The Great Do-Over

[Meatball Ron]

Rush Limbaugh dead of heart attack.
-CNN; May 10, 2009

"I'd rather die than get health insurance regulated by the Muslim socialist Obama!"
-Rush Limbaugh; December 17, 2009

Lol

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Rush Limbaugh dead of heart attack.
-CNN; May 10, 2009

"I'd rather die than get health insurance regulated by the Muslim socialist Obama!"
-Rush Limbaugh; December 17, 2009

Lol

oh yeah... The first part is retconned.

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

Rush Limbaugh dead of heart attack.
-CNN; May 10, 2009

"I'd rather die than get health insurance regulated by the Muslim socialist Obama!"
-Rush Limbaugh; December 17, 2009

Lol

Surprise, bitch. I bet you thought you'd seen the last of me.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

President begins the year with net +20 approval ratings.
-Gallup; January 1, 2010

Elizabeth Warren holds rally with President Obama, Vice President Biden and Ted Kennedy.
-Boston Globe; January 2, 2010

"Polls have now closed in Massachusetts"
-Anderson Cooper; January 4, 2010 (7:00 PM)

"We can now project that Elizabeth Warren has won the Senate election"
-Anderson Cooper; January 4, 2010 (7:02 PM)

2010 Massachusetts Senate Special Election (100% IN):
✓Elizabeth Warren (D): 1,189,159 (52.3%)
Scott Brown (R): 679,844 (29.9%)
Scott Lively (C): 386,530 (17.0%)


Lively: large amounts of voter fraud occurred, will seek re-count.
-CNN; January 5, 2010

Elizabeth Warren to be sworn in on January 28, 2010.
-Roll Call; January 6, 2010

Lively challenge thrown out by Massachusetts supreme court.
-Boston Globe; January 9, 2010

Marco Rubio announces primary challenge to Mel Martinez.
-NBC News; January 11, 2010

REPORT: Evan Bayh considering retirement.
-Indianapolis Star; January 14, 2010

President Obama announces that all discretionary funding will be cut by 20%.
-White House; January 18, 2010

Evan Bayh to run for re-election, reportedly at President's urging.
-MSNBC; January 19, 2010

McConnell: Our only goal is to make Barack Obama a one-term President.
-CNN; January 21, 2010

DNC delivers "Resign Mitch" petition to McConnell's office with 600,000 signatures.
-CNN; January 24, 2010

REPORT: Donald Trump under investigation for tax fraud.
-FOX News; January 30, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 61%
NO: 35%
UNSURE: 3%

Do you approve of Vice President Biden?
YES: 62%
NO: 29%
UNSURE: 9%

Do you approve of Speaker Pelosi?
NO: 39%
YES: 36%
UNSURE: 25%

Do you approve of Majority Leader Reid?
NO: 41%
YES: 31%
UNSURE: 28%

Do you approve of Minority Leader McConnell?
NO: 86%
YES: 7%
UNSURE: 7%

Unemployment: 8.0% (down 0.2%)

[President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️]

50-30-20 Warren-Brown-Lively in January, calling it now.

Close enough.

[KaiserDave]

Barack Obama: Based Edition

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Senator Duckworth introduces bill that would introduce tax brackets for corporations.
-MSNBC; February 1, 2010

Following certification delays, Elizabeth Warren is sworn into the Senate.
-Roll Call; February 4, 2010

Donald Trump indicted on multiple counts of tax evasion and other crimes.
-New York Post; February 6, 2010

Final Kennedycare provisions take effect.
-New York Times; February 10, 2010

Americans support healthcare bill by a 54-42 margin, up three points since December.
-Pew Research; February 11, 2010

President Obama visits a new clean coal plant in West Virginia, which he says is the future of the coal industry.
-CNN; February 12, 2010

BREAKING: Osama Bin Laden either killed or heavily injured.
-CNN; February 14, 2010

CONFIRMED: Administration announces the death of Bin Laden.
-MSNBC; February 15, 2010

Obama approval rating breaks 70%.
-Gallup; February 15, 2010

President announces partial repeal of PATRIOT Act.
-White House; February 18, 2010

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

-Near-complete repeal of Title II and minor repeals of other section's most controversial parts.

"As usual, Kenyan Muslim Obama wants to sell out to his terrorist buddies!"
-Glenn Beck via Twitter; February 20, 2010

#FireGlennBeck
-Trending Twitter hashtag; February 21, 2010

FOX News cancels Glenn Beck's contract.
-New York Times; February 24, 2010

Duckworth-Miller Tax Reform Act passes the House Appropriations Committee.
-Roll Call; February 25, 2010

Moderate Republicans announce support for PATRIOT Act partial repeal.
-CNN; February 28, 2010

Who is Al Gross, the Independent running against Lisa Murkowski?
-MSNBC.com; February 28, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 68%
NO: 30%
UNSURE: 2%

Do you approve of Vice President Biden?
YES: 65%
NO: 25%
UNSURE: 10%

Do you approve of Speaker Pelosi?
NO: 42%
YES: 33%
UNSURE: 25%

Do you approve of Majority Leader Reid?
NO: 40%
YES: 30%
UNSURE: 30%

Do you approve of Minority Leader McConnell?
NO: 85%
YES: 9%
UNSURE: 7%

Unemployment: 7.9% (down 0.1%)

