Who is more likely to lose re-election?

[Real Texan Politics]

Between DeSantis of Florida and Abbott of Texas, who is more likely to lose their re-election bid?


I'll be bold and say Abbott. While DeSantis is obviously controversial, he seems a lot more well-liked by his republican constituents than Abbott. Doesn't help either that Abbott is not necessarily that beloved by the MAGA base. Also I think Beto is a much stronger dem candidate (despite the "hell yes" and church taxing comments) than both Fried and Crist combined. Plus with the power grid failures of this year, it provides something easy for democrats to attack Abbott on rather than just "DeathSantis bad" in Florida.