Who were Trumpís new Miami-Dade voters
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  Who were Trumpís new Miami-Dade voters
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Tekken_Guy
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« on: June 22, 2021, 11:16:18 AM »

Who were Donald Trumpís new voters in Miami-Dade county?
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Horus
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« Reply #1 on: June 22, 2021, 11:29:01 AM »

Cubans, Venezuelans, Orthodox Jews and maybe a few Haitians. I believe Carlos Gimenez is a Hillary-Trump voter.
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erwint.2021
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« Reply #2 on: June 22, 2021, 03:36:56 PM »

Cubans, Venezuelans, Orthodox Jews and maybe a few Haitians. I believe Carlos Gimenez is a Hillary-Trump voter.

He is. It could have been that he wouldn't be elected to Congress without supporting Trump though.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #3 on: June 22, 2021, 06:21:03 PM »

-2004 Bush/2012 Romney voters. Conservative-leaning Miami residents who voted for Clinton in 2016 more out of a dislike for Trump that year and were otherwise open to conservative candidates. Mostly Cuban.

-Low propensity voters. Working-class or low income voters who rarely turned out in previous elections or were not registered to vote before 2020. Mostly not very political and generally low-trust, low-info voters. May have been encouraged to vote this year by Trump's stimulus payments, his "macho" personality, opposition to lockdowns etc. A heterogeneous group, comprising most Latino groups as well as whites and potentially even some blacks (newly registered blacks probably more likely to vote Republican than those who were registered prior to 2020).

-Newly eligible voters. People who became US citizens in the past few years, especially Venezuelan or other Latin American immigrants who have vivid memories of Chavez/Maduro's Venezuela and voted in opposition to "socialism".
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erwint.2021
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« Reply #4 on: June 23, 2021, 02:41:26 PM »

Yes. Predominately Hispanic voters from Cuba and Venezuela. Blacks barely budged in Miami-Dade. Not only did Trump increase in raw-votes, Biden decreased compared to Clinton. A large share of Trump voters were Clinton and Obama voters.
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Samof94
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« Reply #5 on: June 25, 2021, 05:56:01 AM »

-2004 Bush/2012 Romney voters. Conservative-leaning Miami residents who voted for Clinton in 2016 more out of a dislike for Trump that year and were otherwise open to conservative candidates. Mostly Cuban.

-Low propensity voters. Working-class or low income voters who rarely turned out in previous elections or were not registered to vote before 2020. Mostly not very political and generally low-trust, low-info voters. May have been encouraged to vote this year by Trump's stimulus payments, his "macho" personality, opposition to lockdowns etc. A heterogeneous group, comprising most Latino groups as well as whites and potentially even some blacks (newly registered blacks probably more likely to vote Republican than those who were registered prior to 2020).

-Newly eligible voters. People who became US citizens in the past few years, especially Venezuelan or other Latin American immigrants who have vivid memories of Chavez/Maduro's Venezuela and voted in opposition to "socialism".
Spanish language ads went on about Cuba and Venezuela.
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MARGINS6729
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« Reply #6 on: June 27, 2021, 01:11:49 AM »

Everyone but Cubans powered the gains even though Trump made big gains with Colombians, Nicaraguans, Venezuelans, conservative Jewish voters, black voters.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #7 on: June 27, 2021, 01:39:37 AM »

Air-heads who believed that "Biden was going to bring Communism to America."
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #8 on: June 27, 2021, 06:45:06 AM »

Air-heads who believed that "Biden was going to bring Communism to America."
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GP270watch
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« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2021, 11:04:28 AM »

 The GOP ran an amazing P.R. campaign whipping these voters into a red scare/misinformation frenzy.
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AverroŽs Nix
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« Reply #10 on: June 28, 2021, 01:22:05 PM »

People who thought that Trump was Castro in 2016 but who stopped worrying once he was in office and turned out to be just an ineffectual crank who ran the security state like any other Republican.
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MARGINS6729
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« Reply #11 on: June 28, 2021, 09:09:00 PM »

People who thought that Trump was Castro in 2016 but who stopped worrying once he was in office and turned out to be just an ineffectual crank who ran the security state like any other Republican.

They didn't think Trump was Castro from what I can tell- they thought he was offensive to Hispanics and the more culturally conservative Cubans/non cuban Hispanics  didn't like his adultery and rhetoric. They didn't think he was Presidential. Hillary is also very popular amongst Hispanics and in South Florida. But once he got into office and the economy started taking off(nothing of Trump's doing but I digress) a lot of them warmed up to him and grew to regard his rhetoric as just political theatre that is actually entertaining. Trump's tough talk, over the top manner, and crazy statements are actually very similar to Cuban entertainers, talk show hosts, and Latin American politicians which explains some of his new found support with Hispanics.
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Tumpologist
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« Reply #12 on: June 30, 2021, 05:32:41 PM »

Air-heads who believed that "Biden was going to bring Communism to America."
so nostrodomuses
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: June 30, 2021, 06:51:36 PM »

Air-heads who believed that "Biden was going to bring Communism to America."
so nostrodomuses

Nostradumbasses.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #14 on: July 02, 2021, 09:29:32 AM »

People who thought that Trump was Castro in 2016 but who stopped worrying once he was in office and turned out to be just an ineffectual crank who ran the security state like any other Republican.

They didn't think Trump was Castro from what I can tell- they thought he was offensive to Hispanics and the more culturally conservative Cubans/non cuban Hispanics  didn't like his adultery and rhetoric. They didn't think he was Presidential. Hillary is also very popular amongst Hispanics and in South Florida. But once he got into office and the economy started taking off(nothing of Trump's doing but I digress) a lot of them warmed up to him and grew to regard his rhetoric as just political theatre that is actually entertaining. Trump's tough talk, over the top manner, and crazy statements are actually very similar to Cuban entertainers, talk show hosts, and Latin American politicians which explains some of his new found support with Hispanics.

The tougher line which Trump took towards Cuba, compared to Obama, along with the recognition he extended to Maduro's opponent Juan Guaidů, may have also helped him to increase his support among Latin American voters in South Florida.
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MARGINS6729
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« Reply #15 on: July 05, 2021, 02:27:02 AM »

Yes, exactly.
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Fusternino
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« Reply #16 on: July 05, 2021, 12:39:11 PM »

Just popping in to remind everyone that Bush still got the margin closer in 2004.
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DS0816
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« Reply #17 on: July 13, 2021, 12:44:35 AM »

Air-heads who believed that "Biden was going to bring Communism to America."

Perhaps you have a point.

Even dumber than that are the Democratic partisan voters who believeólet alone say and/or writeóJoe Biden is a progressive.
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