2024: The Story of a Election (a mini-TL)
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Independents for George Santos
Seef
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« Reply #25 on: July 16, 2021, 08:12:46 PM »

I can only hope the discord in Lindell's campaign means he'll suffer the same fate as most GOP Iowa winners. Pence endorsing Hogan is interesting though and could signal an early coalescing of the remaining "sane" wing of the GOP. As for the dems, all bets are off until SC, imo. That's the make-or-break for Harris and where I think Warnock is the one to watch. But I'm getting ahead of myself, onwards to New Hampshire!
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andjey
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« Reply #26 on: July 17, 2021, 02:25:20 AM »

Go, Sherrod!
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Biden his time
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« Reply #27 on: July 17, 2021, 08:55:56 AM »

Brown/Warnock for the win!
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John King wannabe
AshtonShabazz
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« Reply #28 on: July 17, 2021, 12:12:25 PM »

Gonna be in the minority rooting for Kamala!
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: July 20, 2021, 02:01:35 AM »

“Hogan surges to NH win - D race too close to call”
CNN; February 8, 2024

“With 96% of the vote counted, Nina Turner holds onto a paper-thin lead”
New York Times; February 8, 2024

“Folks, we did it! We won New Hampshire, and we’re going to keep up the fight and bring our progressive movement to the White House!”
@RepNinaTurner; February 8, 2024

“Well, we’re going to have to wait for all the votes to be counted, surely”
Michael Bloomberg, at Dover rally; February 8, 2024

“Leftists warn of ‘DNC Steal’ in razor-tight New Hampshire primary”
New York Post; February 9, 2024

“Turner lead shrinks to under 500 votes”
538; February 9, 2024

“GOP field turns to Nevada, where DeSantis and Cruz may get a chance to shine”
Houston Chronicle; February 10, 2024

“With initial NH count completed, Nina Turner is the apparent winner with a lead of 423 votes”
NBC; February 10, 2024

“Report: Bloomberg ‘not expected’ to seriously contest NH results, moving on to Nevada”
CNN; February 10, 2024

“Turner camp rejoices - but will the momentum boost stick?”
Vox; February 11, 2024

“Lindell rally in Portland subject to large counter-protests”
The Oregonian; February 12, 2024

“After triaging first contests, Kamala will make her stand in the Silver State”
Los Angeles Times; February 12, 2024

“In fiery Nevada debate, Turner accuses Bloomberg of propagating ‘Trumpian’ stop-the-steal rumors”
ABC; February 13, 2024

“Poll: Harris leads in Nevada, neck-and-neck with Inslee in Oregon”
538; February 14, 2024

“In a primary where unions are kingmakers, union man Sherrod Brown looks for another strong performance”
Politico; February 15, 2024

“Harris is ‘laser-focused’ on Nevada, makes last push to win key state”
Las Vegas Review-Journal; February 15, 2024

“Portland-area progressive groups mobilizing for Turner ahead of competitive primary”
Willamette Week; February 16, 2024

“Op-Ed: Hispanic Republicans will decide who will win Nevada, and the primary”
Washington Post; February 16, 2024

“On eve of election, candidates scramble to gain support of unions, interest groups”
Las Vegas Review-Journal; February 16, 2024

“At Lindell’s Nevada rallies, the ‘Stop the Steal’ narrative lives once more”
New York Times; February 16, 2024

“Warnock 'unperturbed’ by recent D primary developments, remains in South Carolina”
Atlanta Journal-Constitution; February 17, 2024

“Will working-class Oregon conservatives give Lindell another win in a liberal state?”
Politico; February 17, 2024

“Nevada is a true four-way contest - a New Hampshire repeat incoming?”
NBC; February 17, 2024

“Report: Hogan ditches Las Vegas watch party, en route to Illinois”
CNN; February 18, 2024


New Hampshire Primary - Democratic 23 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 23.73% 9 delegates ✔
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 23.59% 7 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 23.55% 7 delegates
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 11.44%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 6.26%
Andrew Yang (D-NY) 4.41%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 4.27%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1.31%
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-NM) 0.69%
Others 0.75%

New Hampshire Primary - Republican 22 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 32.01% 10 delegates ✔
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 27.74% 8 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 16.42% 4 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 10.51%
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 9.39%
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 2.03%
Matt Gaetz (R-FL) 0.45%
Others 1.45%
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CascadianIndy
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« Reply #30 on: July 20, 2021, 09:41:41 AM »

Why do I have a sinking feeling that it's going to be a contested GOP convention where Lindell's victorious at the end.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: July 21, 2021, 01:24:27 PM »

