Buffalo, NY - The Comeback Kid

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/AsInMarx/status/1407557966446923778?s=20

Apparently he attempted to sleepwalk to victory, which might have been part of the reason for the upset.

[Oryxslayer]

I just took a look at election day/early voting results. They're a bit messy since it seems like the city consolidated a bunch of precincts. So far, the strongest precincts for India are in areas where there is a large number of either hipster white folks (Allentown, the West Side*) or, to a slightly lesser but still considerable extent, rich white folks (Elmwood Village). The strongest precincts for Byron are in areas with a large number of working-class white folks (South Buffalo, Riverside*). To me, this suggests an education split among white voters. The East Side, which has our Black neighborhoods, was fairly closely split; perhaps a hair more for Byron than India, but not by a lot. I'm not seeing many patterns yet on the East Side.

Once the absentees are in and tabulated, I'll put up some maps

* Interestingly, although these areas are split in the results, they share large parts of Buffalo's considerable and growing refugee population. I presume many of the refugees aren't yet voting citizens.

YES!!! I'm a new Buffalo resident and happily voted for India, even though I'd not consider myself anything close to a socialist. This is exactly why:

Apparently he attempted to sleepwalk to victory, which might have been part of the reason for the upset.

Byron did not participate in mayoral debates. Byron did not campaign. Byron's campaign site was basically, "hello, I am Byron Brown, the mayor of Buffalo". I could not tell you Byron's campaign platform because it did not seem to exist (I tried to look). One of the biggest political debates in Buffalo right now is over speed cameras (which is a whole thing that I won't get into). When the Common Council passed two bills trying to abolish them, Byron (1) got the first one voided on a technicality so he didn't have to take a position on the cameras, and (2) let the second one slide into law without signing it or vetoing it so he didn't have take a position on the cameras. Again, this is a huge issue in Buffalo, and rather than taking a side, he tried to cower.

Welcome to the 716!

Thanks! *hughughug*

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1408148845528326147?s=20

For the viewer's sake.

[Oryxslayer]

Mayor Brown removed from the ballot after fight from Walton campaign:

https://buffalonews.com/news/local/government-and-politics/byron-brown-off-buffalo-mayoral-ballot-after-state-federal-rulings/article_3789a114-1662-11ec-823e-ffce2f3f9692.html#tracking-source=home-breaking

Good

Great

I don't have a horse in this fight, but this was the lawful decision and the alternative reeked of parochial favoritism.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/bern_hogan/status/1446638029452496897?s=20

I don't think Suozzi has much cred at the other end of the state from where he works, and it's more a attempt to position himself against Hochul. But it's this race which is impacted so...

[Oryxslayer]

Here's Jay Jacobs comparing India Walton to David Duke.

https://twitter.com/morganfmckay/status/1450163231591473154

Note that he "retracted" - read youtuber fake-apology 'sorry you were offended' - it after pressure from other NY Democrats.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/JerryZremski/status/1451670524090855427?s=20

Obviously good for Walton, but the real loser here is Suoizzi whose discovered that his attempted shadow primary/future gov primary attempt would not receive the support from prominent and powerful NY dems.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/SpecialPuppy1/status/1453204283743145986?s=20

Honestly, this is just the simplest explanation out there if Walton loses - and Brown being very easy to spell of course. Ads don't really matter beyond the margins unless the gap in spending gets dramatic, and then they start to matter a ton.

[Oryxslayer]

polls have closed here.

[Oryxslayer]

Maroon avatars celebrated prematurely when Walton won the primary.

Write-ins up 65-35 with the early vote counted.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/cinyc9/status/1455731118792187907?s=20

Map of results.