Biden vs. Trump: R+1.5
Harris vs. Trump: R+2.5
Biden vs. DeSantis: R+3
Harris vs. DeSantis: R+4
seem the most likely to me
Still waiting for info in 2022 to see how much of Miami-Dade's swing is permanent, the above predictions all assume that it swings by 5% or so towards the Democratic party.
It could be more or less.
This seems right.
I hope Charlie Crist beats your DeSantis in a Chamber of Commerce poll he is up by 10 in reality he is only up by 5 and Crist hasn't run any ads yet scrutinzing DeSantis and he will, states don't always vote the same way in off yrs elections and Crist lost to Rick Scott, Scott had more of a favorable view among Afro Americans, and DeSantis almost lost to Gillium and Crist will solidify the Black vote again
I would gladly trade MI and OR for FL and OH since Whitmer is loosing to Craig and Jessica Gomez is a mainstream R in OR
Crist winning along with an Supermajority R state Legislature will allow us to hold down R gains in the H to 5 loss seats between TX and FL after we run the score up in Cali, IL, NY to 15, This holding the H by 10 votes
