Meatball Ron
recoveringdemocrat
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,289
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« on: June 23, 2021, 12:14:34 PM » |
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Assuming everyone except Casey, Stabenow, Sinema, and Cruz is guaranteed to run for reelection and win renomination...
*Most likely to go Republican*
OH
TX (with someone who is palatable to persuadable voters, like Bush)
FL
MT
TX (with Cruz, or someone else who is unpalatable to persuadable voters like Paxton or Patrick)
AZ (if Sinema loses her primary to a weak GE candidate, like a Justice Dems / DSA style challenger)
WI
PA (if Casey retires)
NV
MI (if Stabenow retires)
MI (with Stabenow)
AZ (with Sinema)
AZ (if Sinema loses her primary to Gallego or another strong GE candidate)
PA (with Casey)
*Least likely to go Republican*
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