The starting Solid4096 predictions for 2022 Senate and Governor
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  The starting Solid4096 predictions for 2022 Senate and Governor
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Author Topic: The starting Solid4096 predictions for 2022 Senate and Governor  (Read 2868 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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E: -8.88, S: -8.51

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« on: May 21, 2021, 01:24:03 PM »


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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Jamaica
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« Reply #1 on: May 21, 2021, 07:41:54 PM »

It's a Neutral Environment, because it's Covid D's replicate the 291 or 303 FREIWAL

Senate net WI PA
TOSSUP GA
GOV net MD
Tossup NH and MA, AZ
Rs net KS
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: May 21, 2021, 10:51:51 PM »

Interesting.
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Spectator
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« Reply #3 on: May 28, 2021, 02:40:37 PM »

Probably a best-case GOP scenario, but I don’t see Georgia flipping back to the GOP. At least I just don’t understand why the prevailing wisdom on here seems to be that the Georgia 2020-21 results were a fluke.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2021, 06:07:44 PM »

Probably a best-case GOP scenario, but I don’t see Georgia flipping back to the GOP. At least I just don’t understand why the prevailing wisdom on here seems to be that the Georgia 2020-21 results were a fluke.

In a best case scenario, MI-GOV flips to the GOP.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 87,791
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2021, 09:19:52 PM »
« Edited: June 12, 2021, 09:26:51 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »



Gov map




Gov map

Don't blame me, blame the poll showing Sununu as the De facto D and Rs picking up PA and MI gov


SWEET MAPS
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MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine


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E: -5.29, S: -6.43

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« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2021, 09:52:39 PM »



Gov map




Gov map

Don't blame me, blame the poll showing Sununu as the De facto D and Rs picking up PA and MI gov


SWEET MAPS
These maps make no sense whatsoever.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,791
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #7 on: June 13, 2021, 02:49:53 AM »
« Edited: June 13, 2021, 03:00:41 AM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Have you looked at your own maps you have MI and MN flipping last time, obviously it's dream maps but they have a higher probability than Solid maps that have Rs sweeping every competetive race

The polls show Whitmer and Hassan losing and D's in trouble in OR

Plse note these are our own Predictions, they're not definitive, especially not 500 days before an Election
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,730


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2021, 06:05:50 PM »

I have a number of updates to make for my predictions, but I am waiting until after the CA recall to post them.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,791
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2021, 10:03:41 PM »

We don't have polls for all the races
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