AZ-GOV 2022: Yee in

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ and OH and NC are the only 3 states to split their votes between SEN and Gov in 2018/2020, it's not an 8.0 Environment but in 500 it can be or a 5.0 Environment and all three can split again for SEN and Gov, Ryan, Beasley and Kelly can win while Renacci and Rs in AZ take the Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs are fav for Gov not Senator, the state Legislature repealed the enforcement of Federal gun control, Yee will win and so will Kelly

We haven't heard anything about D's run for Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Users think this is Lean R, it's not, it's a pure Tossup just like Whitmer is in trouble and OR a moderate R like Knute can win and we can win KS, WI and OH with Blue Dog Ryan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So is this Lake person really gonna win this?

Probably. Get ready for the Arizona 2024 election results to be overturned if Biden wins the state. Sinema is digging her own grave unless she plans to switch parties.

That's why Ds are trying to win wave insurance seats and keep a slim Majority in the H, if we get a 53 seat Majority and 222/216FH we don't know how many Rs are gonna lose in Cal Tester, Ryan will pass DC Statehood and Sinema will be reelected

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Brutal story for Katie Hobbs

A Black woman who served as a policy adviser to AZ Senate Democrats when Hobbs was Senate Minority Leader was paid 30K less than her Republican counterparts. She just won a million dollar judgment for sex/race discrimination… a rebuke to Hobbs and her testimony during the lawsuit.

Can we not nominate her please? She’s gonna lose to freaking Kari Lake.

Ugh, not good.

I don't think that should automatically disqualify her if she actually wants to work on the issue as gov. It's fair to question that commitment though. That said, I don't see Dems having a stronger candidate as this race is already Lean R.

If Lake wins, it doesn't matter who wins the AZ electoral votes. They will be awarded to Trump.

In all seriousness though I totally share you concern. We don't need these sort of brain dead truthers in public office.

This map is not gonna happen Biden isn't Hillary and we will win MI, WI and PA especially Pa with Shapiro

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ have SPL it's votes for Gov and Senate in 2018 it can do so again, likewise in GA Warnock can beat Herschel Walker and Abrams can lose, don't underestimate Kemp he has a large warchest, but Mark Kelly will win for sure

GA will go to a Runoff anyways

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Since there isn't any polls Lake probably narrowly ahead 44/40 and so is Brian Kemp or Perdue over Stacy Abrams well within the margin of error just like CCM and SISOLAK are down 44/40

That's not Safe R that the Compiled map has it out to be, the compiled map is wrong Rs sweeping every state just like D's aren't sweeping OH, NC, FL along with WI, PA , GA, NH, NV and AZ

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's gonna get vetoed by Gov Evers they don't stop do they and even if they do Biden still won 296

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Kelly is at 50/47 even against Ducey so, D's can compete in thos Gov race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just note that Biden Approvals aren't the end result, 34(/61 in OH and GA they're the Approvals he's at now, so as wave insurance it's the end result not what's happening now and I make generous maps because on Election night the predictions are closed I will be very mad if Stacy Abrams, Tim Ryan or Katie Hobbs win and I put a GOP win there, I know it's a mock prediction but just like Rs make NUT Maps D's should not be ashamed to make one

How is Biden at 34/61 Approvals in OH and the last poll had Josh Mandel up 44/40 the same with GA how is Biden at 34/61 and Warnock is down 47/44 those are silly approval numbers