Had they won in 2018, how would Gillum, Abrams, Hubbell, Sutton, and Cordray be doing in 2022?

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

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[Roll Roons]

Would depend on their popularity. Gubernatorial races, especially with incumbents, tend to be much less influenced by the national environment.

[Calthrina950]

Given the way that Georgia has trended, and assuming that the Democratic electoral successes of 2020-2021 had still occurred there, I think Abrams would probably be a slight favorite. Her race would be Tossup/Lean D. And given what has come out since the election, I suspect Gillum's approvals would be poor and he would be disadvantaged by the Republican-leaning environment. Florida would probably be Lean R. Cordray would probably be an underdog (Lean R), as would Hubbell (Lean R) and Sutton (Lean R), although I could conceivably see Sutton enjoying relatively high approvals, certainly higher than those of Noem, and potentially being in a Tossup race for reelection.

[brucejoel99]

The state of Gillum's mental health would presumably be a lot better than it was following his real-life loss, but in the event that meth were to still somehow enter the picture, Gov. Chris King would've been much better than DeSantis on COVID.

[here2view]

Abrams: Tilt/Lean D
Gillum: Lean R
Cordray: Lean R
Hubbell: Lean/Likely R
Sutton: Likely R

Interestingly enough, all of these states have senate races in 2022, so I could see the partisan lean of each overcoming individual governor's performance/favorability

[CookieDamage]

Abrams: Lean D
Gillum: Tossup/Tilt R
Cordray: Lean R
Hubbell: Lean R
Sutton: Likely/Safe R (fight me, it's still South Dakota)