If Bernie was the D nominee, does the house flip?
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  If Bernie was the D nominee, does the house flip?
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Poll
Question: Would the house have flipped if Bernie was the Democratic nominee in 2020?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: If Bernie was the D nominee, does the house flip?  (Read 1273 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: June 14, 2021, 08:43:29 AM »

The House isn't guarenteed to flip at all, Cox has been morphed into Jev n Mccarthy that's why he is down by double digits again and Rs blocked the Commission, the Election isn't in 180 days this Nov it's 500 days from now, Rs are counting their chickens before they hatch, this isn't 2010 where Obamacare is unpopular
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #26 on: June 14, 2021, 09:14:30 PM »

Gonna go with no.

I think the (correct) presumption would be that Bernie lose. If that's the case then some people in swingy districts could vote Democrat to put a check on Trump.

Biden was presumed to defeat Trump so people in swing districts could split their ticket the opposite way.  

A lot of house races were decided by tiny margins.  
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #27 on: June 15, 2021, 10:54:45 AM »

Gonna go with no.

I think the (correct) presumption would be that Bernie lose. If that's the case then some people in swingy districts could vote Democrat to put a check on Trump.

Biden was presumed to defeat Trump so people in swing districts could split their ticket the opposite way.  

A lot of house races were decided by tiny margins.  

Polls showed that people were divided on whether they believed Trump or Biden would win.  Since polls undersampled Trump voters and those voters overwhelmingly thought Trump would win, the electorate that voted likely believed Trump would win the election.
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Schiff for Senate
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« Reply #28 on: June 15, 2021, 07:47:06 PM »

Probably a 3/4 chance it would, since Democrats retained only a small majority, and any large factor (such as the presidential nominee) could impact how some close Democratic races went (for example, it's possible another seat or two in CA flips red, and IA-03 would also likely go red, as well as NJ-07). I think that any race Democrats won by less than 4% could possibly flip with Sanders as the nominee. (Also, on a somewhat unrelated note, it seems very possible Sanders would underperform in the suburbs given his progressivism, with suburbanites choosing Trump as 'the lesser of two evils', and would therefore likely lose Georgia, Wisconsin, Arizona and Pennsylvania - and thereby lose to Trump.)
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #29 on: June 16, 2021, 09:54:18 AM »

Yea most likely
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #30 on: June 16, 2021, 12:53:51 PM »

Redistricting and the boarder is affecting the Redistricting anyways, Biden stopped building the wall and Gregg Abbott is gonna rebuild the wall that was the worse decision to stop building the wall and Immigrants are climbing over walls

AOC, Bernie and Warren want open boarders even moreso than Biden because Biden is a moderate

Open boarders are fine when there isn't any Covid but the Environment isn't condusive for open boarders

What happened to Immigration reform, they said they were gonna put it thru Reconciliation
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #31 on: June 18, 2021, 06:18:43 PM »

No, because Bernie would've put in more time and energy to energize the downballot and turned out more of the base.

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #32 on: June 18, 2021, 06:23:11 PM »

No, but down-ballot races still somehow end up worse.
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