Morning Consult/Politico: Trump +35 over Pence

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2021/05/19073309/210579_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v1_SH.pdf

May 14-17
782 registered, Republian(-leaning) voters
Changes with Feb 14-15

Trump 48 (-5)
Pence 13 (+1)
DeSantis 8 (not previously included)
Trump Jr. 7 (+1)
Cruz 4 (n/c)
Haley 4 (-2)
Would not vote 4 (-1)
Romney 4 (-1)
Someone else 2 (-1)
Tim Scott 2 (+1)
Cheney 1 (not previously included)
Rubio 1 (-3)
Noem 1 (n/c)
Pompeo 1 (-1)
Rick Scott 0 (some voters) (n/c)
Hawley 0 (some voters) (-1)
Hogan 0 (some voters) (-1)

Edit: Tom Cotton previously at 1%

[President Johnson]

Lmao Hogan

[DaleCooper]

Lmao Hogan

Hawley is the one that is especially hilarious to me since he clearly has presidential ambitions. Cruz's pathetic 4% is also hilarious given how well known he is and how desperate he's been to become president.

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav % among registered voters:
Biden 54/43% for +11%
Harris 48/44% for +4%
DeSantis 23/26% for -3%
Pence 42/47% for -5%
L. Cheney 28/35% for -7%
Trump 42/56% for -14%
Gaetz 14/33% for -19%

fav/unfav % among Dems only:
Biden 91/7% for +84%
Harris 86/9% for +77%

fav/unfav % among Republicans only:
Trump 84/15% for +69%
Pence 75/17% for +58%
DeSantis 43/12% for +31%
Gaetz 23/18% for +5%
L. Cheney 15/53% for -38%

Cheney’s favorability margin is +18% among Dems, -38% among Republicans, and -6% among Indies.

[President Johnson]

#QueenKamalaAboveWater

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

#QueenKamalaAboveWater

Uncle Joe is only 4 pts ahead of Trump and Harris is 4 pts behind Trump, I guess UNCLE JOE ISNT AT 59% APPROVALS AFTER ALL

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Lmao Hogan

Hawley is the one that is especially hilarious to me since he clearly has presidential ambitions. Cruz's pathetic 4% is also hilarious given how well known he is and how desperate he's been to become president.

Nah I actually think he wants to replace McConnell after he retires.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Relatively speaking, for Pence to be above DeSantis here is actually really good for him. Though I wouldn't put much stock in this poll. Like with general elections I expect that Trump's support is somehow understated as always for whatever voodoo magic f***ing reason.

[Chips]

Expected.

[Mr. Morden]

Relatively speaking, for Pence to be above DeSantis here is actually really good for him.

The general rule of recent '24 primary polls is that DeSantis leads as long as there is no one with the last name "Trump" listed as an option in the poll.  Trump Sr. obviously leads in any primary polls he's in, but even when it's just Trump Jr. listed (like in the last scenario in the McLaughlin poll), there's enough siphoning of support away from DeSantis to put someone else in the lead (in that case, Pence).

[Horus]

Surprised to see Trump under 50.