[Calthrina950]

Senator Duckworth introduces bill that would introduce tax brackets for corporations.
-MSNBC; February 1, 2010

Following certification delays, Elizabeth Warren is sworn into the Senate.
-Roll Call; February 4, 2010

Donald Trump indicted on multiple counts of tax evasion and other crimes.
-New York Post; February 6, 2010


Final Kennedycare provisions take effect.
-New York Times; February 10, 2010

Americans support healthcare bill by a 54-42 margin, up three points since December.
-Gallup; February 11, 2010

WIP

You're stopping Trump dead in his tracks. I like the way this timeline is going, and it is well written.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Deputy AG Doug Jones to prosecute Trump case.
-Washington Post; March 1, 2010

Trump pleads "Not Guilty" to charges in a court hearing.
-CNN; March 3, 2010

NBC cancels The Apprentice, citing legal proceedings.
-MSNBC; March 4, 2010

Inequality in recovery: How unemployment ranges by state.
-New York Times; March 8, 2010

Duckworth-Miller passes the House of Representatives.
-Roll Call; March 10, 2010

White House to unveil infrastructure proposal on Monday.
-LA Times; March 11, 2010

Ukraine submits application to join NATO.
-Foreign Policy; March 12, 2010

President proposes massive infrastructure bill worth over $850 Billion.
-Chicago Tribune; March 15, 2010

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

-$200 Billion for the repair of roads and bridges.
-$50 Billion for the construction of new roads and bridges.
-$100 Billion for the repair and construction of airports.
-$50 Billion for the repair of the rail network.
-$50 Billion for the construction of new rail lines.
--incl. $10 Billion Acela expansion to Charlotte and the purchasing of top-notch AVE Class 103 trains modified to be slightly wider and to be built in America.
--incl. $5 Billion for the construction of a line between San Diego and LA using the soon-to-be unused Acela trains.
-$50 Billion for the renovation and expansion of military facilities.
-$10 Billion for the cleanup and revitalization of old infrastructure.
-$90 Billion for targeted tax breaks and subsidies to underserved communities.
-$100 Billion for miscellaneous items, ranging from clean coal investments to beautification.
-$250 Billion for R&D.

Illinois Senate primary results in.
-IL Secretary of State; March 16, 2010

2010 Illinois Senate Election (D-Primary):
✓Tammy Duckworth*: 68.3%
David Hoffman: 19.2%
Other: 12.5%


2010 Illinois Senate Election (R-Primary):
✓Mark Kirk: 55.2%
Patrick Hughes: 39.4%
Andy Martin: 5.0%
Other: 0.4%

Duckworth-Miller passed by the Senate, 63-37.
-Roll Call; March 18, 2010

Duckworth-Miller signed by President Obama.
-White House; March 19, 2010

New legislation gives small businesses a break while still raising $700 Billion by 2020.
-CNN; March 23, 2010

President arrives in China for a summit with leadership.
-MSNBC; March 28, 2010

Infrastructure Development Act introduced to the House.
-Washington Post; March 31, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 65%
NO: 31%
UNSURE: 4%

Do you approve of Vice President Biden?
YES: 65%
NO: 27%
UNSURE: 8%

Do you approve of Speaker Pelosi?
NO: 45%
YES: 31%
UNSURE: 24%

Do you approve of Majority Leader Reid?
NO: 42%
YES: 29%
UNSURE: 29%

Do you approve of Minority Leader McConnell?
NO: 84%
YES: 9%
UNSURE: 7%

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Why Democrats are spending almost all donations on defending seats.
-Chris Cillizza article on CNN.com; April 1, 2010

Justice John Paul Stevens announces retirement.
-Washington Post; April 2, 2010

Obama shortlist: Kagan, Garland, Katzmann, and Koh.
-CNN; April 5, 2010

House infrastructure bill clears key procedural hurdles.
-MSNBC; April 8, 2010

President Obama visits the brand-new Kawasaki Industries factory in Wood County, WV.
-White House; April 10, 2010

Trump's Head Counsel Michael Cohen resigns after threatened indictment.
-New York Times; April 14, 2010

President signs memorandum directing DoD to review Don't Ask Don't Tell.
-SF Chronicle; April 15, 2010

Uninsured rate reaches record low while health care costs reach a five-year low.
-BLS; April 19, 2010

Poll: 58% of Americans support Kennedycare.
-Gallup; April 20, 2010

Trump trial begins with first arguments after a small delay.
-CNN; April 21, 2010

New infrastructure bill includes $5 Billion for anti-pandemic measures.
-White House; April 23, 2010

"Kenyan Muslim Obama is throwing away more money at unnecessary things!"
-Rush Limbaugh; April 26, 2010

"I thought Rush Limbaugh was dead."
-Twitter user; April 27, 2010

House passes infrastructure bill.
-CNN; April 28, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 62%
NO: 33%
UNSURE: 5%

Do you approve of Vice President Biden?
YES: 65%
NO: 29%
UNSURE: 6%

Do you approve of Speaker Pelosi?
NO: 46%
YES: 28%
UNSURE: 26%

Do you approve of Majority Leader Reid?
NO: 42%
YES: 28%
UNSURE: 30%

Do you approve of Minority Leader McConnell?
NO: 83%
YES: 9%
UNSURE: 8%

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

New infrastructure bill includes $5 Billion for anti-pandemic measures.
-White House; April 23, 2010

