Minnesota flips in 2016
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  Minnesota flips in 2016
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Samof94
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« on: July 06, 2021, 05:53:21 AM »

What if Minnesota did flip in 2016??? It came pretty close.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2021, 03:04:43 PM »

Doesn't impact the national outcome and it flips back in 2020. The only thing it would change is giving the longest, perfect ongoing streak of voting blue to the ten states that voted for Dukakis in 1988 (since MN was the only state in the nation to support Walter Mondale, their native son): NY, MA, WI, OR, WA, WV, RI, HI, and IA. It wouldn't have any effect on the overall results. But one other possibility is that alongside Trump carrying the state the GOP flips some combination of the 1st, 7th and 8th districts - three rural, Trump districts where Democrats won in the concurrent 2016 House races (the 1st and 8th flipped red in 2018, and the 7th flipped red in 2020, unseating a thirty-year, centrist incumbent).
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TwinGeeks99
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2021, 09:20:55 AM »

Wouldn't have changed anything except give Trump an ever so slightly stronger mandate. I guess it would place the state on a higher priority for Democrats to try to flip back (which they will anyway) in 2020.
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Samof94
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2021, 09:36:52 AM »

Wouldn't have changed anything except give Trump an ever so slightly stronger mandate. I guess it would place the state on a higher priority for Democrats to try to flip back (which they will anyway) in 2020.
True. It might have a different 2018 with higher turnout and flip the legislature completely.
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