NJ - Rutgers-Eagleton: Murphy +26 over Ciatrelli, Murphy +11 over generic opponent
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  NJ - Rutgers-Eagleton: Murphy +26 over Ciatrelli, Murphy +11 over generic opponent
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Author Topic: NJ - Rutgers-Eagleton: Murphy +26 over Ciatrelli, Murphy +11 over generic opponent  (Read 508 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 08, 2021, 12:47:32 PM »

https://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/Rutgers-Eagleton-Poll-NJ-Primaries-June-8-2021.pdf

May 21-29
MoE: 3.8% for full sample of 1004 adults

"If the election for New Jersey Governor were being held today, would you definitely vote to reelect Phil Murphy as governor, consider voting for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"

461 registered voters

Def. re-elect 42
Def. someone else 31
Consider someone else 21
Don't know 6

Murphy vs Ciatrelli

467 registered voters

Murphy 52
Ciatrelli 26
Neither 6
Someone else 4
Would not vote 1
Don't know 10
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2021, 12:51:59 PM »

Yikes. Murphy may win by even more than 2017.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2021, 01:31:03 PM »

He's at 52% it ls a 52/48% win
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2021, 01:44:28 PM »

The few Republican ads I've seen for this race have been really bad. Murphy could easily break 60.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2021, 01:56:38 PM »

Safe Democratic.
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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2021, 03:15:58 PM »

Murphy will win by the 14-19% all NJ Dems do, little suspense.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2021, 08:00:20 PM »

Probably 51-47 if I had to guess the margin.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: June 10, 2021, 05:19:50 PM »

Murphy will win by the 14-19% all NJ Dems do, little suspense.

Nah, more like 16%. That's the typical ceiling. 2012 was an outlier. But yes, there will be little suspense in this race.
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