"Kenyan Muslim Obama is throwing away more money at unnecessary things!"
-Rush Limbaugh; April 26, 2010

"I thought Rush Limbaugh was dead."
-Twitter user; April 27, 2010

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Obama selects Merrick Garland as his supreme court nominee.
-CNN; May 2, 2010

Far-right state legislator Marlin Stutzman wins Indiana Republican US Senate primary, backed by over $5,000,000 in funding by Democratic groups.
-Indiana Today; May 5, 2010

Senate version of the infrastructure bill contains over $50 Billion in pork spending.
-Citizens Against Government Waste; May 5, 2010

Harry Reid may use budget reconciliation to pass the infrastructure bill.
-MSNBC; May 6, 2010

Lawyers in United States Federal Government v. Donald J. Trump present final arguments.
-New York Times; May 11, 2010

Unemployment reaches 7.4%.
-BLS; May 15, 2010

Jury: Trump is guilty on all 6 charges.
-New York Post; May 17, 2010

Senate Appropriations Committee passes the infrastructure bill.
-Roll Call; May 18, 2010

NC State Senator Josh Stein advances to face Richard Burr in the general election.
-Charlotte Times; May 21, 2010

LEAKED: Insiders think Trump will face the following sentence:
-MSNBC; May 24, 2010

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Over $40,000,000 in back taxes.
A $10,000,000 IRS fine.
$25,000,000 in other fines.
3 month's imprisonment
1 year's probation

President Obama attends G8 summit in Istanbul.
-White House; May 30, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 60% (-2)
NO: 34% (+1)
UNSURE: 6% (+1)

Unemployment: 7.3% (down 0.3%)
Poverty: 13.8% (down 0.1%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Senate approves infrastructure bill by a 56-44 margin.
-CNN; June 4, 2010

President Obama signs the infrastructure bill.
-MSNBC; June 5, 2010

President signs executive order to study possible gun control measures.
-Washington Post; June 8, 2010

John Hoeven easily fights DNC-backed lunatic Duane Sand 64-31.
-CNN; June 8, 2010

Eliot Cutler receives Democratic endorsement for Maine Governor.
-August Times; June 9, 2010

DNC Passes reform setting the term of DNC Chairs at five years.
-New York Times; June 10, 2010

Tim Kaine resigns as DNC Chair pending confirmation of a successor.
-CNN; June 15, 2010

President Obama nominates David Axelrod as DNC Chair.
-White House; June 15, 2010

Obama up by 10 against Romney, 14 against Gingrich, and 22 against Palin.
-Gallup; June 18, 2010

America no longer most expensive nation in the world for healthcare, drops below Switzerland.
-UN; June 20, 2010

David Axelrod confirmed as DNC Chair.
-MSNBC; June 23, 2010

Why is the RSCC having fundraising troubles?
-CNN; June 23, 2010

Donald Trump sentenced to one year of house arrest, will pay over $50 Million to the IRS.
-New York Post; June 25, 2010

Why Democrats can gain as many as ten Senate seats in the upcoming election.
-Chris Cillizza; June 28, 2010

FOX News reportedly under audit.
-NBC; June 30, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 57% (-3)
NO: 39% (+5)
UNSURE: 4% (-2)

Unemployment: 7.1% (down 0.2%)
Poverty: 13.5% (down 0.3%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Secretary Gates announces withdrawal timetable for Iraq. All troops to be withdrawn by 2015.
-CNN; July 1, 2010

President signs order promoting domestic manufacturing.
-White House; July 3, 2010

Obama holds a massive rally for Senator Bennet. Over 250,000 people attend. Other speakers include Bill and Hillary Clinton, Jimmy Carter, and First Lady Michelle.
-MSNBC; July 4, 2010

LEAKED MEMO: Democrats have 'given up' on Blanche Lincoln.
-FOX News; July 8, 2010

Senator Boxer proposes bill to expand food stamp programs to cover more children.
-CNN; July 10, 2010

McConnell: We need to get rid of this unnecessary spending.
-FOX News; July 11, 2010

OPINION: McConnell is anti-poor people.
-CNN; July 12, 2010

OPINION: McConnell hates children.
-MSNBC; July 12, 2010

OPINION: Evil Senator McConnell (R-Koch) is a neo-fascist.
-Mother Jones; July 12, 2010

Rush Limbaugh dies from a heart attack (or does he...).
-CNN; July 13, 2010

South Carolina legislators declare July 13 Rush Limbaugh day.
-MSNBC; July 15, 2010

Terrorist Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi killed by Navy SEALs.
-White House; July 19, 2010

President Obama proposes expansion of money given to spouses of killed military personnel.
-Washington Post; July 20, 2010

McConnell: gOvErNmEnT sPeNdInG iS tOo HiGh.
-Mother Jones; July 22, 2010

McConnell hates veterans.
-DNC Ad; July 24, 2010

President tours new GM Plant in Ohio.
-CNN; July 25, 2010

President opens the US-Taiwan Trade office to facilitate trade with the ROC.
-FOX News; July 28, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 58% (+1)
NO: 37% (-2)
UNSURE: 5% (+1)

Unemployment: 6.9% (down 0.2%)
Poverty: 13.0% (down 0.5%)

[Captain Chaos]

Obama wank, rating Republican primaries and the end of the Trump Organization.

