NE-SEN 2024: Fischer running for a third term
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April 29, 2024, 08:47:27 PM
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  NE-SEN 2024: Fischer running for a third term
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Author Topic: NE-SEN 2024: Fischer running for a third term  (Read 2339 times)
Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #25 on: March 20, 2024, 12:48:35 PM »

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #26 on: March 20, 2024, 12:49:38 PM »

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.

Yes, but McMullin significantly overperformed while Gross did worse than Biden.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #27 on: March 27, 2024, 07:18:52 PM »

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #28 on: March 27, 2024, 09:43:41 PM »

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

It’s more than likely that the DCCC and the Biden campaign throws a good chunk of change into NE-02, so it wouldn’t hurt to help Osborne statewide as well. Worst case scenario, they just drive up the turnout in the 2nd without really changing the outcome of the Senate race.
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #29 on: April 06, 2024, 09:13:32 PM »

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.
can we stop acting like opposite party running independents in other parties safe states actually works?
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #30 on: April 06, 2024, 09:13:57 PM »

Would rate this at weaker Safe R, but still think it's worth it for Dems to throw money here just to see what happens - Nebraska isn't that expensive of a state and Ds have tons of money.

The backing Independents in redder states may be an interesting strategy, especially for R+10/15ish states like Iowa and Alaska.

It’s more than likely that the DCCC and the Biden campaign throws a good chunk of change into NE-02, so it wouldn’t hurt to help Osborne statewide as well. Worst case scenario, they just drive up the turnout in the 2nd without really changing the outcome of the Senate race.
Osborne said he not voting for biden
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #31 on: April 06, 2024, 09:14:27 PM »

This one could get interesting. The Democrats are not yet fielding a candidate, and local labor leader Dan Osborne is running as an independent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/18/us/politics/nebraska-union-senate-race.html

He’s more likely to be another Al Gross than another McMullin.

Both Gross and McMullin lost though.

Yes, but McMullin significantly overperformed while Gross did worse than Biden.
Mcmullin was right of centre though
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #32 on: April 07, 2024, 12:05:43 AM »

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #33 on: April 08, 2024, 01:24:44 AM »

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?

You mean when the Dems tried this and cut the GOP margin from 25% to 11% despite going from a D-wave year to a R-wave year? Yeah.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #34 on: April 08, 2024, 06:54:06 PM »

Remember when Dems tried this strategy against Pat Roberts in 2014 and they lost by double digits and couldn't even carry Johnson County?

You mean when the Dems tried this and cut the GOP margin from 25% to 11% despite going from a D-wave year to a R-wave year? Yeah.
I don't know if the red wave hit Kansas though. Brownback came close to losing.
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