Is this map even possible in 2024?

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

I would LOVE for someone to show me the [img/].png hyperlink format to post a direct picture of 270towin maps instead of having to link the site.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/yQlv2

[Storr]

In 2020 Oregon voted to the left of Colorado, New Mexico voted to the left of Virginia, and New Hampshire voted to the left of Minnesota. Is there any particular reason to think that will change in 2024? It's possible, but incredibly unlikely.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is likely to win OH, NC or IA not shrink the battleground in 2024 he doesn't have a 46.9% Approvals like Trump he has a 59%Approvals

[Person Man]

Without flip Oregon, Minnesota, and MAYBE New Mexico and that's probably the Republican ceiling in 2024 provided the current Democratic coalition doesn't collapse and we just see the Democrats running on a bad record and worse campaign.

[LabourJersey]

I don't see a situation where Oregon flips to the Republicans in 2024.

I guess if you flip Oregon it would in fact be a "ceiling" for Republicans in terms of electoral votes but even then I struggle with NM and ME at large.

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

I don't see a situation where Oregon flips to the Republicans in 2024.

I guess if you flip Oregon it would in fact be a "ceiling" for Republicans in terms of electoral votes but even then I struggle with NM and ME at large.

But even in this "ceiling" scenario, would Dems still be able to hold MN [just barely, hence the light blue shade], as well as a CO and VA [safely, by large margins hence the dark blue color].

I can see struggling with NM, though I don't think ME-AL is off the table. Maine was close in 2016.

[Chips]

Replace OR with MN.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I'm a believer in New Mexico potentially being in play for the right Republican, but I'm really having a hard time seeing Oregon.  Minnesota would be a better reach state, as would (despite their trends) Colorado and Virginia.

[LabourJersey]

I don't see a situation where Oregon flips to the Republicans in 2024.

I guess if you flip Oregon it would in fact be a "ceiling" for Republicans in terms of electoral votes but even then I struggle with NM and ME at large.

But even in this "ceiling" scenario, would Dems still be able to hold MN [just barely, hence the light blue shade], as well as a CO and VA [safely, by large margins hence the dark blue color].

I can see struggling with NM, though I don't think ME-AL is off the table. Maine was close in 2016.

Good points about MN and ME. I guess CO and VA would also be part of the GOP's electoral ceiling as well, though my gut tells me those states are veering towards safe D even though that doesn't mean they're actually safe states.

[Hope For A New Era]

Not possible. Oregon is far too "locked" to flip. It's the only non-southern state that comes close to Minnesota's level of frozen-ness.

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

Not possible. Oregon is far too "locked" to flip. It's the only non-southern state that comes close to Minnesota's level of frozen-ness.

Solid point. The Republican ceiling in OR is probably 48-49%.

[lord_moxley]

Biden is likely to win OH, NC or IA not shrink the battleground in 2024 he doesn't have a 46.9% Approvals like Trump he has a 59%Approvals

Maybe if Majorie Taylor Greene is the nominee but other than that Iowa is TFG and Ohio is borderline TFG. North Carolina is very possible though no matter the nominee

[Terlylane]

Oregon and New Mexico can't flip in 2024.

[TodayJunior]

I'm a believer in New Mexico potentially being in play for the right Republican, but I'm really having a hard time seeing Oregon.  Minnesota would be a better reach state, as would (despite their trends) Colorado and Virginia.

Even CO and VA are locked out for the same reasons as Oregon/MN. Ditto New Mexico. However, if the state parties can demonstrate they can win a senate seat or governor election, that could be evidence to support their ability to be competitive in the future, but not for 2024. Too soon.

[Schiff for Senate]

Replace OR with MN.

That would be more likely - though I'm curious to know which Republican could carry Minnesota (which eluded even Trump and Reagan), New Mexico (a Democratic state at this point) or Maine (still a blue state despite ME-02's waywardness). Although Maine could flip if Collins is the nominee (a big if). New Hampshire is the only one that may occur, assuming the nominee is someone with home-grown appeal, like Gov. Chris Sununu. I think only Sununu and maybe some other New England Republican (Collins, Scott, Baker) could flip New Hampshire.

[Would vote for Hillary Clinton over Joe Biden.]

Replace OR with MN.

That would be more likely - though I'm curious to know which Republican could carry Minnesota (which eluded even Trump and Reagan), New Mexico (a Democratic state at this point) or Maine (still a blue state despite ME-02's waywardness). Although Maine could flip if Collins is the nominee (a big if). New Hampshire is the only one that may occur, assuming the nominee is someone with home-grown appeal, like Gov. Chris Sununu. I think only Sununu and maybe some other New England Republican (Collins, Scott, Baker) could flip New Hampshire.

Tom Cotton?  John Kennedy?[/b]

[AGA]

Extremely unlikely. Putting aside the fact that the election will not be that one sided, Oregon will not flip before Minnesota.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Zero chance. Oregon voted to my state's left for f***'s sake. I also think that ME-AL, Minnesota, and New Hampshire will remain fools' gold for Republican presidential candidates.