POLL: Sinema's fate in 2024
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  POLL: Sinema's fate in 2024
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Poll
Question: What happens to Sinema?
#1
She wins re-election
#2
She loses the primary to a progressive
#3
She loses the general to a republican
#4
She chooses not to seek re-election
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Author Topic: POLL: Sinema's fate in 2024  (Read 1828 times)
If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
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« Reply #25 on: June 07, 2021, 05:22:09 PM »

Ron DeSantis defeats Kamala Harris in the first popular vote majority for the GOP since 2004 (AZ goes for DeSantis by >5pts)

How does this happen without the entire Native population of the state dying in the next three years? Is ethnic cleansing part of Ron's plan?
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #26 on: June 07, 2021, 05:30:51 PM »

Ron DeSantis defeats Kamala Harris in the first popular vote majority for the GOP since 2004 (AZ goes for DeSantis by >5pts)

How does this happen without the entire Native population of the state dying in the next three years? Is ethnic cleansing part of Ron's plan?
Presumably a regression in the Suburbs
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #27 on: June 07, 2021, 05:34:36 PM »

She'll draw a liberal challenger who generates a lot of online buzz and raises a considerable amount of money, but Sinema still wins the primary by >40pts in the end.

She then goes on to lose the GE when Ron DeSantis defeats Kamala Harris in the first popular vote majority for the GOP since 2004 (AZ goes for DeSantis by >5pts)

This almost certainly isn't going to happen, even if Republicans narrowly win the PV (which is unlikely, but possible.) Sinema could lose in the event of AZ going Republican by about 2%, though.
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If my soul was made of stone
discovolante
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« Reply #28 on: June 07, 2021, 05:42:46 PM »

Ron DeSantis defeats Kamala Harris in the first popular vote majority for the GOP since 2004 (AZ goes for DeSantis by >5pts)

How does this happen without the entire Native population of the state dying in the next three years? Is ethnic cleansing part of Ron's plan?
Presumably a regression in the Suburbs

That big of a regression? Everything that happened in 2020 would need to precisely reverse, and turnout from those still leaning Democratic would need to drop a lot. About-faces of that sort are exceedingly rare.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #29 on: June 09, 2021, 05:26:58 PM »

She'll draw a liberal challenger who generates a lot of online buzz and raises a considerable amount of money, but Sinema still wins the primary by >40pts in the end.

She then goes on to lose the GE when Ron DeSantis defeats Kamala Harris in the first popular vote majority for the GOP since 2004 (AZ goes for DeSantis by >5pts)

I don't think DeSantis would win Arizona by that margin. The state will probably be within 2% either way. Moreover, I think Sinema, like Kelly in 2020, will probably outperform Biden or Harris, and it may be enough for her to win reelection. I do agree with you that she's favored to win the primary, at least this far out.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #30 on: June 09, 2021, 05:51:42 PM »

God, DeSantis (winner of one statewide race in Florida by 0.4%) is so overrated.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #31 on: June 10, 2021, 10:58:50 PM »

She wins the general election. She has the benefit of running during a presidential election year. She will almost certainly face a progressive primary challenger, but I think she holds on.
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