Cygnal (R): Whitmer underwater, trails generic R by 9
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  Cygnal (R): Whitmer underwater, trails generic R by 9
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Author Topic: Cygnal (R): Whitmer underwater, trails generic R by 9  (Read 852 times)
Matty
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« on: June 09, 2021, 04:23:06 PM »

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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2021, 04:35:12 PM »

Whitmer is despised by the Republican base, and has proven to be a polarizing Governor. Her response to the coronavirus pandemic, in particular, seems to have generated resentment against her. While I believe that she's the slight favorite for reelection, as things stand now, I think that she is very vulnerable and cannot take this race for granted. It's probably accurate to rate this as Tossup/Lean D for now.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2021, 04:35:44 PM »

Whitmer is more likely to lose than Evers imo
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: June 09, 2021, 04:42:14 PM »

Red wave, no wonder why Ds are pushing for the people act

Biden was very fortunate to win MI
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2021, 10:34:40 PM »

Quote
Fox News’ exit poll in 2020, a much larger turnout than is expected next year, showed Michigan voters were forty percent conservative and twenty-nine percent liberal. Cygnal’s poll is forty-four percent conservative and twenty-seven percent liberal.

This is inflating R strength & it’s pretty clear that Whitmer isn’t losing by a margin even close to this, but she’s definitely in trouble, even "without Trump on the ballot." Toss-up/Tilt R.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2021, 05:29:34 AM »

Whitmer obviously won't take this race for granted, but all of the polls we've seen over the last year have had her favorability/approval pretty good, even despite Republicans hating her. But given that restrictions are receding, I don't see why that would even be a real issue for her in 2022.
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Person Man
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« Reply #6 on: June 10, 2021, 09:40:24 AM »

Whitmer obviously won't take this race for granted, but all of the polls we've seen over the last year have had her favorability/approval pretty good, even despite Republicans hating her. But given that restrictions are receding, I don't see why that would even be a real issue for her in 2022.

Even with COVID, Democrats improved in Michigan. There might be parts of the country that will be unnaturally conservative the same way some were unnaturally liberal after the farm crisis but it’s not going to be Michigan.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2021, 09:51:29 AM »

I don't envy Whitmer's electoral position. She's in an evenly divided state, and her opponents are very vocal.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: June 10, 2021, 09:52:19 AM »

Sure.jan
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2021, 11:17:00 AM »


The Rs are in good position to win PA Gov race too, no one on the D side has announced yet and the Rs have a head start in fundraising
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #10 on: June 10, 2021, 12:12:45 PM »


But, Sir Mohommad posts Biden 60%Approvals all the time, told ya it's RV not LV poll
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #11 on: June 10, 2021, 12:19:56 PM »
« Edited: June 10, 2021, 12:29:19 PM by The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow »

Her approvals are identical to Biden's (i.e. -10, which is a massive outlier) in this poll. So forgive me for continuing to be skeptical of commentary about how uniquely weak or controversial she really is. (Of course, she has reason to worry regardless simply by virtue of this being a midterm under a Democratic president.)

Also, LOL at the 10% of people who answered that Whitmer's trip to Florida and her COVID regulation-breaking dinner made them more likely to vote for her. I probably would've said the same thing just to stick it to these ridiculous push questions.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2021, 06:08:14 AM »

It's by 11, 51 against to 42 for.
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Chips
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« Reply #13 on: June 25, 2021, 10:50:21 PM »

More than likely it's going to be an extremely tight race here next year and I'd say Whitmer's odds are about exactly 50-50.
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