Nevada Primary - Democratic 36 delegates
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 32.49% 19 delegates ✔
Nina Turner (D-OH) 17.21% 9 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 16.66% 7 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 13.89% 1 delegate
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 7.11%
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-NM) 6.27%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 4.01%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 0.92%
Other 1.44%

Nevada Caucus - Republican 25 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 28.51% 10 delegates ✔
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 27.34% 8 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 25.39% 7 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 10.39%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 4.31%
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 3.13%
Other 0.93%

“With sweeping Nevada win, Harris reminds Democrats who the frontrunner is”
Politico; February 19, 2021

“Wow, Nevada does NOT like Mike Bloomberg”
Atlas Forum post; February 19, 2021

“After narrow Nevada win, Lindell has all the momentum heading into Oregon”
The Oregonian; February 19, 2021

“BREAKING: Clyburn endorses Warnock”
South Carolina Post-Courier; February 19, 2021

“Nina Turner in Portland for last-minute rally”
CNN; February 19, 2021

“Mail-in votes mean tonight’s Oregon primary may have been won weeks ago”
538; February 20, 2021

Oregon Primary - Democratic 56 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 25.49% 22 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 23.62% 17 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 20.38% 14 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 13.34% 3 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 10.35%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 4.44%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1.36%
Other 1.05%

Oregon Primary - Republican 28 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 39.89% 17 delegates ✔
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 22.49% 7 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 17.13% 4 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 11.38%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 4.66%
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 3.34%
Other 1.11%

“Can anyone stop Lindell now?”
Fox News; February 21, 2024

“With Oregon win, Inslee gets his moment in the spotlight”
Seattle Times; February 21, 2024

“No Democrat has won more than one contest thus far - can Harris change this in South Carolina?”
538; February 22, 2024

“Harris, Warnock spar for African-American vote in heated Columbia debate”
CNN; February 23, 2024

“Poll: Nikki Haley, despite home state advantage, a distant third in SC primary”
The State; February 23, 2024

“Nina Turner, despite narrow delegate lead, struggles to reach minority voters”
Vox; February 23, 2024

“Report: ‘Stop Lindell’ coalition floated by GOP insiders”
The Hill; February 24, 2024

“After disappointing 3rd-place finishes, DeSantis campaign in desperate need of a win”
Fox News; February 24, 2024

Democratic Primary 3,770 pledged delegates, 760 unpledged delegates, 2,265 to win
Nina Turner (D-OH) 39 delegates
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 36 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 33 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 24 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 23 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 0 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 0 delegates

Republican Primary 2,550 delegates, 1,275 to win
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 58 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 23 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 17 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 7 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 0 delegates
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #32 on: July 21, 2021, 01:38:18 PM »

Go Inslee! Go Warnock!
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #33 on: July 21, 2021, 02:05:21 PM »

Sherrod 2024!
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OSR STANDS WITH PALESTINE
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« Reply #34 on: July 21, 2021, 02:37:05 PM »

If not Bloomberg, then Warnock. But still team Bloomberg, let’s go Mike
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Independents for George Santos
Seef
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« Reply #35 on: July 21, 2021, 07:22:42 PM »

 I fear Lindell will be unstoppable if he wins South Carolina. I can only hope the rest of the GOP consolidates sooner, even if it's around Diet Trump DeSantis.
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« Reply #36 on: August 05, 2021, 02:47:08 PM »

Expect a probable comeback after the 10th. Not retconning Turner’s primary loss but the implications for her electability (even in D primaries) will certainly be taken into account.
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #37 on: September 23, 2021, 08:11:31 PM »

Bump
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #38 on: May 02, 2022, 03:09:37 PM »
« Edited: May 02, 2022, 10:24:45 PM by OBD 🇺🇦 »

South Carolina Primary - Democratic 55 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 28.31% 26 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 25.74% 20 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 14.63% 7 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 12.41% 2 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 9.99%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 4.31%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 3.65%
Other 0.96%


South Carolina Primary - Republican 50 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 30.21% 21 delegates ✔
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 26.53% 17 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 20.44% 12 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10.02%
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 7.95%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 3.83%
Other 1.02%

“Everything’s coming up Lindell”
New York Post; February 26, 2024

“5 states, 5 winners for Democrats”
CNN; February 26, 2024

“Frustration in the Harris camp builds after two close defeats”
Vox; February 26, 2024

“Haley kneecaps DeSantis, then endorses him”
Drudge Report; February 26, 2024

“Candidates scramble to regroup in Illinois as Super Tuesday looms”
ABC; February 27, 2024

“Chicago area blanketed with Bloomberg ads”
Chicago Tribune; February 27, 2024

“Reeling Turner campaign seeks boost in diverse, delegate-rich Illinois”
Salon; February 27, 2024

