CO - Colorado Sun: Polis +20 over Ganahl, +10 over Generic Republican

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Jared Polis (D-inc.): 54%
Heidi Ganahl (R): 34%

Jared Polis (D-inc): 49%
Generic Republican: 39%

Polis has a 65-30% (+35) approval rating on his handling of the pandemic along with a 58-36% (+22) overall approval rating.

The state legislative generic ballot is D +8.

https://lede-admin.coloradosun.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/15/2021/07/CO-Mountaineer-Q2-Survey-Topline-F06.24.21.pdf

[Sir Mohamed]

Safe D

[TodayJunior]

Not surprising. Colorado is fully East California now.

[Calthrina950]

That Polis has an even wider lead over Ganahl then he does over Generic R is telling. As expected, this race is Safe D, and I expect Polis to win by double digits next year. He will do at least as well as Biden did.

[sting in the rafters]

All the Polis v. Generic R poll tells us is both bases are home. Safe D but could be anywhere from D+6 to D+14 depending on how the national environment looks. The population boom/internal migration trends obviously favor Ds so curious to see just how tarnished the R brand is in CO.

[Vosem]

At a D+8 generic legislative ballot Republicans have a great shot at winning the new seat and tying up the congressional delegation, but it's pretty clear that Democrats are leading here by a lot and that Polis has made himself into a legitimately very popular Governor. (My impression of COVID performance is that he's the single best incumbent Democratic Governor in the nation, and while I'm enough of a hack to support Ganahl here, it really isn't with very much enthusiasm.)

[Calthrina950]

At a D+8 generic legislative ballot Republicans have a great shot at winning the new seat and tying up the congressional delegation, but it's pretty clear that Democrats are leading here by a lot and that Polis has made himself into a legitimately very popular Governor. (My impression of COVID performance is that he's the single best incumbent Democratic Governor in the nation, and while I'm enough of a hack to support Ganahl here, it really isn't with very much enthusiasm.)

I've said elsewhere that Polis had the most restrained and moderate response of any Democratic Governor to the pandemic. This is probably one of the factors underlying his strong approval ratings. And as I've also noted, Colorado tends to prefer Governors who are moderates or pragmatists.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Wow! I'm adamant about Colorado being titanium D, but even then, I somehow still managed to significantly underrate Polis here.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Wow! I'm adamant about Colorado being titanium D, but even then, I somehow still managed to significantly underrate Polis here.

It says a lot about the state of the GOP in Colorado that their likely candidate for Governor, who is a statewide elected official, is already down 20 points and the Democrat is already well above 50% support.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race just replicates the 304 blue wall it's 52/48 Biden Approvals, D's aren't winning 55 seats, D's Dream map that won't happen

[beesley]

Polis is too strong a governor to lose re-election at the moment, regardless of the nuances of the state's lean.