Sanders wins Iowa - 2016 TL

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CNN PROJECTION - Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders wins Iowa Caucuses
Blitzer - A day has already passed since the polls closed in Iowa, and we can only now call the winner of the Democratic Caucuses. CNN can now project that Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has won, defeating former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a stunning upset. Right now, it seems like Sanders has won 50.1% of the state delegate equivalents to 49.3% for Secretary Clinton. This is a stunning upset, considering that only a few months ago everyone thought that Clinton would be easily nominated, and no one gave Bernie Sanders any chance of winning. This is very embarrassing for Hillary Clinton, who gave a victory speech last night when it was thought she would eke it out, and it is bound to give her negative headlines going into New Hampshire.

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Clinton abandons New Hampshire as Sanders surges, Democrats panic

Sources close to Congressional Democrats on Capitol Hill and to the Democratic National Committee report that there is panic within their ranks at the momentum of Senator Sanders. After his surprise win in Iowa, he surged in polls to the point where he is leading by over 20% in New Hampshire and is in striking distance nationally. It would seem as if the Clinton camp has decided to stop competing in the next state, New Hampshire, and instead focus on halting the momentum of the self-proclaimed socialist in states with large minority populations like Nevada and South Carolina. Clinton has left New Hampshire for Nevada on February 6th. While the Democratic establishment is scared, the GOP is at least glad that they are not the only ones facing insurgents, given the rise of Trump and Cruz.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

This is great.

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CNN PROJECTION - Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders wins New Hampshire Primary
Blitzer - We were able to project at poll closing that Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has won the New Hampshire Primary, no surprise given that it was abandoned by the Clinton campaign a few days ago. However, with nearly 100% of the vote in, we can see what a shocking margin he has over the former Secretary. He is leading by no less than 27%, 62.6% to 35.2%. This is a surprisingly big margin that has to worry the Clinton campaign and the Democratic establishment who were already panicking after Iowa.

Tapper - And this comes in a context when Hillary Clinton is in Nevada and will be there until February 20th, trying to stop Sanders there. Most polls show the race there is a dead heat, with some presenting small Clinton leads, others presenting small Sanders leads. The 538 average shows Clinton up by less than 1%. And after tonight, Sanders goes in there with even more momentum. The anxiety at the Clinton HQ must be through the roof.

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Wikileaks leaks shocking DNC emails showing conspiracies against Sanders

On February 16th, just as Clinton and Sanders were fighting in the nail-biting Nevada caucuses, thousands of emails from the servers of the DNC were published by Wikileaks. They show high-ranking officials expressing disdain for the Sanders campaign on numerous occasions and, especially following the Iowa caucuses, plotting ways to stop the Vermont Senator by pushing late modifications in the primary calendar, canceling debates until after Super Tuesday, and pushing important Democratic figures to endorse Hillary Clinton. These leaks have created outrage among Sanders supporters, with Bernie Sanders saying that the establishment is trying to stop his momentum and called on DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz to resign, calls that she has ignored so far. The Clinton campaign has mostly stayed silent but is now privately admitting that Nevada may be lost following these leaks.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Prediction:

[OSR stands with Israel]

Prediction:

I would say Bernie wins PA in this scenario too

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CNN PROJECTION - Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders wins Nevada

Blitzer - So, it is official now. Bernie Sanders has won the third state in a row, in a major blow to the Clinton campaign. According to our exit polls, the DNC leaks have been the decisive factor that tilted the scales for the Vermont socialist. With 95% of the vote in, Sanders has 51.1% and Clinton has 47.7%.

Tapper - For so long, people thought that Clinton would easily win the nomination, but many still do that she will end up on top, but you have to start winning somewhere. Her campaign, which has been shaken to its core by recent developments, seems to think now that South Carolina will be where the momentum of the insurgent will stop. And it might well be, especially as Clinton still has a gigantic advantage in the South, but following the upset tonight, they can not take anything for granted.

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The White House considers dropping its neutrality

According to sources close to the White House, President Obama and his inner circle have started taking the possibility that Bernie Sanders will be the Democratic nominee very seriously, and it caused them great anxiety. While President Obama is still not willing to endorse, many of his Cabinet secretaries and even Vice President Biden consider making their support of the former Secretary public if her campaign is not killed off on Super Tuesday. Similarly, Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi has started urging Representatives from states coming up in March to endorse Clinton, to mixed success.

Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign is in disarray. Campaign manager Robby Mook has pulled back most resources to protect their Southern firewall, which he believes will deliver victories on Super Tuesday, but other high-ranking aides are criticizing that strategy as short-sighted, given that one can not win the nomination only with the South. And the candidate herself is, according to chatter on Capitol Hill, losing her usual composure and feels as if the nomination is stolen from her again.

[Frodo]

Another fascinating timeline.  Please keep going with this.... 

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Thank you for all your kind words!

CNN PROJECTION - Former Secretary of State wins South Carolina in a landslide

Blitzer - This was not a surprise, but Hillary Clinton has won South Carolina. Her campaign has been telling us ever since New Hampshire that this is where the Sanders momentum will hit their firewall. And while the Sanders campaign certainly did not expect to win in South Carolina, the margin by which they got beaten disappointed them and it made them worried about Super Tuesday, when many southern states hold their primaries. Clinton has over 68% to just 31% for Sanders, a huge, 37-point margin. She won in every county, although only by 9 votes in Pickens County.

Tapper - And it is important to see where this leaves us in the all-important delegate math. When not including superdelegates, before tonight, Sanders had 58 delegates to 45 for Clinton. Now, Secretary Clinton is leading, narrowly, 81 to 75.

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Sanders campaign braces for Super Tuesday as Clinton anticipates Southern romp

The South Carolina primary landslide, despite what Sanders online supporters expected, restored confidence inside the Clinton campaign and was a cold shower for the leftists getting overconfident. Now, Hillary Clinton anticipates winning all Southern states outside of Oklahoma by big margins, which would put her back in the clear lead even without counting the superdelegates. Sanders on the other hand is bracing for a rather grim Super Tuesday and is trying hard to win all non-southern states. However, they are not losing their confidence, given that Clinton has so far not proven at all that she can win other regions, and they are hoping that she will be clearly defeated in the states coming up in March and April, which will preserve their momentum and keep her on the defensive.

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CNN PROJECTION - Secretary Clinton wins 8 out of 13 contests on Super Tuesday and most delegates

Blitzer - It appears that on Super Tuesday, the so-called Southern firewall has delivered. Clinton won Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia as well as the US territory of American Samoa. Most of her victories were not close and were called at poll closings. Sanders has done well in contests outside of the South. He won Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, and his home state of Vermont. While Clinton is ahead now in the delegate count by a more significant margin, the Sanders camp is quite pleased with their performance, saying it could have been much worse and looking ahead to further contests...

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Clinton campaign distraught with its performance on Super Tuesday

Many would not understand why would Hillary Clinton and her aides be disappointed with what happened on Super Tuesday. She won most contests and is now ahead of Sanders 552 to 471. However, they view it as a missed opportunity to stop the Vermont socialist in his tracks. Instead, the South delivered but not at the degree they expected as Sanders showed some strength in some of the states, and the momentum of his campaign seems to only be ever-growing. He is now ahead of Clinton nationally and she is the one in need of a surge. The sudden turn of events has left Democrats in Washington numb and many are already pointing fingers at Clinton behind closed doors as the main arena moves to the Manufacturing Belt, where Clinton has a lead but Sanders sees his path to the nomination. But it would seem as if it is just a theme of 2016, as, on the Republican side, Donald Trump has won most states too and the establishment is at a loss of what to do to stop him.

[Chips]

I think Sanders will narrowly edge out Clinton for the nomination and beat Trump in the general in this timeline.

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I think Sanders will narrowly edge out Clinton for the nomination and beat Trump in the general in this timeline.

That 400+ superdelegate advantage will not be easy to overcome through

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CNN PROJECTION - Clinton wins Louisiana, Sanders wins Kansas, Nebraska, and Maine

Blitzer - It is clear now that former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will win another state in the Deep South while Bernie Sanders will win caucuses in the Plains and in north-eastern Maine. This narrows the gap in pledged delegates from 81 to 63, however, Clinton is still in the lead. So far, the former Secretary has not won anywhere outside of the South, but she hopes to do that a few days from now in Michigan, a state in which Sanders has been putting a lot of effort despite Clinton leading by low double digits.

