Abbott and is not even close, he's underwater and DeSantis is pretty popular in his state, he is gonna win pretty easily, doesn't matter if Crist or Fried are the opponents, they're DOA
Abbott may have weaker approvals or be underwater, but the partisan leans of the these states make it still not plausible. This is like saying Cuomo is more likely to lose a GE and Whitmer or Walz. Govs like Abbott and Cuomo may be unpopular, but in these polarized times, they're safe in a GE.
TX-Gov could be kind of competitive if this was a 2nd Trump midterm and a strong Dem candidate would challenge Abbott. Neither is the case here.
Texas was only two points to the right of Florida last year.
I was going to say. TX as of late has not been Republican enough to make the difference a major factor in the calculus here.