435 seat China

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Guangdong-9: 龙门县 (Longmen County), 博罗县 (Boluo County), all of 惠城区 (Huicheng District) except for 三栋镇 (Sandong Town), 马安镇 (Maan Town), 水口街道 (Shuikou Subdistrict), 惠环街道 (Huihuan Substrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

Guangdong-10: 惠东县 (Huidong County), 惠阳区 (Huiyang District), 三栋镇 (Sandong Town), 马安镇 (Maan Town), 水口街道 (Shuikou Subdistrict), 惠环街道 (Huihuan Substrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

Guangdong-11: 韶关市 (Shaoguan City)
2020 population: 2,855,131

Guangdong-12: 凤岗镇 (Fenggang Town), 清溪镇 (Qingxi Town), 塘厦镇 (Tangxia Town), 谢岗镇 (Xiegang Town), 樟木头镇 (Zhangmutou Town), 黄江镇 (Huangjiang Town), 桥头镇 (Qiaotau Town), 常平镇 (Changping Town), 企石镇 (Qishi Town), 横沥镇 (Hengli Town)
2020 population: 3,054,644

Guangdong-13: 大朗镇 (Dalang Town), 石排镇 (Shipai Town),    东坑镇 (Dongkeng Town), 松山湖科技产业园区 (Songshan Industrial Park), 石龙镇 (Shilong Town), 茶山镇 (Chashan Town), 寮步镇 (Liaobu Town), 大岭山镇 (Dalingshan Town), 东城街道 (Dongcheng Subdistrict), 石碣镇 (Shijie Town), 莞城街道 (Guancheng Subdistrict), 南城街道 (Nancheng Subdistrict)
2020 population: 3,449,491

Guangdong-14: 长安镇 (Changan Town), 虎门镇 (Humen Town), 厚街镇 (Houjie Town), 沙田镇 (Shatian Town), 道滘镇 (Daojiao Town), 洪梅镇 (Hongmei Town), 万江街道 (Wanjiang Subdistrict), 望牛墩镇 (Wangniudun Town), 麻涌镇 (Mayong Town), 高埗镇 (Gaobu Town), 中堂镇 (Zhongtang Town)
2020 population: 3,509,349

Guangdong-15: 大鹏新区 (Dapeng District), 坪山区 (Pingshan District), 盐田区 (Yantian District), 罗湖区 (Luohu District), 福田区 (Futian District)
2020 population: 3,618,820

Guangdong-16: all of 龙岗区 (Longgang District) east of and including 横岗街道 (Henggang Subdistrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

Guangdong-17: 龙华区 (Longhua District), all of 龙岗区 (Longgang District) west of 横岗街道 (Henggang Subdistrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

Guangdong-18: 光明区 (Guangming District), 石岩街道 (Shiyan Subdistrict), 福永街道 (Fuyong Subdistrict), 沙井街道 (Shajing Subdistrict), 松岗街道 (Songgang Subdistrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

Guangdong-19: 南山区 (Nanshan District), 西乡街道 (Xixiang Subdistrict), 新安街道 (Xinan Subdistrict)
2020 population: precise population unclear

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Guangdong-20: 连山壮族瑶族自治县 (Lianshan County), 连南瑶族自治县 (Liannan County), 连州市 (Lianzhou City), 阳山县 (Yangshan County), 清新区 (Qingxin District), 英德市 (Yingde City), 清城区 (Qingcheng District)
2020 population: 3,653,971

Guangdong-21: 佛冈县 (Fogang County), 从化区 (Conghua District), 花都区 (Huadu District)
2020 population: 2,675,546

Guangdong-22: 增城区 (Zengcheng District), 黄埔区 (Huangpu District)
2020 population: 2,730,778

Guangdong-23: 白云区 (Baiyun District)
2020 population: 3,742,991

Guangdong-24: 天河区 (Tianhe District), 越秀区 (Yuexiu District)
2020 population: 3,280,469

Guangdong-25: 荔湾区 (Liwan District), 海珠区 (Haizhu  District)
2020 population: 3,057,342

Guangdong-26: 番禺区 (Panyu District), 南沙区 (Nansha District)
2020 population: 3,504,981

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Zhuhai+Zhongshan will be 2 seats together
Zhaoqing+Yunfu will also be 2 seats
Yangjiang will be a seat to itself
Foshan+Jiangmen will be 4 seats
Maoming will have 2 seats
Zhanjiang will also have 2 seats

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Guangdong-27: 中山市辖区 (Zhongshan City) less 坦洲镇 (Tanzhou Town), 神湾镇 (Shenwan Town), 三乡镇 (Sanxiang Town), 板芙镇 (Banfu Town), 五桂山街道 (Wuguishan Subdistrict), 南区街道 (Nanqu Subdistrict), and 大涌镇 (Dayong Town)
2020 population: 3,429,932

Guangdong-28: 坦洲镇 (Tanzhou Town), 神湾镇 (Shenwan Town), 三乡镇 (Sanxiang Town), 板芙镇 (Banfu Town), 五桂山街道 (Wuguishan Subdistrict), 南区街道 (Nanqu Subdistrict), and 大涌镇 (Dayong Town) in 中山市辖区 (Zhongshan City), 珠海市 (Zhuhai City)
2020 population: 3,427,713

[It’s so Joever]

Anyone else think Xi Jinping loses Heliongjiang-5 bcuz trends?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Anyone else think Xi Jinping loses Heliongjiang-5 bcuz trends?

I could see it. (The likelihood could be affected by changes in districts, though, pre-2020 and post-2020 are unlikely to have the same balance of constituencies within it)