“Kinzinger, Cheney rally highlight Hogan’s push for suburban Chicagoland”
The Hill; February 27, 2024

Illinois Primary - Democratic 147 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 19.81% 39 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 19.56% 33 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 19.55% 34 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 18.69% 31 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 12.44% 10 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 7.22%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1.51%
Other 1.22%

Illinois Primary - Republican 67 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 32.71% 28 delegates ✔
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 20.35% 15 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 18.24% 13 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 17.29% 11 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10.06%
Other 1.35%

“Bloomberg notches critical first win with strong suburban backing”
CNN; February 28, 2024

“Sherrod Brown swept downstate Illinois, but fell narrowly into third thanks to a weak Chicagoland performance”
Dave Wasserman; February 28, 2024

“I mean, the vote totals were so close. Can we really say that anyone won here?”
Cenk Uygur; February 28, 2024

“The Fall of the Sane GOP”
New Yorker; February 28, 2024

“DeSantis campaign purges Midwest branch”
New York Post; February 29, 2024

“Is this the most critical Super Tuesday in history?”
538: February 29, 2024

“Harris mounts final push to lock up California’s 424 unpledged delegates”
Los Angeles Times: March 1, 2024

“With final campaign swing across South, Lindell hopes for a coronation on March 5”
Yellowhammer; March 1, 2024

“Report: ‘little dialogue’ between reeling Hogan, DeSantis campaigns”
Drudge Report; March 1, 2024

“Turner’s last stand”
Jacobin; March 2, 2024

“The real Democratic Primary: national strength versus regional appeal”
Crystal Ball; March 3, 2024

“Democrats, Republicans alike descend on Texas”
Texas Tribune; March 3, 2024

“BREAKING: 8 injured at Lindell megarally in Houston”
CNN; March 4, 2024

“Unlike in 2020, it doesn’t appear any contenders will drop out on the eve of Super Tuesday”
Dave Wasserman; March 4, 2024

“Multiple states report record primary turnout”
538; March 5, 2024

Democratic Primary 3,770 pledged delegates, 760 unpledged delegates, 2,265 to win
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 89 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 70 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 70 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 67 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 36 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 23 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 2 delegates

Republican Primary 2,550 delegates, 1,275 to win
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 107 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 53 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 32 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 18 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 12 delegates (dropped out)
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10 delegates
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Liminal Trans Girl
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« Reply #39 on: May 02, 2022, 03:55:36 PM »

Brown for America!
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Utah Neolib
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« Reply #40 on: May 02, 2022, 07:20:49 PM »

South Carolina Primary - Democratic 55 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 28.31% 26 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 25.74% 20 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 14.63% 7 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 12.41% 2 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 9.99%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 4.31%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 3.65%
Other 0.96%


South Carolina Primary - Republican 50 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 30.21% 21 delegates ✔
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 26.53% 17 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 20.44% 12 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10.02%
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 7.95%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 3.83%
Other 1.02%

“Everything’s coming up Lindell”
New York Post; February 26, 2024

“5 states, 5 winners for Democrats”
CNN; February 26, 2022

“Frustration in the Harris camp builds after two close defeats”
Vox; February 26, 2022

“Haley kneecaps DeSantis, then endorses him”
Drudge Report; February 26, 2024

“Candidates scramble to regroup in Illinois as Super Tuesday looms”
ABC; February 27, 2024

“Chicago area blanketed with Bloomberg ads”
Chicago Tribune; February 27, 2024

“Reeling Turner campaign seeks boost in diverse, delegate-rich Illinois”
Salon; February 27, 2024

“Kinzinger, Cheney rally highlight Hogan’s push for suburban Chicagoland”
The Hill; February 27, 2024

Illinois Primary - Democratic 147 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 19.81% 39 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 19.56% 33 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 19.55% 34 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 18.69% 31 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 12.44% 10 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 7.22%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1.51%
Other 1.22%

Illinois Primary - Republican 67 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 32.71% 28 delegates ✔
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 20.35% 15 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 18.24% 13 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 17.29% 11 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10.06%
Other 1.35%

“Bloomberg notches critical first win with strong suburban backing”
CNN; February 28, 2024

“Sherrod Brown swept downstate Illinois, but fell narrowly into third thanks to a weak Chicagoland performance”
Dave Wasserman; February 28, 2024

“I mean, the vote totals were so close. Can we really say that anyone won here?”
Cenk Uygur; February 28, 2024