Please proceed.

[Utah Neolib]

This is amazing

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

ALABAMA:

Incumbent: Richard Shelby (R)
Challenger: William Barnes (D)

RCP: SAFE-R
SCP: SAFE-R
538: >99% Shelby

Incumbent Richard Shelby is popular and most importantly, a Republican in Alabama. His opposition, William Barnes, has received just $5,000 from the DSCC.

Polling Average: Shelby +17

ALASKA:

Incumbent: Lisa Murkowski (R)
Challengers: Al Gross (I/D), Joe Miller (R)

RCP: TILT D
SCP: TOSSUP
538: 52% Gross

Normally this race would be SAFE-R, but Lisa Murkowski (who barely won her primary) made herself unpopular and is facing conservative Joe Miller's write-in campaign. Her biggest threat, however, is Al Gross, a doctor and professional fisherman who is running an excellent campaign and is favored to win the race.

Polling Average: Gross +5

ARIZONA:

Incumbent: John McCain (R)
Challenger: Rodney Glassman (D)

RCP: LIKELY R
SCP: SAFE R
538: 98% McCain

Despite unpopularity with the Republican base (and coming within 5,000 votes of losing to a far-right primary opponent who received millions from Democratic groups in Kelli Ward), John McCain is popular with the general electorate and faces weak opposition in the general.

Polling Average: McCain +14

ARKANSAS:

Incumbent: Blanche Lincoln (D)
Challenger: Asa Hutchinson (R)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: LEAN R
538: 84% Hutchinson

While not the safest R pickup of the cycle, incumbent Blanche Lincoln (and fellow Senator Byron Dorgan) has been given up on by the DSCC and is likely to lose to the popular congressman Asa Hutchinson.

Polling Average: Hutchinson +9

CALIFORNIA:

Incumbent: Barbara Boxer (D, Retiring)
Candidates: Tom Steyer (D), Carly Fiorina (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: LIKELY D
538: 99% Steyer

Barbara Boxer is retiring, citing her age (70). The Democratic candidate and therefore presumptive Senator-elect is billionaire hedge-fund manager Tom Steyer. The Republicans have their own candidate in former Hewett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina. Fiorina is a strong candidate, and by that we mean she'll only lose by 20.

Polling Average: Steyer +16

COLORADO:

Incumbent: Michael Bennet (D)
Challenger: Ken Buck (R)

RCP: LEAN D
SCP: TILT D
538: 78% Bennet

Appointed Senator Michael Bennet was originally in a lot of trouble, although the TEA Party and Democrats nationwide threw a ton of money at the worst candidate, who then won. Bennet is also helped by the relative success and popularity of the Obama administration, but may be held back by conservative turnout over Kennedycare.

Polling Average: Bennet +5

CONNECTICUT:

Incumbent: Chris Dodd (D, Retiring)
Candidates: Richard Blumenthal (D), Linda McMahon (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: LIKELY D
538: 93% Blumenthal

Unpopular incumbent Chris Dodd is retiring. Fighting to replace him are Richard Blumenthal and Linda McMahon. Blumenthal has attacked McMahon over her business record and that of her husband, while McMahon has attacked Blumenthal as a tax-and-spend liberal. Connecticut is liberal enough that we know the victor.

Polling Average: Dodd +12

DELAWARE (S):

Incumbent: Ted Kaufman (D)
Challenger: Christine O'Donnell (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 99% Kaufman

Appointee Ted Kaufman was originally thought to be stepping down, but has declared his intention to finish the full term. He is facing minimal opposition from Republicans after the top recruit, U.S. Representative Mike Castle, opted to retire.

Polling Average: Kaufman +20

FLORIDA:

Incumbent: Mel Martinez (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Marco Rubio (R), Kendrick Meek (D)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: TILT R
538: 80% Rubio

Despite the efforts of Democrats nationwide, Mel Martinez was defeated in his primary. The handsome and relatively moderate Marco Rubio is favored to win against the Democratic nominee, Kendrick Meek.

Polling Average: Rubio +9

GEORGIA:

Incumbent: Johnny Isakson (R)
Challenger: Denise Majette (D)

RCP: LIKELY R
SCP: SAFE R
538: 95% Isakson

Denise Majette is mostly known for her crazy comments, which is not good for a Senate candidate (unless you're a Republican). Johnny Isakson is relatively popular in ruby-red Georgia, which will never vote for a Democrat until hell freezes over.

Polling Average: Isakson +18

HAWAII:

Incumbent: Daniel Inouye (D)
Challenger: Campbell Cavasso (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: >99% Inouye

Senate President Pro Tempore Daniel Inouye, despite being literally a thousand years old, is massively favored to win re-election.

Polling Average: Inouye +33

IDAHO:

Incumbent: Mike Crapo (R)
Challenger: Unopposed

RCP: SAFE R
SCP: SAFE R
538: >99% Crapo

Republican. Idaho. End of discussion.