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Clinton shines in Flint Democratic Debate

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, perhaps feeling that the nomination is getting away from her, has had her best debate performance in this electoral cycle. She appeared compassionate and understanding of the troubles of the people from Flint and proposed very documented solutions. She emphasized her more populist ideas and how they are more practical than what Sanders is proposing, as well as used any opportunity to warn that Sanders may be unelectable even against Trump, a worry many liberal Democrats share with her. Post-debate polls have indicated a rise in her support nationally, passing over Sanders once again if narrowly.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

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Thank you so much for the map!

CNN PROJECTION - Sanders upsets Clinton in Michigan, former SoS predictably wins MS

Blitzer - Against all odds and despite a stellar performance in the pre-primary debate by his opponent, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has pulled off a stunning upset and won Michigan by over 7 points. The exit polls do indicate a late shift towards Clinton, which means the polls were wrong from the very start. The Clinton campaign is once again in disarray and is betting everything on the primaries on March 15th. They have sent Hillary Clinton on a rescue mission in Ohio and Illinois, worried the Michigan primary signals problems in the entire Manufacturing Belt. However, Clinton did increase her delegate lead tonight with a hefty win in Mississippi. Right now, the race is 696 pledged delegates for Clinton to 627 for Sanders.

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Clinton wins Northern Mariana Islands caucus, nets 2 delegates

Shocking Wikileaks report - Flint debate questions were leaked to Clinton by Donna Brazile

Wikileaks struck again today, March 12th, with a devastating report for the Clinton campaign. According to the e-mails that they leaked, CNN contributor Donna Brazile leaked all questions and possible follow-ups from the Flint Democratic debate to Hillary Clinton, which explains her unexpectedly good performance. Utterly embarrassed by the story, CNN ceased all collaborations with Brazile and even DNC Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz has thrown her under the bus, in part to stave off ever-growing calls for her own resignation. Sanders has gone full-on attack against Clinton today, openly accusing her of trying to cheat her way to the nomination, a feeling shared by many voters of various ideologies. Even Democrats on Capitol Hill and the White House have started to pull back their behind-the-scenes support for Clinton, worried that she may be damaged goods. The former Secretary has refused to apologize. Instead, she has been trying to shift the narrative to Wikileaks and how they get their information, so far unsuccessfully.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I think Sanders will narrowly edge out Clinton for the nomination and beat Trump in the general in this timeline.

That 400+ superdelegate advantage will not be easy to overcome through

If Bernie leads in pledged delegates and the popular vote , it will be very difficult for the Supers to overturn that

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

I think Sanders will narrowly edge out Clinton for the nomination and beat Trump in the general in this timeline.

That 400+ superdelegate advantage will not be easy to overcome through

If Bernie leads in pledged delegates and the popular vote , it will be very difficult for the Supers to overturn that

Many superdelegates only voted for Clinton because she had a commanding popular vote and pleged delegate vote victory. If Bernie wins Clinton will likely still win most, but the difference will likely by closer to 100-200.

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I think Sanders will narrowly edge out Clinton for the nomination and beat Trump in the general in this timeline.

That 400+ superdelegate advantage will not be easy to overcome through

If Bernie leads in pledged delegates and the popular vote , it will be very difficult for the Supers to overturn that

I think in another scenario the Democrats may be willing to use the superdelegates to stop Sanders. In this one, the Brazille scandal may have been the nail in the coffin for Hillary Clinton, so much so that even the establishment will not go out of its way to nominate her.

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Sanders sweeps March 15th primaries, wins 4 out of 5 contests

Blitzer - The March 15th primaries have been a huge success for Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. He won Missouri, Illinois, Ohio, and North Carolina. In the latter 2, according to our exit polls, Hillary Clinton would have won had it not been for the leaks surrounding Donna Brazille. The Former Secretary of State has only won Florida. Also concerning for her campaign is the fact that her favorability ratings have collapsed following the leaks among the general electorate and even among Democrats.

Tapper - Yes, Clinton is still leading in the pledged delegate count. She has 1.040 pledged delegates to 980 for Sanders. However, this is still a very big defeat. For example, the loss in North Carolina is stunning, almost comparable to her loss in Michigan. And now, the campaign moves into very friendly territory for Senator Sanders until at least April 19th. Combine that with the loss of support among Democrats in DC and you can see a very bleak picture for Hillary Clinton.