“The Fall of the Sane GOP”
New Yorker; February 28, 2024

“DeSantis campaign purges Midwest branch”
New York Post; February 29, 2024

“Is this the most critical Super Tuesday in history?”
538: February 29, 2024

“Harris mounts final push to lock up California’s 424 unpledged delegates”
Los Angeles Times: March 1, 2024

“With final campaign swing across South, Lindell hopes for a coronation on March 5”
Yellowhammer; March 1, 2024

“Report: ‘little dialogue’ between reeling Hogan, DeSantis campaigns”
Drudge Report; March 1, 2024

“Turner’s last stand”
Jacobin; March 2, 2024

“The real Democratic Primary: national strength versus regional appeal”
Crystal Ball; March 3, 2024

“Democrats, Republicans alike descend on Texas”
Texas Tribune; March 3, 2024

“BREAKING: 8 injured at Lindell megarally in Houston”
CNN; March 4, 2024

“Unlike in 2020, it doesn’t appear any contenders will drop out on the eve of Super Tuesday”
Dave Wasserman; March 4, 2024

“Multiple states report record primary turnout”
538; March 5, 2024

Democratic Primary 3,770 pledged delegates, 760 unpledged delegates, 2,265 to win
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 89 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 70 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 70 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 67 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 36 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 23 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 2 delegates

Republican Primary 2,550 delegates, 1,275 to win
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 107 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 53 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 32 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 18 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 12 delegates (dropped out)
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 10 delegates
Not a nitpick-type but the first few have the wrong year. I love seeing that you revived this TL!
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BigVic
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« Reply #41 on: May 02, 2022, 07:52:56 PM »

an interesting read
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #42 on: May 03, 2022, 01:46:59 AM »

Hello folks, and welcome to our coverage of Super Tuesday 2024. For the first time since 2008, both parties face open primaries - and there certainly has been no shortage of drama, as it appears very possible that there will be two contested conventions this summer.

It’s a little past 7:15 in the East, so let’s take a look at some results. We already have returns from American Samoa and the Democrats Abroad primary.

American Samoa Primary - Democratic 6 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 40% 3 delegates ✔
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 21% 2 delegates
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 16% 1 delegate
Nina Turner (D-OH) 11%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 5%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 3%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1%
Others 3%

American Samoa Primary - Republican 9 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 32% 3 delegates ✔
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 28% 3 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 20% 2 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 16% 1 delegate
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 2%
Other 2%

Democrats Abroad Primary 13 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 35% 7 delegates ✔
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 18% 3 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 15% 3 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 11%
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 11%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 7%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1%
Others 2%

Small sample size here - there are a mere 28 delegates between these primaries. But still, some interesting tidbits. In the Pacific territory of American Samoa, Mike Bloomberg has become the first Democrat to two primary wins, replicating his 2020 win on the island. On the Republican side, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis notched his first win, narrowly defeating Texas Senator Ted Cruz (who remains winless). Lastly, leftist candidate Nina Turner has decisively won the Democrats Abroad primary, finishing with nearly double the vote total of her nearest competitor, Vice President Harris.

Now, let’s take a look at some of today’s primetime contests - particularly, Vermont and Virginia, where polls have just closed.

Vermont Primary - Democratic 16 delegates, 36% reporting
Nina Turner (D-OH) 37%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 23%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 14%
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 11%
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 8%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 4%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1%
Others 2%

Vermont Primary - Republican 17 delegates, 50% reporting
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 40%
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 27%
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 21%
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 8%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 3%
Other 1%

Deep-blue Vermont is Bernie Sanders country - and on the Democratic side, it’s clearly showing, with progressive standard-bearer Turner holding a commanding lead early. Trailing are populist Senator Sherrod Brown and, surprisingly, Washington Governor Jay Inslee, whose climate-focused message is playing well in the Green Mountain State. In the GOP contest, Governor Larry Hogan holds a strong lead over Mike Lindell - Hogan buoyed by the enthusiastic support of Vermont’s popular Governor, Phil Scott.
However, party strategists on both sides are probably more occupied with Virginia’s significantly richer delegate prize. Let’s take a look.

Virginia Primary - Democratic 99 delegates, 25% reporting
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 22%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 20%
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 19%
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 15%
Nina Turner (D-OH) 12%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 6%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 4%
Others 2%

Virginia Primary - Republican 48 delegates, 28% reporting
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 45%
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 25%
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 14%
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 11%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 4%
Other 1%

In a big shocker on the Democratic side, Senators Brown and Warnock currently top the field, despite polls indicating an advantage for Bloomberg and Harris in the Old Dominion. However, we note that returns here are concentrated in rural areas in both Appalachia and the Black Belt, where Brown and Warnock hold relative advantages - so the race here remains anyone’s game. Meanwhile, Lindell holds a commanding lead on the Republican side, though we add the same caveat that current results are heavily tilted to rural areas.