Polling Average: Crapo +90

ILLINOIS:

Incumbent: Tammy Duckworth (D)
Challenger: Mark Kirk (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 97% Duckworth

Tammy Duckworth is highly popular and visible. She is facing the popular and moderate congressman Mark Kirk, who is being backed by massive sums of money from Republicans who want to take Obama's old seat.

Polling Average: Duckworth +17

INDIANA:

Incumbent: Evan Bayh (D)
Challenger: Marlin Stutzman (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 97% Bayh

Democrats successfully secured this race by convincing Senator Bayh to run for re-election and by throwing millions at the least qualified and most extreme candidate for the Republicans in Sarah Palin-backed Marlin Stutzman.

Polling Average: Bayh +20

IOWA:

Incumbent: Chuck Grassley (R)
Challenger: Unopposed

RCP: SAFE R
SCP: SAFE R
538: >99% Grassley

Chuck Grassley is popular in Iowa, despite the Democratic lean of the state (which will next vote for a Republican when hell freezes over). The Democrats couldn't get the one person who could possibly defeat him (Tom Vilsack) to run, so they ceded it to the Republicans.

Polling Average: Grassley +95

KANSAS:

Incumbent: Sam Brownback (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Jerry Moron (R), Paul Davis (D)

RCP: LIKELY R
SCP: LIKELY R
538: 96% Moran

Jerry Moran is succeeding Sam Brownback, who is retiring to run for Governor. His coronation is being halted by State Senator Paul Davis, who may cut his margin down to a mere 60-40 victory.

Polling Average: Moran +11

KENTUCKY:

Incumbent: Jim Bunning (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Rand Paul (R), Jack Conway (D)

RCP: LEAN D
SCP: TOSSUP
538: 59% Conway

Kentucky Democrats have gotten incredibly lucky in that their top recruit (AG Jack Conway) agreed to run. Even better, libertarian Rand Paul received the Republican nod, and has promptly alienated Kentucky Republicans by not being racist or fiscally liberal enough. This might be one of the rare midterm gains.

Polling Average: Conway +4

LOUISIANA:

Incumbent: David Vitter (R)
Challenger: Charlie Melancon (D)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: LIKELY R
538: 91% Vitter

David Vitter, who has been caught in a prostitution scandal he claimed didn't happen, is facing Representative Charlie Melancon, who has hammered him on this. Vitter has positioned himself as the candidate of evangelicals, who are going to vote for him thanks to his campaign's leaked overall plan, entitled 'God, Guns, and Gays'.

Polling Average: Vitter +8

MARYLAND:

Incumbent: Barbara Mikulski (D)
Challenger: Michael Steele (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 99% Mikulski

Michael Steele has announced his run, which means Republicans got their best recruit to lose in a landslide to popular incumbent Barbara Mikulski.

Polling Average: Mikulski +19

MISSOURI:

Incumbent: Kit Bond (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Eric Greitens (R), Robin Carnahan (D)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: LEAN R
538: 77% Greitens

Former Navy SEAL Eric Greitens is running against Robin Carnahan. This will pit the ideological lean of the state against one of the main political dynasties. Greitens is considered likely to win.

Polling Average: Greitens +5

NEVADA:

Incumbent: Harry Reid (D)
Challenger: Sharron Angle (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 90% Reid

Harry Reid isn't very popular, but has a lot of money, which is the only thing that matters in politics. Sharron Angle, a candidate backed by the whole gang of far-right commentators and pundits, is almost certain to lose.

Polling Average: Reid +11

NEW HAMPSHIRE:

Incumbent: Judd Gregg (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Kelly Ayotte (R), Ann McLane Kuster (D)

RCP: LIKELY R
SCP: TILT R
538: 85% Ayotte

Democrats have basically given up on this race after #1 recruit John Lynch declined to run. Therefore, expect Senator Ayotte next January.

Polling Average: Ayotte +9

NEW YORK:

Incumbent: Chuck Schumer (D)
Challenger: Jay Townsend (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: >99% Schumer

Chuck Schumer is basically running unopposed. Nothing to see here.

Polling Average: Schumer +35

NEW YORK (S):

Incumbent: Kristen Gillibrand (D, Primaried)
Candidates: Sean Patrick Maloney (D), Chele Chiavacci Farley (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: >99 Maloney

Kristen Gillibrand was favored to win her primary until she made several anti-Semitic jokes, which is not a good thing to do as a Democrat in New York. She lost renomination to Sean Maloney, who is projected to destroy his Republican opponent.

Polling Average: Maloney +29

NORTH CAROLINA:

Incumbent: Richard Burr (R)
Challenger: Josh Stein (D)

RCP: TILT D
SCP: TILT D
538: 52% Stein

State Senator Josh Stein is battling incumbent Richard Burr in what is expected to be the closest race of the election. Burr is unpopular, but has the benefit of Incumbency. The DNC and RNC are already preparing lawyers for a possible recount battle.

Polling Average: Stein +1

NORTH DAKOTA:

Incumbent: Byron Dorgan (D)
Challenger: John Hoeven (R)

RCP: SAFE R
SCP: LIKELY R
538: 98% Hoeven

This may be the most lopsided defeat for an incumbent ever. Byron Dorgan is not unpopular, but he is facing Governor John Hoeven, who is very much popular. If you are a Republican this will be a fun race to watch.

