MO: Survey USA: McCaskill(D) keeps edge on Talent(R) in the latest MO poll

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New Poll: Missouri Senator by Survey USA on 2006-09-13

Summary: D: 48%, R: 47%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Eraserhead]

I can see this race coming down to a few hundred votes.

[CultureKing]

I can see this race coming down to a few hundred votes.

Agreed

[Smash255]

Pure tossup

[Tender Branson]

Pure tossup

[jerusalemcar5]

I see Talent winning by a larger margin than expected.  A gut feeling.  I may edit my prediction accordingly. 

[Adlai Stevenson]

I think this poll shows that race leans by a tiny margin towards McCaskill because according to SUSA Independents backed McCaskill by 3% in the last poll and now they back Talent by 12%.  The fact that Talent is leading by that much amongst Republicans and Independents leads me to think that McCaskill has a very minor advantage if she is still leading at this point.  I agree though, it is the most fundamental tossup race of the election.  My prediction:

MISSOURI SENATE
McCaskill (D) 49%
Talent (R) 48%

[MarkWarner08]

The last four Senate and Governor races in Missouri have gone 49.3% Republican to 49.1% Democratic. This race will stay to form and be another late-night nailbiter.