Florida Senate: Rubio +20 against Demings

[mds32]

Florida Poll

Rubio (R) 60%
Demmings (D) 40%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20210628_FL_Listener.pdf

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is just as bad as the Gov Safe R, although this poll is hilarious being up two to one on all Ds

[Sir Mohamed]

Sure.jan

[Skye]

Methodology seems... questionable.

[SnowLabrador]

Don't try and unskew polls, people. Rubio might win by 20 if it's a huge red wave, which it likely will be.

[Stuart98]

If you think Rubio is going to win re-election by 20 points in Florida then I've got some nice beachfront property in Nevada to sell you.

No undecideds = junk it.

[Roll Roons]

Marco will almost certainly win, but no way it'll be by 20 points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is what happens when you have Sinema obstructing the VR Act, no way an I gonna continue to donate to Ds and polls look like this

[Stuart98]

This is what happens when you have Sinema obstructing the VR Act, no way an I gonna continue to donate to Ds and polls look like this

Disgruntled OC arc

[TML]

2016 exit polls indicated that Rubio won 12% of Democrats, 91% of Republicans, and 52% of Independents during that election. That should make you skeptical about the partisan breakdown of this particular poll.

[Mr. Smith]

If you think Rubio is going to win re-election by 20 points in Florida then I've got some nice beachfront property in Nevada to sell you.

No undecideds = junk it.

Not sure how you landed a nice place at Lake Tahoe, but okay.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is what happens when you have Sinema obstructing the VR Act, no way an I gonna continue to donate to Ds and polls look like this

Disgruntled OC arc

Lol we will probably win the 304 blue wall, the Red wall has always been hard since VR isn't passed and Gerrymandering districts were implemented in red wall states last time, as on now, D's probably net 52/48 seats and 278 EC Gov map as Rs are slight favs for Redistricting, Biden Approvals are 52%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016 exit polls indicated that Rubio won 12% of Democrats, 91% of Republicans, and 52% of Independents during that election. That should make you skeptical about the partisan breakdown of this particular poll.

Biden is at 52 not 55% that's a 52/48 Senate and 278 Gov map, he has the same Approvals as he had on Election night it was 51/46% and his Approvals are 51/49%

[MATTROSE94]

And the Democrats are still going to waste 1 billlion dollars on this race.

[Joe Republic]

If you think Rubio is going to win re-election by 20 points in Florida then I've got some nice beachfront property in Nevada to sell you.

Ooh, is it this one?

https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/2170-Highway-28-Carson-City-NV-89703/2077875437_zpid/

There's quite a few like this within a 15-20 minute drive from me. 

[here2view]

There's a better chance of Demings winning than Rubio winning by 20.

That being said, I expect Rubio to win by ~10

[NewYorkExpress]

Having literally no undecideds this far from the election is the mark of a bad pollster.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Having literally no undecideds this far from the election is the mark of a bad pollster.

LOL as I said previously, Biden is at 51:49 Approvals the same mark as he had on Election night 51:46 Dems are gonna win WI, PA, NH, GA

This is a wave insurance seat, not a 304 seat, Rubio will win by 3 the same mark as Trump

[TodayJunior]

I can’t tell if these 20+ margin polls are a head fake to hint to Dems to not invest here and pursue other states like AZ GA NC, or if they’re just really bad at their job. There will never be a 20 point race margin here….never. And you can bookmark this and laugh at me if I’m wrong. I’ll burn my hat and eat it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I can’t tell if these 20+ margin polls are a head fake to hint to Dems to not invest here and pursue other states like AZ GA NC, or if they’re just really bad at their job. There will never be a 20 point race margin here….never. And you can bookmark this and laugh at me if I’m wrong. I’ll burn my hat and eat it.

Biden at 51 Approvals isn't gonna win FL, he lost at in 2020, that's where his Approvals are, not at 55 or 60

[South Dakota Democrat]

I expect Rubio to win, but by about 5, not 20.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Demings flopped

[wbrocks67]

why are all Florida polls trash in either direction?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is sort of a disappointment, but in the Deep South especially, Boarder Wall, we are still in masks and non indictment of Trump on Obstructing Justice of Trump due to Hunter Biden and Ukraine that's why it's a 304 map at this moment and Rs are slight favs in H

[2016]

Marco will almost certainly win, but no way it'll be by 20 points.

Marco will not win by 20 but it could definitly double digits similar when Crist beat Rod Smith in the Governor Race in 2006.