Polling Average: Hoeven +22

OHIO:

Incumbent: George Voinovich (R, Retiring)
Candidates: Rob Portman (R), Lee Fisher (D)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: TILT R
538: 63% Portman

Rob Portman is the Republican nominee, despite Democratic primary-rigging efforts. The Congressman and former OMB director is extremely qualified, but that may prove to be his downfall. Incumbent Lt. Governor Lee Fisher has used the fact that Portman was OMB director under Bush quite effectively, and Portman's lead has halved since the beginning of the year.

Polling Average: Portman +6

OKLAHOMA:

Incumbent: Tom Coburn (R)
Challenger: Unopposed

RCP: SAFE R
SCP: SAFE R
538: >99% Coburn

Tom Coburn is unopposed and will win. End of discussion.

Polling Average: Coburn +94

OREGON:

Incumbent: Ron Wyden (D)
Challenger: Jim Huffman (R)

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: 99% Wyden

Despite Republican efforts to convince Rep. Greg Walden to run, Ron Wyden will face a weak nominee and will likely win a landslide.

Polling Average: Wyden +22

PENNSYLVANIA:

Incumbent: Arlen Specter (D, Retired)
Candidates: Joe Sestak (D), Pat Toomey (R)

RCP: LEAN D
SCP: TILT D
538: 77% Sestak

Under the threat of a primary challenge and general distrust by Democratic voters over perceived flip-flopping on issues, Senator Arlen Specter has retired. The Democratic nominee is Admiral and U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, who is heavily favored over TEA Party-backed lunatic Pat Toomey

Polling Average: Sestak +10

SOUTH CAROLINA:

Incumbent: Jim DeMint (R)
Challenger: Vic Rawl (D)

RCP: LEAN R
SCP: LIKELY R
538: 91% DeMint

South Carolina is a very conservative state, but Jim DeMint is not the most popular Senator ever and is hated by top Republicans due to his backing of candidates who are 'true conservatives' aka far-right unelectable lunatics. Still, he will win.

Polling Average: DeMint +12

SOUTH DAKOTA:

Incumbent: John Thune (R)
Challenger: Tom Daschle (D)

RCP: LIKELY R
SCP: LIKELY R
538: 96% Thune

Senator John Thune was expected to cruise to re-election in a landslide until former Senator and majority leader Tom Daschle announced his candidacy. Now he is expected to cruise to re-election in a landslide.

Polling Average: Thune +14

UTAH:

Incumbent: Bob Bennett (R)
Challenger: Unopposed

RCP: SAFE R
SCP: SAFE R
538: >99% Bennett

Bob Bennett fought a TEA Party challenger off in the primary, and will cruise to re-election unopposed for another term.

Polling Average: Bennett +97

VERMONT:

Incumbent: Patrick Leahy (D)
Challenger: Unopposed

RCP: SAFE D
SCP: SAFE D
538: >99% Leahy

Batman will be re-elected.

Polling Average: Leahy +99

WASHINGTON:

Incumbent: Patty Murray (D)
Challenger: UNBEATABLE PERENNIAL CANDIDATE Dino Rossi (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: SAFE D
538: >96% Murray

Everyone's favorite meme special olympics chair who always loses every election by 2 to 5 points is running again, and this time might lose an election by (gasp) 6 to 10 points.

Polling Average: Murray +11

WISCONSIN:

Incumbent: Russ Feingold (D)
Challenger: Ron Johnson (R)

RCP: LIKELY D
SCP: LEAN D
538: >93% Feingold

Despite a minor scare, Democrats threw several hundred grand at various dumb candidates to confuse Ron Johnson into actually having to campaign in the primary. Now he is favored to lose to Russ Feingold.

Polling Average: Feingold +11

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

President begins campaign tour for Senate Democrats.
-CNN; August 2, 2010

Special: Inside the DNC's midterm 'war room'.
-MSNBC; August 3, 2010

RNC to spend $50 Million on campaign attacking Tom Steyer.
-San Francisco Chronicle; August 6, 2010

Are these idiots for real?
-Random Tweet; August 6, 2010

McConnell approval rating falls under 10%... In Kentucky.
-Gallup; August 8, 2010

The Trump Organization begins bankruptcy proceedings to avoid over $100 Million in debt.
-CNN; August 10, 2010

Judge rejects Trump bankruptcy filing, cites a lack of a reasonable payment timeline.
-CNN; August 11, 2010

Secretary of State Clinton meets with Russian counterpart to negotiate arms treaty.
-New York Times; August 12, 2010

Leaked Trump Organization shows Trump net worth at -$2 Billion.
-LA Times; August 15, 2010

Trump Tower to be sold for $1 Billion, property around it to be sold back to city of New York.
-New York Times; August 17, 2010

2010 Arms Reduction Treaty proposed, would limit US and Russia to 5,000 nukes each.
-CNN; August 19, 2010

Americans support Arms Reduction Treaty by a 58-40 margin.
-Gallup; August 20, 2010

Senate approves Arms Reduction Treaty with a 70-27 vote. The Russian Duma is expected to do the same.
-AP; August 24, 2010

President signs Arms Reduction Treaty.
-MSNBC; August 25, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 58% (-)
NO: 36% (-1)
UNSURE: 6% (+1)

