, and won't have much traction. AOC also seems to want to be in Congressional Leadership, and would probably flounder, like the rest, due to her being seen as radical.
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bagelman
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« Reply #8 on: July 14, 2021, 12:30:27 AM »

Harris sadly. She autowins as the VP to an elderly incumbent.

AOC is overrated as she's more "woke" than Bernie which is toxic to the silent majority of voters, even in Democratic primary. Trump's failson is probably overrated but shouldn't be written off entirely. Crenshaw is underrated and would probably defeat Harris if pitted against her.
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MABA 2020
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2021, 06:25:33 AM »

Harris is most likely by far, I'd like to think AOC could be POTUS one day, but I don't see it happening
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2021, 08:16:02 PM »

Harris, and it's not particularly close.

Trump Jr. has barely any chance of even winning the GOP nomination: he offers all of the baggage of a Trump with none of the entertainment factor/It factor that Don Sr. provides, to put it one way.

AOC may want to be President but I don't see her being able to make a coalition that could win a Democratic primary or general election for a while (if ever). She also may (correctly) decide she's more  powerful as a kingmaker in the House or (eventually?) the Senate.

Crenshaw probably has a better shot than AOC or Junior given his name recognition and political base in a large state, though I don't think he'll ever a formidable enough candidate to win a primary and general.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2021, 08:17:01 PM »

The one who is sitting Vice President.
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