CA - Moore Information/Cox internal (R): Newsom wins 50-44, Cox leads two replacement ballots

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://johncox.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/MEMO-Interested-Parties-MIG-June-9-2021.pdf

June 1-3
800 likely recall voters (n.b. the subsample of 682-684 "likely voters" captures the group consisting of people who self-report as most likely to vote, but their standard LV screen is already applied to the full sample)
MoE: 3%

No [against recall] 50%
Yes [for recall] 44%
Undecided 6%

Two tests in the event that Newsom is recalled.
'Full-field' replacement ballot: Cox +7 over next candidate
John Cox (R) 16
Someone else 14
Antonio Villaraigosa (D) 9
Kevin Faulconer (R) 7
Tom Steyer (D) 5
Caitlyn Jenner (R) 4
Kevin De León (D) 4
Doug Ose (R) 2
Don't know 38

Replacement ballot with GOP candidates only [still tests all voters]: Cox +11 over next candidate
John Cox 22
Someone else 18
Kevin Faulconer 11
Caitlyn Jenner 6
Doug Ose 4
Don't know 39

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's over it's Rs don't get 51% on the Recall they won't win, good night Cox

[President Johnson]

I don't take this poll seriously, there's little reason to believe the recall will only fail by single digits.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't take this poll seriously, there's little reason to believe the recall will only fail by single digits.

Cox looks and acts like Kevin Mccarthy whom is bought and paid for TRUMP

[Chips]

I don't take this poll seriously, there's little reason to believe the recall will only fail by single digits.

I think it will fail by 8 points or so but I could easily see it failing by 10 or more.

[Holmes]

Cox can’t even get the recall winning in his internals. 💀

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The recall is over, Newsom wins

[TodayJunior]

For republicans in CA, a single digit loss is basically winning. That was a literal quote from my hard core Republican neighbor.