Unemployment: 6.7% (down 0.2%)
Poverty: 12.6% (down 0.4%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Democrats have an over 99% chance of holding the Senate. The house? Not so much...
-Steve Kornacki; September 2, 2010

President Obama campaigns for Evan Bayh.
-MSNBC; September 4, 2010

Economy shows continued recovery, 80% of Americans see Obama as competently handing it.
-Gallup; September 5, 2010

Ted Kennedy dies at 78.
-New York Times; September 7, 2010

Kennedycare is approved by 60% of people as Republicans ramp up attack ads.
-CNN; September 9, 2010

Why isn't Obama releasing a comprehensive gun control plan right before a national election?
-Chris Cillizza; September 10, 2010

Niel Abercrombie resigns from Congress, parties to appoint candidates for special election.
-Honolulu Star; September 13, 2010

Little-known politician and organizer Stacey Abrams hired to lead Democratic turnout efforts.
-New York Times; September 15, 2010

Merrick Garland formally confirmed following Republican obstruction 67-32.
-Roll Call; September 16, 2010

Justice Merrick Garland sworn in by Chief Justice Roberts.
-Washington Post; September 19, 2010

Hawaii State Senator David Ige dead in plane crash.
-MSNBC; September 20, 2010

Nuclear annihilation is more popular than Mitch McConnell, 3% to 2%.
-CNN Poll; September 22, 2010

How Mitch McConnell managed to be hated by everyone.
-MSNBC; September 25, 2010

First troops come home from Iraq under new plan.
-Washington Post; September 27, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 58% (-)
NO: 38% (+2)
UNSURE: 4% (-2)

Unemployment: 6.6% (down 0.1%)
Poverty: 12.2% (down 0.4%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

President signs executive order enhancing protections for those transitioning off welfare.
-CNN; October 1, 2010

Mexican businessman Carlos Slim Helu purchases Trump National Golf Club Westchester.
-CNN; October 4, 2010

President signs Rosa's Law.
-Washington Post; October 5, 2010

President Obama hosts world leaders for NATO Summit.
-White House; October 8, 2010

Senate passes bill expanding aid for children 99-1.
-Roll Call; October 10, 2010

President grants clemency to several nonviolent marijuana offenders.
-Department of Justice; October 12, 2010

Why this is officially the fastest recession recovery ever.
-MSNBC; October 14, 2010

Don't Ask Don't Tell repeal officially proposed in the Senate.
-FOX News; October 16, 2010

Republicans play Who Is More Homophobic for a prize of campaign donations.
-The Onion; October 17, 2010

Senate approves DADT Repeal 68-32.
-CNN; October 21, 2010

John Ensign: "We're thinking we will get somewhere between 6 and 8 senate seats."
-FOX News; October 24, 2010

CBO announces greater than expected revenue from taxes.
-CNN; October 25, 2010

Obama campaigns for House Democrats before midterms.
-CNN; October 29, 2010

Do you approve of President Obama?
YES: 57% (-1)
NO: 39% (+1)
UNSURE: 4% (-)

Unemployment: 6.3% (down 0.3%)
Poverty: 11.7% (down 0.5%)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

COOPER: "Hello and Welcome to CNN's midterm coverage. I'm Anderson Cooper and I'm with Wolf Blitzer."

BLITZER: "Hello."

COOPER: "We now have our first poll closings. But I would first like to go over the color scheme we'll be using. As usual, Democrats will be blue and Republicans will be red. A light shade means that party's nominee is leading, while a dark color means the race has been called."

BLITZER: "And now we have our first poll closings of the night. As you can see, we can only immediately call the state of Vermont, where incumbent Pat Leahy will be returning to Washington in January. All others are too close or too early to call, but we are confidant in our predictions for all except Kentucky."

D: 42
R: 22
---

"We now how more projections. In West Virginia, we can project that Carte Goodwin will win election to finish the term, while we can also project that Johnny Isakson will defeat Denise Majette to win re-election. In addition, a weak Democratic nominee has resulted in us being able to declare Evan Bayh as re-elected."

D: 44
R: 23
---

"Welcome back to our audience. Since it is 8:00 PM we have more poll closings, this one the biggest yet. First, we can project that Kelly Ayotte has won the election to succeed the retiring Judd Gregg, while Richard Blumenthal looks likely to do the same. We can also now tell you that Democratic incumbents in Maryland and Delaware have been re-elected, while the same is true for Dick Shelby in Alabama. Jim DeMint will be returning to the Senate, while Florida is still too close to call. We can also project that the incumbent Republican in Oklahoma will be re-elected. As for the President's home state of Illinois, we are confidant that incumbent Tammy Duckworth will win, although the strength of Republican Mark Kirk means that we are being careful. Joe Sestak and Robin Carnahan both hold leads, although Sestak's is likely to stay while Carnahan's is not."

D: 46
R: 27
---

"Just thirty minutes after our last closings we have more of them. In North Carolina (predicted to be the closest race of the cycle), Richard Burr has a small lead, although Democratic areas are the last to come in. In Arkansas, we can immediately forecast the first flip of the night, with Blanche Lincoln falling in defeat for what is the first of two likely Republican pickups. Marco Rubio has also taken the lead in Florida, although the fact that we can now call Illinois for Senator Duckworth may soften their celebrations. We can also project that Richard Blumenthal has won election to succeed the unpopular Chris Dodd."