Democratic Primary 3,770 pledged delegates, 760 unpledged delegates, 2,265 to win
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 93 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 77 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 73 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 67 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 39 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 25 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 2 delegates

Republican Primary 2,550 delegates, 1,275 to win
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 108 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 56 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 34 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 18 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 13 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 12 delegates (dropped out)
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deluxedriver
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« Reply #43 on: May 04, 2022, 11:39:24 PM »

Looks good! Brown 2024
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #44 on: August 15, 2022, 02:00:39 AM »

Random necro, go!

Super Tuesday Election Coverage, Part II

It is now 8:00 in the east. Polls have closed in the key state of North Carolina, and just now, critical contests in Alabama, Maine, Massachusetts, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas, have followed suit. While we’ll have to wait a bit longer for results out of the latter set of states, the first returns are now coming in from the Tar Heel State, a rich delegate prize for candidates on both sides of the aisle.

North Carolina Primary - Democratic 116 delegates, 18% reporting
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 23%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 20%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 20%
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 13%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 11%
Nina Turner (D-OH) 9%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 3%
Others 1%

North Carolina Primary - Republican 71 delegates, 22% reporting
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 37%
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 30%
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 15%
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 11%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 5%
Other 2%

Favorite son Roy Cooper is currently performing well in his primary, with Vice President Harris and Senator Warnock sandwiching him in the standings here. Unlike fellow Carolinas governor Nikki Haley, Cooper appears to be in a decent position to win his home state - this is likely due to Cooper’s strong personal popularity among NC Democrats, as well as the fact that he is the state’s top elected Democrat. Meanwhile, Michael Bloomberg, despite putting significant resources into the state, is currently below the 15% delegate threshold - likely due to sharing a voterbase with Cooper. On the GOP side, Lindell has a relatively modest early lead, with DeSantis in a strong second place while Senator Ted Cruz hovers around the delegate threshold.

And now, before results from the 8PM poll closings come in, let’s quickly revisit how the races in Vermont and Virginia are progressing.

Vermont Primary - Democratic 16 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 35% ✔ 8 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 25% 5 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 15% 3 delegates
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 10%
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 8%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 4%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 1%
Others 2%

Vermont Primary - Republican 17 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 40% ✔ 9 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 24% 4 delegates
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 23% 4 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 9%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 3%
Other 1%

Elections officials in the Green Mountain state have informed us that the preliminary results shown here will likely change little as the scant remaining votes are tabulated - leaving clear victors in both primaries. While her margin has narrowed slightly, progressive Nina Turner has pulled off a solid win here, despite overperformances from Senator Brown and Governor Inslee (the latter of whom just barely inched over the 15% delegate threshold). Former Governor Hogan also secured a Vermont victory, with Lindell slipping just below DeSantis into third place - a rare defeat for the MyPillow mogul.

Virginia Primary - Democratic 99 delegates, 66% reporting
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 20%
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 20%
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 18%
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 16%
Nina Turner (D-OH) 15%
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 5%
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 4%
Others 2%

Virginia Primary - Republican 48 delegates, 63% reporting
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 35%
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 28%
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 19%
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 13%
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 4%
Other 1%

Virginia’s urban areas and suburban areas have began reporting, leaving us with a better picture of the two contests here. Strong performances in suburbs have elevated Michael Bloomberg into a narrow lead over the Vice President, while Turner has also improved in the latest vote dumps. And, Lindell’s formerly commanding lead has shrunk drastically, as Ron DeSantis and Larry Hogan have both gained major ground thanks to suburban GOP voters.


Democratic Primary 3,770 pledged delegates, 760 unpledged delegates, 2,265 to win
Kamala Harris (D-CA) 93 delegates
Nina Turner (D-OH) 85 delegates
Michael Bloomberg (D-NY) 73 delegates
Sherrod Brown (D-OH) 72 delegates
Raphael Warnock (D-GA) 39 delegates
Jay Inslee (D-WA) 28 delegates
Roy Cooper (D-NC) 2 delegates

Republican Primary 2,550 delegates, 1,275 to win
Mike Lindell (R-MN) 112 delegates
Ron DeSantis (R-FL) 60 delegates
Larry Hogan (R-MD) 43 delegates
Josh Hawley (R-MO) 18 delegates
Ted Cruz (R-TX) 13 delegates
Nikki Haley (R-SC) 12 delegates (dropped out)
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blackentheborg
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« Reply #45 on: August 15, 2022, 08:06:45 PM »

Sherrod Brown wins or we riot
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