Ipsos, Biden +16 vs DeSantis, +17 vs Trump, +22 vs Cruz, +25 vs Haley

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2021-05/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Large%20Issue%20Poll%20%232%20Topline%20%20Write-up%20-%20Biden%20100%20Days%20-%2012%20April%20thru%2016%20April%202021.pdf

   
Biden 41%
DeSantis 25%

Biden 45%
Trump 28%

Biden 46%
Cruz 24%

Biden 44%
Haley 19%


All you need to know about today's polling.

[Diabolical Materialism]

How much of a national profile does DeSantis have? Unless this is a crap pollster I'm actually pretty surprised about those Trump and Cruz match up results

[BabyAlligator]

Biden is really a popular president, he might win a landslide if he runs again.

[Agafin]

There's something wrong with this poll. No way so many people are undecided in a Biden v Trump match-up, even 4 years in advance. Good pollsters should push more for answers.

[Sir Mohamed]

These undecided numbers are completely ridiculous. Throw it in the garbage.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

These undecided numbers are completely ridiculous. Throw it in the garbage.

Yeah, there's way more than 19% of the country that would choose the not Biden option regardless of who it was.

[Mr. Morden]

How much of a national profile does DeSantis have?

According to last week's Economist/YouGov poll:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=441776.msg8087988#msg8087988

69% of Americans have an opinion of DeSantis, compared to 84% for Cruz and 94% for Trump.

Biden 51/44% for +7%
DeSantis 36/33% for +3%
Harris 46/45% for +1%
Warren 38/41% for -3%
Trump 43/51% for -8%
Cruz 37/47% for -10%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis isn't gonna be Prez no matter how much he wins FL Gov by

Look at Insurrectionists Cruz poor poll numbers, that is funny, he will never become PREZ

[Crumpets]

My guess: The "shy Trump effect" is true and has increased dramatically since January 6th, with the more paranoid among conservatives worried that this "poll" is just an excuse to get people labeled seditious traitors and others just skeptical of anyone they don't know talking to them about politics. The Biden number is accurate and reasonable for an incumbent this far out, but the vast majority of "undecideds" are standard conservatives. Combine that with lack of name recognition and it gives you the very low numbers for people like Haley.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is an IPSOS poll junk it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My guess: The "shy Trump effect" is true and has increased dramatically since January 6th, with the more paranoid among conservatives worried that this "poll" is just an excuse to get people labeled seditious traitors and others just skeptical of anyone they don't know talking to them about politics. The Biden number is accurate and reasonable for an incumbent this far out, but the vast majority of "undecideds" are standard conservatives. Combine that with lack of name recognition and it gives you the very low numbers for people like Haley.

It's an IPSOS POLL

[ajc0918]

DeSantis flopped

[Chips]

Too many undecideds.

[pbrower2a]

Too many undecideds.

Three and a half years away. This is as good as we can expect as an accurate prediction at this point.

If this is as things are in January 2024, then Biden wins handily.

In cause you are thinking "What about the foreign policy of George H W Bush? Bill Clinton cleverly said that he would continue it. It's hard to see any Republican saying much the same about Joe Biden and COVID-19.

My guess: The "shy Trump effect" is true and has increased dramatically since January 6th, with the more paranoid among conservatives worried that this "poll" is just an excuse to get people labeled seditious traitors and others just skeptical of anyone they don't know talking to them about politics. The Biden number is accurate and reasonable for an incumbent this far out, but the vast majority of "undecideds" are standard conservatives. Combine that with lack of name recognition and it gives you the very low numbers for people like Haley.

It's an IPSOS POLL

Haw, haw, haw!

The insurrection is a mockery of both the rule of law and of democratic norms. A Republican unready to denounce the insurrection will be a brittle target for the Democratic nominee. The negative ads practically write themselves.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is an IPSOS poll but it can't be taken for granted, we are gonna win back OH, IA, NC, FL and TX eventually, 2022/2024

[GregTheGreat657]

This poll is complete garbage. They vastly over sampled Dems

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This poll is complete garbage. They vastly over sampled Dems

IPSOS POLLS ALWAYS VASTLY OVERSTATES DS, we have to wait til the 2022 results are in

Is Biden a complete failure, no, but he grossly underestimated Covid and thought all you had to do was get people vaccinated and we are still stuck with Covid, but if Covid isn't solved by 2022 or 2024 he can be vulnerable, the country should be fully open next yr

[DabbingSanta]

I think the bigger takeaway is that Biden is polling in the low to mid 40s.  Hillary, who was also consistently polling in the mid 40s, had similar leads in 2016 evaporate when the undecided/third party vote consolidated with Trump.  Not a safe position to be in as an incumbent president.