D: 48
R: 28 (+1; AR)
---

"Thank you Chris. For more with Chris Cillizza you can visit CNN.com/RemedialTakes for his show. Now back to election predicting. We can project that Chuck Schumer and Sean Patrick Maloney have won their respective races in New York, therefore securing the Senate for Democrats via the tie-breaking vote of Vice President Biden. Wisconsin is too close to call, although the fact that we can now call both North Dakota and South Dakota (the former of which is a flip) ought to put a smile on Republican faces. We can also call Kansas for the Republicans, as well as Arizona for John McCain. Colorado is still too close to call. Republicans have taken back the lead in Missouri, although the fact that we weren't able to call Louisiana immediately may concern some.

✓D: 50
R: 32 (+2; AR, ND)
---

"Time for more poll closings! We can call Iowa and Utah outright for Republicans, although we can also project that Russ Feingold has won another term in the United States Senate. Harry Reid's race is shockingly too close to call, a worrying sign for Democrats, which compounded is compounded by the victory of Marco Rubio in Florida's senate race. Florida is unfortunate as frontrunner Bob Graham had a heart attack and dropped out. Graham, who held this seat previously, was up by 10 points in an exit poll."

✓D: 51
R: 35 (+2; AR, ND)
---

"It is now 11:00 PM on the east coast and the million-dollar year-end bonus question is 'can we- err... the Democrats win a filibuster-proof majority of 55 seats. The answer appears to be yes as we can call the states of Oregon, Washington, Hawaii and California immediately for the Dems, bringing them up to 55. Both parties trade hits as Joe Sestak wins Pennsylvania and David Vitter wins Louisiana. The shocking race is Ohio, where the #2 in the hugely popular Strickland administration is keeping the race within 1%.

✓D: 56
R: 37 (+2; AR, ND)
---

"It is now 1:00 AM and I need a tenth cup of coffee! Welcome back folks, we now have some results from Alaska. Not enough to make any projections, however. We can call Nevada and Colorado for the Democrats and Missouri for the Republicans. CNN can also give the Democrats their first flip of the night, with Jack Conway defeating Rand Paul in a close race."

✓D: 59 (+1; KY)
R: 38 (+2; AR, ND)
---

"It is now noon on the day following the elections, and all the results are in. Democrats have achieved the feat of gaining seats during a midterm, although the map was great for them. North Carolina and Alaska have been gained by Democrats, while the Republicans have held Ohio by a very slim margin."

✓D: 61 (+3; KY, AK, NC)
R: 39 (+2; AR, ND)

TOP FIVE CLOSEST:

OHIO:
✓Rob Portman (R): 1,867,505 (48.90%)
Lee Fisher (D): 1,862,540 (48.77%)

NORTH CAROLINA:
✓Josh Stein (D): 1,317,775 (49.52%)
Richard Burr* (R): 1,302,063 (48.93%)

KENTUCKY:
✓Jack Conway (D): 678,691 (50.10%)
Rand Paul (R): 653,571 (48.24%)

MISSOURI:
✓Eric Greitens (R): 997,870 (51.33%)
Robin Carnahan (D): 945,299 (48.63%)

ALASKA:
✓Al Gross (D): 101,214 (40.69%)
Lisa Murkowski (R/I): 86,961 (34.96%)
Joe Miller (R): 59,769 (24.02%)

[NewYorkExpress]

Not sure in what 2010 Universe Democrats win in Kentucky and Alaska while losing in New Hampshire and Ohio (I can forgive Iowa, Chuck Grassley was still very popular at this point, and there's no way he should be losing in any 2010 cycle.).

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Not sure in what 2010 Universe Democrats win in Kentucky and Alaska while losing in New Hampshire and Ohio (I can forgive Iowa, Chuck Grassley was still very popular at this point, and there's no way he should be losing in any 2010 cycle.).

Alaska is vote splitting. The democrat won with 41% after the Murkowski-Miller thing still happened. Kentucky was within ten points OTL, which was closer than OTL Ohio by a lot. NH was also a 20 point+ margin of victory.

[NewYorkExpress]

Not sure in what 2010 Universe Democrats win in Kentucky and Alaska while losing in New Hampshire and Ohio (I can forgive Iowa, Chuck Grassley was still very popular at this point, and there's no way he should be losing in any 2010 cycle.).

Alaska is vote splitting. The democrat won with 41% after the Murkowski-Miller thing still happened. Kentucky was within ten points OTL, which was closer than OTL Ohio by a lot. NH was also a 20 point+ margin of victory.

The point is that that I think Rand Paul and Murkowski should still win (especially Murkowski). I'm willing to concede Kentucky, but Murkowski should have won by more in this scenario, quite honestly.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Republicans combined got 60%.

Gross got 40%, so 15% difference.

Gross is generally a better candidate, so we'll give him a few percent more. He also got over $10,000,000 from the DSCC, so a few percent there. Obama's popularity is higher, so a few percent there. Alaska got a ton of money from the Infrastructure bill (which the DSCC said Murkowski opposed, which was partially true). Gross also ran a campaign, which the OTL dem didn't do.